[HN Gopher] Anna Kiesenhofer: Mathematician, amateur cyclist, Ol...
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Anna Kiesenhofer: Mathematician, amateur cyclist, Olympic champion
 
Author : billfruit
Score  : 379 points
Date   : 2021-07-25 15:20 UTC (7 hours ago)
 
web link (www.cyclingnews.com)
w3m dump (www.cyclingnews.com)
 
| manquer wrote:
| Being a pro athlete competing and winning at an event like
| Olympics and pursing a post doc in a tough field like mathematics
| is an achievement lot more interesting than whether she is really
| amateur
 
| pjbster wrote:
| This isn't the first time something like this has happened:
| cycling aficionados will remember the tale of Robert Millar and
| the "stolen" 1984 Vuelta [1].
| 
| I personally love it when races are run without radios. The UCI
| tried to ban them in 2010 but the pro teams rebelled, claiming
| that they were essential for safety reasons; the number of
| crashes at the 2021 Tour de France would suggest that they aren't
| succeeding very well at that core function.
| 
| Radios make the races formulaic. Not necessarily predictable but
| certainly a different event. I can't think of any other sport
| where pros are held to different rules (i.e. allowed technical
| assistance) compared to amateurs.
| 
| [1] https://crankpunk.com/2012/11/09/robert-millar-the-case-
| of-t...
 
  | frereubu wrote:
  | > I personally love it when races are run without radios
  | 
  | I agree wholeheartedly.
  | 
  | It levels the playing field in a way that means money can't
  | interfere as much. Some people make a break off the front? You
  | have to remember how many people went and how good they are.
  | You want to make sure they don't get too far away? Chase them.
  | 
  | Cycling fans (of which I am one) make a lot of noise about how
  | they enjoy the strategy involved, but there are different kinds
  | of strategy. There's nothing I dislike more than a few people
  | making a breakaway and the peloton sauntering along, knowing
  | that they'll be able to catch the break within X kilometres of
  | the finish if they make Y effort at Z kilometres out because
  | they know exactly where the breakaway is. People wax lyrical
  | about heroic individual deeds and head-to-head competition of
  | the past. You want more of that? Ban radios.
  | 
  | The whole safety argument is bunk from what I've read of it -
  | the amount of cameras and personnel on the course is more than
  | enough to catch any issues.
 
  | rocqua wrote:
  | If you don't have radios, you still need to tell riders about
  | the gaps.
  | 
  | Perhaps a radio channel that just tells riders the state of
  | play without input from the teams themselves.
 
    | mijamo wrote:
    | Before radio you had a moto putting the latest gap to display
    | in front of the peloton. This is very simple and would not
    | cause trouble. Note that they do not have that for the
    | Olympic games for some reason.
 
      | rurban wrote:
      | Wrong. Anna was constantly informed by the moto of her
      | lead. We will have to hear from others, like Longo or
      | Brennauer if there were informed or not. But I'm pretty
      | sure they were.
 
    | frereubu wrote:
    | Why do you _need_ to tell riders about the gaps?
 
      | rocqua wrote:
      | Because otherwise the Olympics for road cycling and actual
      | high-level road cycling races become totally different
      | things.
      | 
      | The entire game of road cycling races is based on judging
      | these gaps. Without it, you would probably never let anyone
      | ride off. Then races become attrition, followed by sprint.
      | 
      | Either that or you get a weird spotting system where people
      | try to get gap timings to the riders through unofficial
      | channels. Probably from the broadcast, but if delayed too
      | much, from physical spotters with stopwatches.
 
| pythko wrote:
| Some additional context for those who don't follow professional
| cycling: the Dutch women's team was incredibly strong coming into
| this road race. All 4 riders on their team are stars in their own
| right, and the only reason there wasn't a clear favorite for the
| race overall is that people weren't sure which Dutch rider would
| win.
| 
| So you have a complicated group dynamic, where the majority of
| the peloton has no interest in pulling the group to catch the
| break, since they would just get beat by one or more of the Dutch
| riders, and the Dutch riders didn't seem to have a clear plan on
| how to control the race and who would sacrifice their chances and
| work on the front for the rest of the team.
| 
| As others have said, there were no radios allowed for riders in
| the race, so all information about the breakaway came from the
| race director's car trailing the peloton. This was a well known
| fact about the race coming in, and it's the same way that the
| annual World Championship race is run. It's normal for riders to
| drop back to the team car to get information about the break, and
| the lead moto for a group of cyclists will occasionally show time
| gaps on a whiteboard.
| 
| At least one of the Dutch riders claimed to have known about the
| lone rider off the front [1], but somehow that information didn't
| make it to the rest of the team. It seems that most of the
| peloton didn't know (or didn't care) how many riders were up the
| road, and the Dutch team failed to communicate amongst themselves
| and establish a plan.
| 
| All that leads to Kiesenhofer's solo move working out. All credit
| to her for an extremely strong ride.
| 
| [1]https://netherlandsnewslive.com/miscommunication-and-
| underes...
 
  | la_fayette wrote:
  | Sorry but this is ridiculous! Everyone who participates at the
  | olympics must be a professional athlete. Especially, if you are
  | favorite.
  | 
  | Observing the environment around you should be obvious?! It is
  | not like Anna Kiesenhofer had the one ring on her finger and
  | was invisible...
 
