[HN Gopher] It's time for us in the tech world to speak out abou...
___________________________________________________________________
 
It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about
cryptocurrency
 
Author : cratermoon
Score  : 436 points
Date   : 2021-05-30 18:55 UTC (4 hours ago)
 
web link (twitter.com)
w3m dump (twitter.com)
 
| onelastjob wrote:
| If you're in rural India and don't have access to a bank account,
| but you do have internet access via a smartphone, then I could
| definitely see cryptocurrency being valuable to you. And that
| doesn't even take into account countries like Venezuela that are
| experiencing hyperinflation, where cryptocurrency would be much
| more useful. There are cryptocurrencies that are energy efficient
| and have low (or even zero) transaction fees. I doubt the author
| has looked into these coins.
| 
| Beyond just currency uses, smart contracts open the door to
| phasing out escrow middlemen for purely digital transactions
| (like buying/selling domain names, etc.) Decentralized lending
| and borrowing is another major use of smart contract coins.
 
  | captn3m0 wrote:
  | Banking penetration in India is at 80+% mainly due to DBT
  | pushing straight to bank accounts.
  | 
  | India's smartphone penetration is at 41%.
  | 
  | All exchanges in India require a Savings Bank account for Fiat
  | transfers. How are these unbanked people meant to use crypto
  | really?
 
    | onelastjob wrote:
    | You don't have to use an exchange to acquire cryptocurrency.
    | People can use sites like localbitcoins to exchange cash for
    | crypto in person.
 
  | seoaeu wrote:
  | How exactly do you imagine that an unbanked person living in
  | rural India would be able use cryptocurrency? It isn't like
  | they can just enter their credit card into a website and buy
  | some. Not to mention that even if they someone managed to
  | acquire some, the $5+/transaction fees are going to make
  | something like bitcoin or ethereum completely impractical.
 
    | yannoninator wrote:
    | there are other alternative cryptocurrencies working on this
    | exact problem.
    | 
    | you're talking as if bitcoin and ethereum is all of
    | cryptocurrency.
 
    | onelastjob wrote:
    | Nano has free transactions. Other cryptos like Stellar and
    | Solana have low cost transactions. People can use sites like
    | localbitcoins to exchange cash for crypto.
 
| [deleted]
 
| cryptica wrote:
| Cryptocurrency will never go away. The more time passes, the more
| conviction people have.
| 
| As someone who is a loser in both the fiat ecosystem and crypto
| ecosystem and having experienced some horrors both ecosystems, I
| prefer crypto ecosystem hands down because it's the most honest
| and transparent system.
| 
| Once you understand how both systems work, it's impossible to
| pick the fiat system. The fiat system is a pyramid scheme of epic
| proportions. It's not possible for an ethical person to want to
| participate in the fiat system once they understand how it works.
| It is really that bad.
 
| shafyy wrote:
| The issue of the "promise" of cryptos (and blockchain in general)
| is that it tries to solve problems that are not tech problems.
| 
| They are mostly political/governmental problems that are solved
| by a working democracy. In countries where there is no working
| democracy, the dictator won't give two shits if this NFT proves
| that you own this piece of land before taking it from you.
| Blockchain in itself is not something that brings political
| stability to a country.
 
  | sneak wrote:
  | The nice thing about Bitcoin is that it doesn't have a
  | jurisdiction or location[1]; you can solve some problems in
  | some places via a functioning government, but Bitcoin solves
  | some problems in _all_ places simultaneously.
  | 
  | [1]: this is not to claim, as some do, that it is
  | unregulatable, although it may be.
 
    | shafyy wrote:
    | What problem does Bitcoin solve?
 
      | sneak wrote:
      | The threat of unwarranted civil asset forfeiture. The
      | threat of arbitrary unbounded inflation.
      | 
      | Perhaps you don't consider those risks to you to be very
      | big, so you don't place much value on mitigating them.
      | Other people do, however.
 
      | Gibbon1 wrote:
      | Far as I can tell bitcoin boosters are either people that
      | can't trust people for some reason, like they are doing
      | something grossly illegal. Or they hate having to trust
      | people.
 
      | coolspot wrote:
      | How to get a ransom without being caught?
      | 
      | How to pay a drug/malware/CP dealer?
      | 
      | How to receive a bribe without physical exchange/trail?
      | 
      | Cash doesn't work well for any of these use ases, while
      | crypto (esp. Monero) is just perfect!
 
