Subj : Re: Pandemic
To   : Dan Cross
From : Ryan Fantus
Date : Tue Mar 17 2020 10:43 am

 DC> Oh gosh; was she confirmed? How are you both doing?

Today is actually the first day in over a week she doesn't have a fever, and
her symptoms are lessening .She still has a nasty cough but the rest of her
symptoms are much more manageable.

She was tested finally Sunday and we'll know for sure the results within the
next couple of days.

Sadly I'm becoming symptomatic now. It sucks.

 DC> Really really interesting analysis, but I'm going to
 DC> quibble with your numbers just a tad.  In particular,
 DC> the 69 deaths were cumulative, not just in one day.
 DC> But I think that changes your numbers just by days,
 DC> not fundamentally.

Yeah, acknowledged, that was actually a bit intentional, because it plays
into the "most conservative estimate" piece. In other words, the math assumes
a statistical best-case scenario.

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