    | rocqua wrote:
    | She did not earn her money with cycling. Last year, her
    | proffesion was Mathematics teacher. She was also far from a
    | favorite for this race.
    | 
    | She spent one year in a proffesional group. The commentators
    | were saying she really dislikes riding in 'the bunch'. Which
    | would make proffesional cycling hard. She qualified through
    | national championships, which are open to non-proffesionals.
    | 
    | As for invisibility, the person who came second thought they
    | were first. So somehow they missed this. And she wasn't the
    | only one who didn't know there was still someone ahead.
    | 
    | Non of this is meant to say Kiesenhofer did not deserve this.
    | She rode an amazing race, and earned this gold medal.
 
      | walshemj wrote:
      | And women's pro cycling pays very poorly compared to the
      | Men.
 
        | rocqua wrote:
        | Notably, 15% of men riding in the tour de France earn
        | less than 45000 a year. That isn't a low salary, but for
        | a proffesional athlete at the peak event, it isn't a lot
        | either.
 
    | TomK32 wrote:
    | Ahhh, no. No! NO!
    | 
    | The Olympics as envisioned by Coubertin didn't allow
    | professionals for a very long time, A VERY LONG TIME. For
    | boxers this year is actually the first Olympics that do
    | accept professionals.
    | 
    | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Olympic_Games#Amateurism_and_p.
    | ..
 
      | la_fayette wrote:
      | This sounds rather idealistic and doesn't represent the
      | reality, particularly for this female cycling race! The top
      | competitors of Anna Kiesenhofer had professional contracts!
 
      | Andrew_nenakhov wrote:
      | Curiously, every single soviet sports athlete who ever
      | competed on any international event was considered an
      | amateur, while in fact being a full time professional
      | devoted to his sport.
      | 
      | Usually they were officially 'working' at some factory, but
      | were members of a sports club and received a substantial
      | stipend, never doing any work but training and competing.
      | This practice still lives in Russia. The income of any
      | Olympics team russian athlete is estimated to be no less
      | than 5-7k USD, generally coming in the form of several
      | grants and stipends.
 
    | CrazyStat wrote:
    | She finished over a full minute ahead of second place and at
    | one point had as much as a ten minute lead. She was out of
    | sight for most of the race.
 
      | la_fayette wrote:
      | Ok so you want to explain to me that when she was breaking
      | out from the group at the beginning she was invisible?
 
        | Dingen wrote:
        | As you can also read in the linked article, she broke
        | away with some others, as is usual in cycling. After a
        | while the peloton caught up with the breakaways, thinking
        | they're now racing for the lead. But they didn't realise
        | Anna Kiesenhofer wasn't among them, as she is a virtually
        | unknown amateur, so nobody missed her.
 
        | rurban wrote:
        | Excuse us, she never was an virtually unknown amateur.
        | 2017 she got a professional contract from a Belgian team,
        | but refused to cycle on their "stupid" rules. She rather
        | went by her own rules, without a team and didn't need the
        | money. 2018 she was 5th in the European time trials. She
        | constantly rode, but not so much on professional UCI
        | events, but also on many amateur marathon events. Which
        | she thought were harder and better. She was official
        | Austrian champion afterall.
        | 
        | The peloton just missed her, due to complete lack of
        | communication amongst the disfunctional leading dutch
        | team. There were many dutch and other coaches on the
        | street with cellphones, but they didn't try to catch her,
        | so she was lucky. A properly organized peloton would have
        | caught her easily. You could see with your own eyes how
        | disorganized the peloton was. Extremely interesting case
        | for social studies.
 
        | Dingen wrote:
        | Yeah, I don't mean to discredit her. Just saying the
        | peloton didn't think of her as they caught up with the
        | front runners, as they didn't really know her. Exactly
        | for the reason you state: she didn't attend a whole lot
        | of pro events.
 
  | TomK32 wrote:
  | Oh communication is so important, isn't it? There's even an old
  | Slim Gaillard song about that I used to lindy hop to
  | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=teaxWYRH9A4
  | 
  | What I've read, Kiesenhofer would have preferred to race the
  | time trial instead of the the road race, she even told that the
  | austrian press just before the race. A breakout gives you the
  | advantage of riding your own pace at our optimal and constant
  | power level; something a you can't in a breakout group where
  | the the lead does cycle and goes from hundrets watts to almost
  | zero and back again. I guess it's partly due to her not being a
  | professional (anymore), thus not having to deal with team
  | trainings and training mostly on her own? Not sure on that.
 
    | sharken wrote:
    | It would be a breath of fresh air for Tour de France if they
    | did not use radios.
    | 
    | Another outcome could be that we would not see the same rider
    | winning multiple years, simply due to missing radios.
    | 
    | All in all seems like a win for viewers.
 
      | caycep wrote:
      | Totally, and way more fun to watch and even ride in too. I
      | feel like pro cycling is way too cold and clinical these
      | days.
 
      | ISL wrote:
      | With cell phones, the crowd would suddenly have a lot of
      | agency (and spoofing).
 
      | TomK32 wrote:
      | More time trials, that's what does mix up the Tour de
      | France. I mean who needs a radio on a time trial anyways
      | :-D
 
  | hourislate wrote:
  | Is it possible that an outlier, an amateur, a lone wolf, was
  | able for a moment to draw the strength and determination that
  | would lead to victory and not even the best in the world stood
  | a chance.
  | 
  | Of is as you say....she was lucky and her victory was just a
  | series of unfortunate circumstances for the other riders. I
  | want to believe that there was no one that day that could beat
  | her.
 