  | judge2020 wrote:
  | If everything is considered 'owned' based on NFTs, and other
  | stuff relies on that to verify ownership and provide services,
  | then the government talking the physical land only gives them
  | the utility of the land itself, and not the other stuff (eg.
  | The ability to sell the property) - plus, the government
  | superseding a fictional blockchain-backed real estate market is
  | likely to cause a market crash.
  | 
  | Blockchains and NFTs make sense only when the blockchain
  | becomes the source of truth, and it does solve real problems -
  | it just doesn't work for cryptocurrency when someone's $1 could
  | be worth 30 cent or 6 dollars in just a year. Nobody wants that
  | amount of uncertainty.
 
    | jameshart wrote:
    | Claiming you have the ability to sell some property when all
    | you actually have is an NFT that purports to represent
    | ownership of the property, but the property itself is in the
    | hands of a government that doesn't recognize that NFT is
    | going to have a significant impact on the sale price you can
    | get for that NFT.
    | 
    | Property rights are always going to rest on the rule of law,
    | and in places where the rule of law is strong, property title
    | law is well established and doesn't need a distributed ledger
    | to disrupt it. Disrupting it would generally be bad.
 
    | 0x0 wrote:
    | > "only gives them the utility of the land itself"
    | 
    | "only"?
    | 
    | I'd say the "utility of the land" IS the only value of
    | "having" land.
 
      | coolspot wrote:
      | Obviously you're missing that most of any land's value
      | comes from the fact that it can be wrapped as NFT.
      | 
      | It is well known historic fact that Romans fought for new
      | land knowing that the time will come when you could wrap it
      | into NFT to make finally useful!
      | 
      | Same story with Columbus and his ICO (Initial Columbus
      | Odyssey).
 
    | morelisp wrote:
    | I gotta give you credit, "NFTs are important because you can
    | otherwise only have the actual use of the land, not the
    | financially-speculative value of the land" is a bold take
    | given that usually the cryptocurrency pitch (that CCs are a
    | good store of value because they won't inflate relative to
    | real assets) is _exactly the opposite_.
 
  | Bayart wrote:
  | >working democracy
  | 
  | That's a sizable assumption to begin with. Democracies are less
  | and less, well, _working_ because the Internet itself has
  | eroded trust significantly and is moving the parameters of
  | epistemology around. That is a problem caused by tech, so how
  | is it not a tech problem ? The work done in the blockchain
  | space on _trust_ is IMO very important.
 
  | bo1024 wrote:
  | Actually, my understanding is that cryptocurrencies are having
  | impact in developing countries. They can address
  | hyperinflation, access to financial services, general friction
  | in exchanging money etc.
 
    | delaaxe wrote:
    | But of course hyperinflation will never ever come to the
    | first world
 
    | ArkanExplorer wrote:
    | The people who have the capability to use and exchange
    | cryptocurrencies in developing countries are those who
    | already have local or foreign bank accounts denominated in
    | USD or EUR.
    | 
    | These same people then mine coins in those countries,
    | utilising cheap or subsidised electricity, resulting in power
    | shortages.
    | 
    | As we have seen in Turkey, these exchanges can be easily shut
    | down, or the founder can simply disappear with all the cash.
    | 
    | These are not really long term solutions, and the existence
    | of cyrptocoins is probably making the individual lives of
    | people in the 3rd world worse.
    | 
    | I think its more likely that if these grey-market coins
    | didn't exist, the local tech bros in the 2nd/3rd world would
    | actually be pushing Governments to improve general financial
    | regulation and stability, and building a proper series of
    | banking companies themselves.
 
    | HarryHirsch wrote:
    | M-Pesa and SMS banking in general had an immense impact in
    | African nations. Bitcoin - not so much.
 
    | shafyy wrote:
    | Do you have a source for this?
    | 
    | For example, Erdogan flat out banned businesses from
    | accepting cryptocurrency when he saw that people were putting
    | their money in cryptos because of the inflation of the
    | Turkish Lira.
    | 
    | It's not like cryptos are a stable currency, either.
    | Question: Wouldn't it make more sense for people in develping
    | countries to buy more stable assets or currencies, or is it
    | not possible to that because of a lack of access?
 
