His earlier predictions though, were easy ones. He was
   predicting people finishing the prototypes that ALREADY existed
   at the time of his predictions.

   I predicted a lot of that stuff in 1990-1995 because I saw
   people already working on it, making headway, etc.

   So, they were easy ones. I hate to be mean, but they were easy
   ones.

   The ones he's predicting? Most of it, there's too much undone
   yet to get close to any of that. Plus, the curve he's counting
   on stopped working a few years back.

   [1]http://www.amazon.com/.../189.../ref=cm_cr_pr_product_top...
   depended on the same way of thinking.

   Mind you, I LIKE HIM a lot. He's very inspirational to people.
   But.. these predictions are too close in time.

   Maybe later, yes. But this soon? No. Unless he has some
   pipelines to go by. The earlier predictions had pipelines;
   people were working on those things already and had primitive
   version of them.

   These things? Not that I've seen.

   I could be wrong of course. But he has to flatten out the curve
   quite a bit. Then again, he's been pushing for singularity for a
   long time so he's not about to stop now. He has lots of
   believers now and can't disappoint them.

References

   Visible links
   1. http://www.amazon.com/Dow-2008-Different-This-Time/dp/1893958701/ref=cm_cr_pr_product_top?ie=UTF8