    | hinkley wrote:
    | On nearly level terrain the peloton has a distinct
    | aerodynamic advantage that lets them reel in most people who
    | are just having a good day. People try it anyway and hope for
    | bad luck, or leverage time bonuses if the rules allow it.
    | 
    | Big groups on a downhill are dangerous, on an uphill are too
    | hot and cramped and so in both cases individual skill and
    | power are outsized. If a technical downhill racer can break
    | away on the last climb, they may be gone for the day. Tours
    | have been lost or won on this tactic.
    | 
    | In a multi day tour a twelfth place competitor might pull
    | away, even take a few people with them. The other teams may
    | not be interested in catching, might have lesser members in
    | the breakaway and be hedging their bets, so they can't build
    | consensus on burning their people to kick up the pace. They
    | make think that they can wait for him to wear out and reel
    | him in later, but there comes a point where from one update
    | to the next they discover he's still gaining on them, and oh
    | shit do we still have time to catch? We better find out.
    | 
    | The worst for me is when they catch the breakaway mere miles
    | from the finish line. Sometimes a person stays away all day
    | only to end up finishing in the group, or at least beaten by
    | all the sprinters.
 
      | pythko wrote:
      | > The worst for me is when they catch the breakaway mere
      | miles from the finish line. Sometimes a person stays away
      | all day only to end up finishing in the group, or at least
      | beaten by all the sprinters.
      | 
      | Yeah, this is why I (and most others, I believe) find most
      | of the sprint stages in the Tour pretty boring. The break
      | vs. peloton dynamic is critical for road races to work
      | (e.g. if there's no one up the road, why don't we all just
      | ride along at 25kph?), but in those flat stages, the sprint
      | teams are so good and care so much about the sprint finish
      | that it's almost a guarantee they catch the break.
 
        | hinkley wrote:
        | When they added the time bonus to the point system I was
        | not sure it was a good thing. But sometimes a third place
        | climbed to second or first cemented a bigger lead by
        | staying out front for 2/3 of the race and then finishing
        | with the pack. Especially if they could pull it off twice
 
    | pythko wrote:
    | It would be nice to believe, but when second place celebrates
    | like she won says she wasn't aware of a rider up the road,
    | it's not just not the story today. Perhaps if they had known
    | and chased, Kiesenhofer still would have been able to hold
    | them off, but we'll never know.
    | 
    | I also wouldn't call the rest of the peloton "unfortunate."
    | They knew keeping track of the breakaway would be especially
    | important given the lack of radio communication with a
    | director in a team car, and they still didn't. I think
    | Kiesenhofer deserves a ton of credit for this win; she was in
    | the break from the very start of the race, and she was solo
    | for over an hour, I believe. You can't do that without a lot
    | of dedicated training and preparation. If anything, I think
    | this is an example of "shoot your shot." You never know when
    | things will break your way!
    | 
    | Part of the reason I love cycling races is that it's a
    | combination of athletic ability and strategic thinking that
    | you don't see in most other sports. The physics of drafting
    | mean that a well coordinated group almost always has the
    | speed advantage over a lone rider, but lone riders often win
    | races because they don't have to deal with the coordination
    | problems of a group. After 4+ hours of racing, people are
    | trying to calculate optimal game theory decisions while at
    | their max heart rate. It can be bonkers to watch!
 
      | hinkley wrote:
      | If you can manage to pull away when the front of the pack
      | is dominated by people with no chance, then it can be hard
      | to catch. Part of the chess match in cycling is keeping
      | your friends close but your enemies closer. If you can
      | catch a draft off of the person making a break, you burn
      | far less energy than they do. If you're trying to reel them
      | in then you've won. Otherwise if you can't beat em, join
      | em.
      | 
      | This is why relative unknowns often break away. Especially
      | as a professional. Nobody was watching Pedro Noname, but
      | now the sponsors and recruiters know his name. Even if he
      | doesn't win, he's gotten a good story and better prospects.
      | 
      | In this case it sounds like communication was bad and so if
      | you didn't _see_ her break away then some people didn't
      | know she was gone. Or vastly underestimated her.
 
      | TomK32 wrote:
      | A few months ago on my usual round I (6'3", 103kg) by
      | chance teamed up with a much smaller woman. I felt the
      | draft effet even when I was behind her rather small statue,
      | and it was a fun and quick ride. Then came a bus of five
      | riders working even better then we did and they went by at
      | an incredible speed. Since then I humbly accept that
      | breakouts winning a race is rare.
 
    | wly_cdgr wrote:
    | There's always someone who can beat you. It doesn't matter -
    | they didn't. What matters is that she chose and executed her
    | best-chance prep and race day strategies wisely and bravely.
    | It takes away nothing from her achievement that she also
    | happened to hit the one outer she needed on the river
 
  | Ostrogodsky wrote:
  | All this is true but it doesnt stop painting the Dutch riders
  | (and the rest of the peloton) as very amateur. It is not about
  | resources, people like van Vleuten or Voss receive resources
  | (money, sponsorship,equipment) than 99.9% of cyclists in the
  | world will never see (both men and women) and yet they made a
  | schoolboy mistake here. When you compare that to the men's
  | event it could be practically be a different sport.
 
    | [deleted]
 
    | acdha wrote:
    | It's not like men don't make errors, even at this level - the
    | entire point is pushing people to their absolute limit. The
    | more interesting lesson for anyone not peddling an agenda is
    | the importance of training exactly as the main event will
    | happen - national teams usually have limited experience
    | together and not having radios meant that the riders were
    | guessing about details they normally know far more precisely.
 