      | Allezxandre wrote:
      | One example from last month:
      | https://decrypt.co/69205/cardano-developer-iohk-strikes-
      | part...
 
    | dadoge wrote:
    | More people need to appreciate this
 
      | icelancer wrote:
      | They never transact with people in countries that have
      | strict financial controls, so the problem does not exist
      | for them. I pay people in Venezuela in cryptocurrency
      | because nothing else is a viable option.
 
        | pessimizer wrote:
        | There's an assumption that people should think evading
        | currency controls and taxes is somehow heroic. I'm happy
        | that crypto allows people to violate US sanctions, but
        | that's because I'm specifically against US sanctions, not
        | the rule of law.
 
        | dadoge wrote:
        | A lot fewer people use crypto for ill motives than you
        | think.
        | 
        | Paper USD is a lot easier to hide than a Bitcoin
        | transaction on a public ledger
 
        | dadoge wrote:
        | Have you thought about what effect 40% inflation year
        | over year does to you like in Argentina?
        | 
        | Or over 1000% in Venezuela.
 
| alfiedotwtf wrote:
| > Enough is enough
| 
| What is he advocating then? To stop working, thinking, and
| writing about cryptocurrencies? When do we start burning books
| too
 
| neither_color wrote:
| _1. Promise a revolutionary technology ( "self-driving cars are
| coming"!) 2. Use that promise as a pretext to ignore all
| regulation 3. Make a fortune 4. Drop the tech story_
| 
| The author lost me here. Completely subjective take on what Uber
| has done. They've completely improved ride-sharing and cab
| hailing within the whole industry, including non uber users.
| Depending on what country I travel to, Ill be using a different
| app like Grab or Didi or a local taxi app that were all made
| possible by Uber's initial disruption.
| 
|  _Some of those financial regulations are unjust. People can send
| remittances in crypto to relatives in repressive countries, and
| you hear their stories from boosters. But people also want to
| move billions in untraceable crime money around. Guess which
| traffic predominates_
| 
| IMO the former outweighs the latter. Perhaps remittance doesnt
| sound like a big deal to the author because they may not know
| immigrants who use these crappy services. The thought of
| punishing some darknet users buying pills online is more alluring
| than focusing more on fixing the flaws with remittances. I'm
| talking new residents who pay income taxes on their biweekly
| paycheck(fair) and then pay western union(bad deal, less fair) to
| send 50-200 bucks to family in far off places with spotty
| infrastructure and electricity, in remote places where there are
| no ATMs and the relative has to travel 2 hours into town to pick
| up their western union transfer. Millions of people go through
| that every day and I'm much more interested in crypto solutions
| and dont mind if it takes some uber style disruption to fix that
| later on.
 
  | dschooh wrote:
  | > Depending on what country I travel to, Ill be using a
  | different app like Grab or Didi or a local taxi app that were
  | all made possible by Uber's initial disruption.
  | 
  | Local Taxi hailing apps were first. Uber adopted this and their
  | disruption of many local markets happened only after offering
  | cheaper alternatives by burning money.
 
    | cratermoon wrote:
    | I worked on a short-lived idea for taxi hailing apps before
    | the iPhone even existed. The target then was Palm Pilots and
    | feature phones. Alas, before its time.
 
  | blast wrote:
  | Yeah that Uber thing struck me as false too. It was obviously a
  | ride-hailing app and provided a superior service to what
  | existed before. The self-driving thing came up later and was
  | always a sideshow. I suppose it helped them raise money but it
  | was hardly their "pretext to ignore all regulation".
  | 
  | It's a side point to the thread though.
 
  | idlewords wrote:
  | I'm the author of the thread. For what it's worth, I grew up as
  | a refugee whose mother had to find incredibly inventive ways to
  | send USD to family back home, where it was illegal to possess.
  | 
  | What I don't understand about the crypto remittances argument
  | is how the people sending and receiving them are supposed to
  | convert them into spendable currency. My hunch is that a lot of
  | the value of cryptocurrency in those countries comes from the
  | fact that it's been astronomically increasing in value, not
  | that it's a great way to move money around remittance barriers.
 