      | Ostrogodsky wrote:
      | It is obvious you know nothing about cycling. No peloton
      | worth its salt will let a breakaway rider to march all the
      | way long to gold totally unopposed and even worst, without
      | being aware of it. This does not happen even at amateur or
      | very young categories.
      | 
      | To the people downvoting me, you cannot wish reality away.
      | But by all means continue living in your fantasy world.
 
        | acdha wrote:
        | Totally unopposed, except for the part where they caught
        | 2 of the 3 riders? Nobody is arguing that it wasn't an
        | error but that happens regularly -- everyone is making
        | strategic and tactical decisions while riding at a high
        | fraction of their maximum heart rate, and there was
        | clearly a communications breakdown based on the claim
        | that Van Vleuten and Van der Breggen had been told that
        | Plichta was the last. Mistakes under pressure are not
        | gender-specific.
 
        | dang wrote:
        | Would you please stop breaking the site guidelines so we
        | don't have to ban you again? Your substantive comments
        | are good but the amount of flamebait you toss in is
        | abusive, and the damage you cause by that exceeds the
        | value of the good stuff by a lot.
        | 
        | We're trying to have a forum that doesn't destroy itself
        | [1, 2]--if you'd like to contribute to that, you're
        | welcome here, but as long as you're adding to the self-
        | destructive tendencies (which are the way things go by
        | default on the internet and hardly need you or anyone
        | else to nudge them), you're not.
        | 
        | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
        | 
        | [1] https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=f
        | alse&so...
        | 
        | [2] https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=f
        | alse&qu...
 
  | spodek wrote:
  | > All credit to her for an extremely strong ride.
  | 
  | And a better strategy, which is a major part of competition.
  | People commenting on her being lucky. She had a better
  | strategy.
 
    | jamincan wrote:
    | I mean, it worked in this case, but winning from the break,
    | especially for an important race like this, is rare. They
    | were definitely lucky.
 
      | OscarCunningham wrote:
      | If you're losing then it's a good idea to take actions that
      | increase the variance of the possible outcomes.
 
      | boshomi wrote:
      | She was at least 40km alone in the wind. There she needed
      | 20-30% more energy then the riders in the peleton. So this
      | was a incredible performance while the peleton calculated
      | wrong.
 
        | LiamHex wrote:
        | And she was in the wind regularly (in a small group of 3)
        | for the other 100km. Incredible.
 
    | TomK32 wrote:
    | Breaks are rarely a winning strategy (on mountains they are,
    | but those are a pure display of strength and will-power).
    | Granted she is a mathematician and might be literate in road
    | racing strategy but I'm sure a lot of that strategy is down
    | to experience which she doesn't have.
 
      | throw_nbvc1234 wrote:
      | https://youtu.be/mccKzTdfXts
      | 
      | But when they are it's amazing to watch. Completely
      | different circumstances though.
 
    | croes wrote:
    | The others had no strategy because they didn't know she were
    | upfront.
 
      | diskzero wrote:
      | Other than showing up on time for the race, step one of
      | your plan for winning is knowing the position of your
      | competitors. This is road racing 101.
 
  | localhost wrote:
  | If you're interested in learning more, the Lanterne Rouge
  | podcast has an excellent recap of today's race:
  | https://youtu.be/uKXX_3GKZWE
 
  | antattack wrote:
  | Sounds similar to Emma Coburn's win in steeplechase in 2014[1]
  | 
  | [1]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u_riHHyAIvk
 
    | GavinMcG wrote:
    | (Coburn, rather)
 
| shayankh wrote:
| in germany every1 has a phd; no surprise really
 
  | mkurz wrote:
  | Except that she is from Austria, studied in Vienna, which is
  | also in Austria. She has absolutely nothing to do with Germany.
 
  | Tainnor wrote:
  | A PhD in mathematics is not the same thing as a ghostwritten
  | PhD in some other disciplines that are notorious for this sort
  | of thing.
 
| PuddleOfSausage wrote:
| (More related to the comments than the article) I've seen tons of
| takes on this since watching the end of the race this morning
| and, although it certainly played a part in deciding the outcome,
| it's a shame that more focus has seemed to be on making excuses
| or how the Dutch riders messed things up instead of Dr
| Kiesenhofer's incredible story and ride.
| 
| Kiesenhofer was on a fantastic day: van Vleuten's earlier attack
| from the peloton made no inroads to Kiesenhofer, assuming the
| time gaps shown on the TV were correct.
| 
| Watching on the TV we knew there was still a rider out front and,
| even if the race "ardoisier" (blackboard holder) wasn't the best,
| team management should have figured out a way to get that
| information to the chasing pack. I mean, the race finished on a
| motor racing circuit with pit lanes containing team helpers! It's
| not like it was like stage 16 of this year's Giro, where poor
| weather stopped race images being broadcast[1].
| 
| [1] https://cyclingtips.com/2021/05/gallery-amazing-images-
| from-...
 
  | Sergiu37 wrote:
  | In giro they have radio communications from the team manager.
  | In the Olympics they don't have that, they can't tell them the
  | differences.
  | 
  | Also winning when the opponents are not really trying to catch
  | you it's not really a story either. It happens a lot even when
  | they know a rider is upfront in order to save energy for second
  | place and not give a free ride to other cyclists -see how
  | Carapaz won in men events where only Wout tried to catch him.
  | The real story is the mistake from the dutch team that could
  | have catch her but missinterpreted the situation.
 
| j7ake wrote:
| What an amazing effort from Kiesenhofer. I imagine being alone in
| the front for that long would be many times more effort than
| staying in the peloton. Heroic effort.
| 
| I am curious how this upset compare with other upsets in previous
| Olympics? Has there been bigger upsets than this one?
| 
| If this were a tennis event, would this be like someone who was
| ranked top 50 or top 100 in the world beating Novak Djokovic to
| win gold?
 
| dmix wrote:
| I'm curious how much the extra year has helped some athletes who
| wouldn't have won or might not have won until 2024. Or given a
| few the extra time to show they can compete.
| 
| For ex: an 18yr old Tunisian was a big upset for gold at 400m
| swimming.
| 
| https://ftw.usatoday.com/lists/olympics-swimming-ahmed-hafna...
| 
| https://youtu.be/nkkn9qEnPbE
| 
| Not to downplay any of their abilities or achievements.
 
  | rocqua wrote:
  | The extra year was also a year with less competition. That
  | probably allowed some people to train up without being noticed.
  | 
  | Normally it would have been noticed how much they improved in
  | the past year in competition. Without competition, you don't
  | know how people progressed the last year.
 
| [deleted]
 
| polote wrote:
| "After Shapira and Plichta were caught by the remainder of the
| peloton the rest of the riders seemed to believe that they were
| racing amongst themselves for Gold, unaware that Kiesenhofer was
| still in front."
| 
| Not saying she shouldn't had won, but when nobody is pursuing
| you, it is much easier to win.
| 
| We have seen in the men race that even when people know there is
| one person in front, 80% of the riders prefer not to force to
| prevent the strongest guy of the group to win the sprint. (Who
| won the sprint anyway)
 
  | iainmerrick wrote:
  | _Not saying she shouldn 't had won, but when nobody is pursuing
  | you, it is much easier to win._
  | 
  | She certainly benefited from a mistake by the other
  | competitors, but "much easier" is surely a big exaggeration.
  | You could equally well say it's much harder to win the race
  | when you're out by yourself, with nobody to chase, nobody to
  | set the pace, and no pack to draft with.
  | 
  | If she hadn't cycled the race of her life, she would have been
  | caught.
 
    | bandyaboot wrote:
    | I don't think "much easier" is an exaggeration at all. It is
    | hard to win with no help as you say. Which is why there's a
    | good chance that she would have been caught if the people who
    | did have help knew there was someone they needed to catch.
    | 
    | That being said, good on her for sneaking away getting out in
    | front unnoticed. It's not always just about pure ability.
 
      | eCa wrote:
      | > sneaking away getting out in front unnoticed
      | 
      | They knew she was in the early breakaway, they just assumed
      | she had been caught.
 
        | lmilcin wrote:
        | Let's just say, and I know this from experience as
        | amateur runner, when you ride an olympic effort you are
        | probably not the best at counting and remembering things.
 
  | rocqua wrote:
  | Consider what happened in mens racing.
  | 
  | When there is someone ahead, you also get hesitation. No one
  | wants to expend the effort to catch them. Everyone hopes that
  | someone else will put in that effort. It's a classic game
  | theoretical 'tragedy of the commons'.
  | 
  | The same could have happened here. The dutch riders were all
  | riding for themselves. The other riders would probably have
  | looked to the favorites to close the gap.
 
  | zucker42 wrote:
  | Tactics are as important as strength in cycling. The strongest
  | person doesn't always win.
 
  | Denvercoder9 wrote:
  | The road race at the Olympics is somewhat of an outlier in
  | cycling. It uses national teams as opposed to commerical teams,
  | so riders ride with unfamilar teammates, and in this case the
  | biggest favorites were actually teammates. It also bans radios,
  | so there's no direct communication between the coaches and the
  | riders possible.
 
    | jessaustin wrote:
    | I didn't see this race yet, and although I enjoy watching it
    | I'm no expert on road cycling. However, ISTR that in every
    | televised race there is a particular motorcycle that stays
    | with the lead rider(s). If a racer thinks she's on the front
    | and _doesn 't_ see that motorcycle around somewhere,
    | shouldn't she reconsider her position?
    | 
    | Also the racers who had been on the breakaway and got caught
    | knew she was still up there, but they might not have cared to
    | tell anyone about it.
 
      | Denvercoder9 wrote:
      | There's usually motorcycles in front of the chasing groups
      | as well, and I don't think the motorcycle for the leader is
      | specially marked.
 
    | TomK32 wrote:
    | Even with radio, the breakouts might feel confident with the
    | lead but not realize yet that the poursuivants have stepped
    | up their speed.
 
    | ossusermivami wrote:
    | world/european championship has the same national structure
    | as the olympics, the radios are present in those races, so in
    | that way the olympics is unique.
 
  | lmilcin wrote:
  | No, the rules are pretty simple. The one who manages to first
  | cross the finish line wins. Everybody knows the rules.
  | 
  | The problem is it is not a very simple sport and there is some
  | game theory involved. Riding as fast as possible is not the
  | best strategy, actually it is pretty poor one.
  | 
  | The better strategy comes from understanding you don't need to
  | win by a lot, winning by 1s is the same as winning by 10
  | minutes. Also riding alone or at the front costs a lot more
  | effort than riding behind somebody.
  | 
  | Actually, riding at the same speed at the front might be max
  | effort and in the pack might be almost coasting.
  | 
  | Together, this means you may have a very valid strategy to try
  | to preserve energy (ie. keep with the pack) and count on your
  | better ability to sprint at the end to get ahead of
  | competitors. That of course as long as you believe there is
  | nobody running away.
  | 
  | At the extreme of effort, very small differences of effort can
  | have very large effects on your body. If you look at it, a
  | difference of tempo to run a 5k and 10k is very small.
  | 
  | The current world records for 5k is 12:35.36 and 10k is
  | 26:11.00.
  | 
  | If you look at difference, 5k is 151s/km while 10k is 156s/km,
  | just 5s or 3% slower.
  | 
  | And yet that minute difference lets you run twice as far.
 