    | icelancer wrote:
    | >> What I don't understand about the crypto remittances
    | argument is how the people sending and receiving them are
    | supposed to convert them into spendable currency.
    | 
    | For all the harsh words you posted without evidence,
    | thankfully you've at least admitted you don't understand
    | much.
    | 
    | Your premise is that cryptocurrency is not "spendable
    | currency" which is simply false. I pay people in
    | hyperinflationary environments in cryptocurrency variants
    | with low transaction costs and fast speed, and they in turn
    | _directly_ spend it on physical goods like food.
 
      | qecez wrote:
      | But you forgot, the emperor has no clothes!!!
 
      | idlewords wrote:
      | How does their direct purchase work? How do I buy a pizza
      | on the blockchain in a hyperinflationary country?
 
    | yownie wrote:
    | maybe you should be talking to people in Nigeria, India and
    | Venezuela then?
 
    | delaaxe wrote:
    | If you really are a refugee and suffered inflation then this
    | should begin to change your mind: https://reddit.com/r/Crypto
    | Currency/comments/nobj1h/real_mai...
    | 
    | Otherwise I don't know what else to say
 
      | idlewords wrote:
      | If you look at that thread, people are relying on a company
      | called Reserve, that essentially issues its own currency (a
      | 'stablecoin'). This is the part that I don't get--how is it
      | cryptocurrency when you are relying on trusted third
      | parties?
 
        | delaaxe wrote:
        | Yeah that's a good point, even the DAI stable coin which
        | is touted as the most decentralized is actually backed by
        | a lot of USDC
 
        | ZephyrBlu wrote:
        | I think their website answers your question:
        | https://reserve.org/protocol
 
      | simonw wrote:
      | I've been trying to find coverage of Reserve from non-
      | Bitcoin/Cryptocurrency publications - basically because I
      | don't trust any of those publications - and I've not been
      | able to find anything convincing yet.
      | 
      | This is a general problem I have with crypto stories: every
      | crypto coin has a built in incentive for people who hold it
      | to hype it so it's really hard to tell if actual regular
      | users are finding it useful yet.
 
    | dumbfounder wrote:
    | I think NFTs will transform the concept of ownership, and
    | take power away from major corporations in the process. This
    | is just one aspect of crypto that I think more than justifies
    | its value. But there is a ton of hype and a ton of bad stuff
    | going on yes, but that will be pushed to the background as it
    | goes more mainstream. All people inside the industry think
    | this is just the beginning and there is a lot of value to be
    | extracted. Is it overvalued for what it delivers on today?
    | 100%. But I believe it will catch up and surpass it soon.
    | There are multiple singular companies that are more valued
    | than the entire crypto market right now. It's a drop in the
    | bucket.
 
      | EliRivers wrote:
      | _I think NFTs will transform the concept of ownership_
      | 
      | The current concept of ownership appears to be that if I
      | own something, broadly speaking, that means people
      | generally agree (and the state, and ultimately their
      | monopoly on force, will back up) that I get to say what
      | gets done with it and who gets to make use of it, and that
      | it's not OK for someone else to take it away from me
      | without my consent.
      | 
      | If NFTs are going to change that, I'm not sure I like it.
 
        | dumbfounder wrote:
        | I meant to say concept of ownership of digital content.
        | My wording was ineloquent.
 
      | ttepasse wrote:
      | An NFT is ... a digital receipt that "money" flowed at one
      | moment in time. The referenced digital artwork or something
      | is only referenced by an URI. That is ownership? Seems a
      | very transformed concept to me.
      | 
      | My supermarket gives me an NFT in paper form every-time I
      | buy something.
 
        | ZephyrBlu wrote:
        | Except the NFT the supermarket gives you isn't
        | cryptographically verified.
 
      | idlewords wrote:
      | I don't understand the belief that any of this takes power
      | from corporations. If you look at NFTs right now, big
      | participants include the NBA, Sotheby's, and a whole lot of
      | venture capital. What's the dynamic that's going to shut
      | them out as they become more lucrative?
 
        | dumbfounder wrote:
        | Creators of content controlling that content without the
        | need for big corp involvement, which can be corporations
        | yes, but also the little people. This could be
        | access/distribution, royalties, licensing, and more.
 
        | cratermoon wrote:
        | The big corporations have binders full of techniques to
        | take control of content from the little creators and
        | claim it for themselves. A popular one right now goes: A
        | one-person operation making and selling designs could
        | find their online work subject to pointless DMCA
        | complaints or even threats. They'd crumble at even the
        | threat of a big corporation actually suing for
        | infringement. Now the big company copies the individual's
        | designs, and collects rent on something it didn't create.
 
      | delaaxe wrote:
      | Ownership is information, not the underlying asset
 
        | dumbfounder wrote:
        | Exactly, but it will be also about the underlying asset
        | soon. This is what my company is working on: Darkblock.io
 
    | skybrian wrote:
    | I don't know anything but it's not hard to see how this might
    | work somewhere like Venezuela. Cryptocurrency seems most
    | useful for black marketers to get funds out of the country,
    | which will create a demand for it. If ordinary people get
    | cryptocurrency from relatives, they can trade locally to get
    | local currency, then use it to buy black market goods. The
    | local money recirculates and the cryptocurrency funds
    | sanctions-evading imports.
    | 
    | Whether this is a good thing or not probably depends on what
    | you think of illegal markets in desperate situations.
 
    | c01n wrote:
    | > What I don't understand about the crypto remittances
    | argument is how the people sending and receiving them are
    | supposed to convert them into spendable currency.
    | 
    | The final goal is not to be able to convert crypto to fiat,
    | the goal is to keep everything in crypto. Do you think all
    | this infrastructure is being build just to convert it back to
    | fiat, what cypherpunks want is to destroy fiat.
 
      | ALittleLight wrote:
      | But how, you can't use Bitcoin for day to day transactions
      | due to slow settling times and high transaction costs. You
      | could use some of the alt-coins, but how do you coordinate
      | which to use and why would you trust it?
 
      | idlewords wrote:
      | I understand the final goal, but if I want to send my
      | relative in Venezuela half my paycheck this week, how does
      | she spend it on groceries and at the pharmacy before the
      | Crypto Revolution comes?
      | 
      | Inevitably the answer is "some trusted third party" that
      | turns it into a vanilla remittance.
 
  | alkonaut wrote:
  | > They've completely improved ride-sharing and cab hailing
  | within the whole industry, including non uber users.
  | 
  | They only did that in some places where there were poor Taxi
  | markets (medallions etc). In places where you could hail a cab
  | follow it and pay for it with your smartphone years before
  | Uber, they did nothing. They didn't exactly invent that. They
  | just said that because magic fairydust they could do that also
  | in cities where the law said they couldn't. Which is kind of
  | strange when you thinnk about it.
 
| pavlov wrote:
| "But it's like the early Internet!" shouted the Emperor's
| coinholders. "The Internet wasn't yet useful a mere, um, thirteen
| years after its invention either."
| 
| I can see how people in their twenties would fall for this
| argument because they can't remember. The reality is that the
| internet was immediately extremely interesting (either useful or
| fun) for practically everyone who got access. Email and ftp alone
| were killer apps. A bit later came Usenet and IRC and MUD gaming.
| There were things to download, people to meet, flame wars to
| participate in. People would stay up until 4am to get a chance to
| go online in university shared facilities.
| 
| With cryptocurrency there's nothing to do. You could pay $100 to
| buy a "cryptokitten" or whatever, but then you'd be stuck
| shilling it on somebody else somehow. The community is a mix of
| Scientology-like groupthink and multi-level marketing sales
| pitches. The early Internet was infinite times more fun.
 
  | chrisco255 wrote:
  | Have you been looking at the Maetaverse at all?
  | 
  | https://www.sandbox.game/en/ https://decentraland.org/
  | 
  | These are 3D virtual world environments and people are using
  | crypto to build an online economy. They are trading property,
  | buying virtual artwork and creating galleries, setting up clubs
  | and meeting spaces, etc.
  | 
  | You can also explore decentralized finance, act as a peer-to-
  | peer lender, provide liquidity in a marketplace, fund an idea
  | you're interested in, whether that's a game
  | (https://illuvium.io) or a commission for a comic book series
  | (https://www.one37pm.com/nft/art/punks-comic-pixel-vault-
  | cryp...) or start a DAO and raise money for charity or open
  | source software (https://gitcoin.co/).
 
    | morelisp wrote:
    | > They are trading property, buying virtual artwork and
    | creating galleries, setting up clubs and meeting spaces, etc.
    | 
    | This all happens in Second Life and doesn't need to burn the
    | planet to do it.
 