    | rocqua wrote:
    | And yet, there are quite a few solo wins. I think somewhere
    | between 10 and 25 percent of races get won solo?
    | 
    | The advantage of the solo strategy is that everyone behind
    | you is trying to put in less effort than the others behind
    | you. So they can get stuck in a game theoretical tragedy of
    | the commons.
 
    | TomK32 wrote:
    | Why 5k when it's only a week since Austrian Christoph
    | Strasser set the records for 1000 (one thousand) kilometers,
    | in just under a day (with 2 minutes total for breaks and
    | clothes changes).
 
      | lmilcin wrote:
      | Because I ran distances from 5k to marathon (with 10k being
      | my favourite) and so I know from my own experience. I have
      | no knowledge of how you run a 1000k run.
 
    | orthoxerox wrote:
    | Time trial is a better way of finding which rider is the
    | fastest, but the race is so boring without an obvious winner.
 
    | hinkley wrote:
    | In professional cycling the Ride as Hard as You Can people
    | are necessary but often don't achieve any real rank on the
    | team. They might not even finish a tour, either having not
    | budgeted enough for the late stages, or being so new that
    | they can't understand how tired they're gonna be later.
    | 
    | Their claim to fame may be limited to being on the top team,
    | it might be being on a top 5 team. If you're lucky you team
    | may place several people in the top 10. If you're their hedge
    | against the captain being injured, that might even be your
    | name in seventh place.
    | 
    | Lemond is famous in small part for being number #2 to Bernard
    | Hinault and feeling it should have been him on the podium.
    | 
    | But Lemond is the classic case of the unreliable captain. He
    | was like a race horse. On a good day he was like the wind.
    | But a stiff breeze could lay him up. He lamented the Hinault
    | situation but illness stopped him from winning two others.
    | And then that goddamned duck hunting trip... (I met him a few
    | years later, he did a signing at a bike shop owned by a
    | friend... who he as going to go duck hunting with the next
    | day. I so wanted to ask him why he was crazy.)
    | 
    | I never felt he had the sort of lieutenants that Armstrong
    | enjoyed, the way he was to Hinault. I'm racking my brain
    | trying to remember who was on Delgado's team and coming up
    | completely blank. But I think that just proves my point.
 
      | rjsw wrote:
      | > I'm racking my brain trying to remember who was on
      | Delgado's team and coming up completely blank.
      | 
      | Delgado had Miguel Indurain [1] working for him, hardly an
      | unknown rider.
      | 
      | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Miguel_Indur%C3%A1in
 
        | hinkley wrote:
        | Oops. Seems I have flipped Delgado and Indurain in my
        | head. Which I should have realized when the wikipedia
        | page seemed to be understating his win history.
        | 
        | Who was Indurain's right hand?
 
      | lmilcin wrote:
      | > In professional cycling the Ride as Hard as You Can
      | people are necessary but often don't achieve any real rank
      | on the team. They might not even finish a tour, either
      | having not budgeted enough for the late stages, or being so
      | new that they can't understand how tired they're gonna be
      | later.
      | 
      | I am not much interested in cycling, but I understand this
      | is the dimension that is not present on Olympics. Or do
      | they also ride as teams and assign from the start who is
      | going to get "protected" to preserve their strength to get
      | the best shot at getting gold?
 
        | Leherenn wrote:
        | Most countries will have a clear leader yes, especially
        | the big ones with 4/5 riders. Sometimes they hedge their
        | bets by having one guy "free", often in the breakaway. It
        | apparently wasn't so much the case with the Dutch women
        | this year though.
 
  | freefal wrote:
  | The big difference between typical pro races and the Olympics
  | is that in the Olympics the riders don't race with radios,
  | which made this situation possible. In a typical pro race, the
  | team director would be telling his riders there is still
  | someone up the road.
 
| Quarrel wrote:
| This is incredible, but some of the headlines of "amateur wins
| gold versus pros" are a little misleading.
| 
| She was with a pro-team, she is the current Austrian time-trial
| champion and had devoted herself to making this happen over the
| pandemic. Meanwhile the Dutch World Champion didn't know she was
| ahead, so didn't chase her.
| 
| I love the story, but it isn't a simple amateur beating out all
| the pros story.
 
  | rocqua wrote:
  | She's only an amateur in the technical sense.
  | 
  | It seems to me like she has the passion and drive for time
  | trialing, not really road racing. It's hard to do that for
  | money, and she is apparently driven and lucky enough to be able
  | to have a job but still train like a pro.
 
  | mkurz wrote:
  | > She was with a pro-team
  | 
  | Only in 2017. She quit a Belgian pro-team shortly after she
  | joined [1]. Quote from the linked article: "I noticed that
  | professional sport is too much physical and psychological
  | stress for me and that I prefer to only do hobby sport"
  | 
  | > but it isn't a simple amateur beating out all the pros story.
  | 
  | IMHO she probably is not really just an amateur, but also not a
  | pro. I mean, she is 30, doing her post-doc at EPFL Lausanne
  | right now... It's not like training is the only thing she
  | spends her time with. Also not sure if she has sponsors.
  | 
  | And to everyone here on HN saying that the Dutch riders didn't
  | know there was someone in front: These are professional
  | athletes, competing at the olympics. If the Dutch's claim is
  | true, it's their own fault. Knowing who is/how many are in
  | front is part of the game. And they lost that game. Also
  | Kiesenhofer was ahead 1:15 minutes. It's not like that's
  | nothing. Even if the Dutch would have chased her, is it sure
  | they would have beaten her? I am not sure...
  | 
  | The point being: Kiesenhofer won, no matter what.
  | 
  | [1] https://sport.orf.at/tokyo2020/stories/3081410
 
    | rocqua wrote:
    | It is definitely the mistake of the dutch riders, and the
    | dutch team. From reports, it might also be issue with
    | communication between the organization and the dutch team.
    | 
    | There were complaints about unclarity of information for the
    | riders. If true that probably is something the organization
    | to do better. But 'our girls' could have done better.
    | 
    | My read is that: being used to having communication; hubris
    | and situational awareness mistakes; unclear signaling of gaps
    | to the riders; and a spotty cell connection in the coach's
    | car combined to the Dutch riders making a very bad mistake.
    | 
    | What would have happened without this mistake is an unkowanle
    | what-if. My money would be on Kiesemhofer having been caught,
    | given how quickly the gap was shrinking at the end. But that
    | what if doesn't matter as much as the huge mistake that
    | prevented it from materializing.
 
| mikeyouse wrote:
| Seems she's a PhD who studies Partial Differential Equations. Her
| post-doc research institution is understandably proud:
| 
| https://actu.epfl.ch/news/epfl-scientist-wins-cycling-gold-m...
 
  | sdenton4 wrote:
  | This was what I came into the comments to find out! I like that
  | the faculty is 'celebrating her result,' a phrase we often use
  | for new discoveries and theorems, rather than race placements.
  | 
  | I got excited when I saw 'Catalan' in the original article,
  | but, sadly, as she's in PDE research, she's merely from
  | Catalan, not studying Catalan numbers.
  | 
  | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catalan_number
 
    | enriquto wrote:
    | > I got excited when I saw 'Catalan' in the original article,
    | but, sadly, as she's in PDE research, she's merely (...)
    | 
    |  _angry Catalan noises_
    | 
    | I'm really happy for her, she did her PhD at my alma mater,
    | in a rather well-known lab. Here's one of the main papers
    | leading to the doctorate: https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.02605
 
  | dls2016 wrote:
  | I left the PDE group as a postdoc a few months before she
  | joined. This even further solidifies that I wasn't quite cut
  | out for that level of mathematics... haha.
  | 
  | Congrats on her win!
 
| egeozcan wrote:
| https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cycling_at_the_2020_Summer_Oly...
| 
| With more than a minute difference to the rest? She wasn't even
| in the pack, incredible victory.
 
  | billfruit wrote:
  | In fact initially Van Vleuten thought she had won when she
  | finished and didn't knew that Kiesenhofer had finished ahead of
  | her.
 
| tosh wrote:
| Interesting preparation twitter thread by Anna Kiesenhofer on
| body temperature
| 
| https://twitter.com/AnnaKiesenhofer/status/14113592085247262...
 
  | TomK32 wrote:
  | Interesting, the race taking place on a hot day and she doesn't
  | feel hot when her core peaks at 39.3 degrees.
 
  | dillondoyle wrote:
  | Especially with global warming I wish they took climate into
  | more account with deciding locations. It becomes borderline
  | unsafe I think the US track trials were too hot if I remember
  | right?
  | 
  | For training though the US climbers have a small space in their
  | gym that is enclosed in plastic with heater humidifiers for
  | this reason. pretty funny.
  | 
  | Temps + humidity - or 'condies' as the kids say - are really
  | important to climb at the top level. Cold and a breeze is
  | usually best.
 
| tosh wrote:
| Great performance, thrilling race, well done!
 
| haunter wrote:
| There are no radios allowed at the Olympics, like there are at
| professional races (ie Tour, Vuelta, Giro etc.)
| 
| That simple. The last refresh point was ~50kms before the final,
| if the person there didn't give an info to the riders then they
| just didn't know how far she was ahead hence the confusion of van
| Vleuten at the finish
 
  | tokai wrote:
  | No radios really exposed the poor racecraft of the Dutch
  | riders. Seen some commentators criticising the no radios in OL
  | (and WM) races, but I personally I think it is nice that it
  | emphasize the skill of the rider and minimise the impact of
  | SD's. Riders in the van Vleuten group, such as Uttrup, did know
  | that there was a rider up the road. So it does seem that the
  | mishap is truly on the Ducth riders.
 
| elijaht wrote:
| I recently started watching road cycling with this years Tour de
| France and now the Olympics and it's pretty interesting. A lot of
| tactical depth and it's a perfect WFH background noise- it plays
| out over hours so you don't have to be watching every minute
| 
| Both mens and womens road race in the Olympics were excellent
| too, a lot of drama and interesting mind games
 
| consp wrote:
| Don't know where to add it to so I'll add it in response to the
| OP as some discussion is about it:
| 
| Quotation from the Dutch TV (interview with van Vleuten, silver
| medal winner) [1]:
| 
| > "Onderschatting van de tegenstander, in combinatie met heel
| veel miscommunicatie en ook slechte communicatie vanuit de
| organisatie."
| 
| Which roughly translates to () is mine: "Underestimated the
| opposition (singular), in combination with lots of
| miscommunication and bad communication (with the team) from the
| organization."
| 
| Though it looked like she was contend with the performance of
| Anna Kiesenhofer vs her eventual performance.
| 
| [1] Source: https://nos.nl/tokyo2020/artikel/2390838-38-jaar-en-
| ze-had-m...
| 
| Video is country restricted for some stupid reason as it is a
| interview ... stop whining about rights ...
 
| endisneigh wrote:
| Her victory is well deserved, but from what I can tell in the
| Olympics isn't it the case that unless they're right in front of
| you contestants have no way of knowing if they're even winning?
| This could be a case of #2 and #3 falling from the lead and not
| even realizing they're #2 and #3, and rather thinking they're #1
| and #2. If they knew their true positions it's possible the
| outcome could've been different.
 
  | tokai wrote:
  | >if they knew their true positions it's possible the outcome
  | could've been different.
  | 
  | That is part of the sport. riders keep up with time gaps on
  | boards from the motos, they go back to their team car for
  | information (and water), count the riders getting brought back,
  | they talk with their team mates or even other teams about the
  | situation. Radioless races are run differently, but the
  | favourites forgetting the road leader is not common and
  | embarrassing.
 
| srean wrote:
| It might be interesting to recall that Alan Turing was an
| Olympics team contender for 1948~1949
 
  | IceDane wrote:
  | Yes, let's use the opportunity this article about this
  | successful woman has provided us to talk about successful men
  | instead. Great suggestion.
 
    | srean wrote:
    | No offense intended, it seems my comment has upset you or
    | someone else who has been downvoting unrelated comments.
    | 
    | Turing is a person of interest here, for obvious reasons, so
    | did not think it would be out of place. Gender identity was
    | the last thing on my mind.
    | 
    | There are some similarities, a mathematician, amateur
    | sportsman in an Olympics, don't you think ? Turing's running
    | mates were quite unaware of his technical and academic
    | contributions, partly due to the secrecy of his wartime
    | contributions.
    | 
    | If women athletes with academic accomplishments interest you,
    | you may checkout Corinna Cortes. She is VP at Google
    | Research, known for her foundational work in machine
    | learning, support vector machines in particular. She is
    | Danish, if that matters to you.
 
    | xondono wrote:
    | Let's ignore talking about mathematicians who participate in
    | the olympics and focus on their genitalia, because that's
    | clearly what's important here.
 
    | mmdoda wrote:
    | The fact that she's a woman doesn't make this interesting.
    | (Woman winning women's cycling wouldn't be much news.) The
    | reason this is interesting is because she's a Mathematician
    | and an amateur.
 
    | hervature wrote:
    | It seems like a pertinent interesting side fact about
    | mathematicians at the Olympics. The list is obviously pretty
    | small.
 
    | adrian_b wrote:
    | Any 2 humans who are simultaneously good mathematicians and
    | good athletes have much more in common than most pairs of
    | women or most pairs of men have just because they have the
    | same sex.
 
  | _Microft wrote:
  | Honest question: why would this be interesting in this context?
  | 
  | (Edit: check the follow-up comments to see why I wasn't as
  | surprised as others about Ms. Kiesenhofer being both
  | sportswomen and active academic and therefore did not make the
  | connection with Mr. Turing immediately)
 
    | mmdoda wrote:
    | Because he's also a Mathematician in the Olympics, similar to
    | (but not as successful) as Mrs. Kiesenhofer. We like when
    | nerds are not completely 1 dimensional.
 
      | rurban wrote:
      | Why don't you call her Dr. Kiesenhofer then? Esp. Austrians
      | love their titles.
 
      | _Microft wrote:
      | Hmm, I've got a friend who won the German championship in
      | their sport (watersport, individual) and went on to get a
      | PhD in math, so maybe that's why the idea of both being a
      | successful sportsman and following an academic career was
      | not exactly foreign to me. Thanks for replying!
 
    | awb wrote:
    | It's super rare to be intellectually gifted and a world-class
    | athlete. There was an NFL offensive lineman with a published
    | mathematical paper as well, but I didn't know about Turing's
    | physical talents until now.
    | 
    | I don't know of any other instances of brilliant people being
    | paid or awarded medals for their physical abilities, so I
    | personally found it interesting.
    | 
    | I guess the parent comment was for those of us that were
    | intrigued by the intersection of top-tier physical and mental
    | abilities.
 
      | [deleted]
 
      | acdha wrote:
      | It's also a healthy correction for the nerds-versus-jocks
      | dichotomy which was so common for years. There are a non-
      | trivial number of people who actively questioned someone's
      | technical competency if they were athletic or assumed that
      | the only way to be a successful academic was to grind
      | everything else out of their life.
 
        | jamincan wrote:
        | My experience is that high-achievers in one area are
        | often high-achievers in other areas as well. For
        | academics as well as athletics, individual ability
        | matters, but the discipline and work-ethic that most
        | high-achievers have translates across fields.
 
        | acdha wrote:
        | Yes - also simply the circumstances: if you're in a
        | position to do either well, you probably don't have
        | serious chronic health problems, family demands, poverty,
        | etc. That doesn't make it easy but it makes it possible
        | to focus on something more than survival, much as how
        | coming from a financially stable family makes it easier
        | for someone to take a gamble on a startup rather than a
        | safer job at a big company.
 
      | mncharity wrote:
      | There's https://news.mit.edu/2019/student-john-urschel-
      | math-football... .
 
| bijant wrote:
| The Dutch Cyclists didn't even need a phd in PDEs, they could
| have gone for gold if they had been able to count to three.
 
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