      | SubiculumCode wrote:
      | If you think these defi projects are hurting the
      | environment then you have not been paying attention to the
      | industry. Proof of Stake, what most smart contract tokens
      | are moving to, is very energy efficient.
 
    | curtisf wrote:
    | > These are 3D virtual world environments and people are
    | using (VIRTUAL CURRENCY) to build an online economy. They are
    | trading property, buying virtual artwork and creating
    | galleries, setting up clubs and meeting spaces, etc.
    | 
    | What you're describing here is Roblox (2006), which was
    | launched 2 years before Bitcoin was conceived, and has
    | attained a market cap of >$50 billion without any
    | cryptocurrency nonsense. Or Second Life (2003). Or RuneScape
    | (2001).
    | 
    | Cryptocurrency doesn't enable online trading with virtual
    | currency -- if anything, it's dramatically _more_ difficult
    | to use than either real plastic, or virtual currency sitting
    | in a SQL table.
    | 
    | What it enables is theoretical trust in a shared ledger
    | (handwaving that a Sybil attack isn't attempted by any of the
    | massive mining pools); but this trust is assuming you're a
    | computer scientist capable of auditing the clients and
    | contracts. Yet, even professional programmers have lost
    | hundreds of millions of dollars worth of crypto with
    | programming mistakes and security flaws in their smart
    | contracts and clients! If even professional crypto software
    | developers can't take advantage of cryptocurrency's supposed
    | benefits, how are the players of an online game supposed to?
    | 
    | The answer is of course that they have to relegate trust, in
    | the same way that online shoppers relegate trust to
    | Visa/Mastercard. The important difference being that only
    | Visa/Mastercard guarantee your funds are returned if you're
    | defrauded.
 
    | lreeves wrote:
    | Second Life did this 3D virtual world stuff almost 20 years
    | ago, and even managed to use real money with an exchange rate
    | as well to do exactly the things you're saying are now new
    | with crypto and blockchains.
    | 
    | Also for your other points - the games in this space are
    | universally unfun to play with hardly anyone actually playing
    | them; I can pay normal money to commission artwork; and I can
    | use a zillion platforms that already exist to raise money.
 
      | chrisco255 wrote:
      | They did, but they were an insular community as a result.
      | NFTs allow for a common open standard to be interoperable
      | between games. That helps create an economy where, for
      | example, you can buy a digital artwork at a Christie's
      | auction and display it in Decentraland and have it be
      | verifiably authentic.
      | 
      | Second Life was awesome! This Metaverse trend is pushing
      | that concept much, much further and it's giving ownership
      | and utility to the makers.
 
        | throwaway3699 wrote:
        | Look to the Steam Community Market & Trading if you want
        | an example of a cross-game economy.
 
        | lreeves wrote:
        | I don't think any of that matters at all to people who
        | enjoy the games or virtual worlds. I understand your
        | point, I just disagree that it will matter in any way.
        | 
        | >you can buy a digital artwork at a Christie's auction
        | and display it in Decentraland and have it be verifiably
        | authentic
        | 
        | I can't imagine anyone would give a shit about someone's
        | virtual art being "authentic" for whatever meaning of
        | authentic NFTs pretend to claim. This is basically
        | receipt porn at this point. Truly we're talking about
        | bragging about wealth, one of the shittiest traits a
        | person can have.
 
  | Graffur wrote:
  | Pauli, what are you talking about? Bitcoin, Ethereum or
  | Cryptokitties?
  | 
  | What group are you talking about when you accuse them of
  | "Scientology-like groupthink"? What comparisons can you draw? I
  | think it's important you back up and explain what you're
  | saying.
 
    | ahallock wrote:
    | It's funny that these dismissive, trash-talk comments with
    | zero value get upvoted on HN as long as it's against crypto.
    | It really is a double-standard here. Ironically, that comment
    | is also part of the groupthink.
 
  | dredmorbius wrote:
  | An interesting line of argument, and one which affords a number
  | of potential avenues for enlargement:
  | 
  | - The Internet emerged from a community in which it afforded
  | real and tangible benefits, without any one single locus of
  | control. (Research universities, along with a number of
  | government departments and a few major tech and defence
  | contractors, principally.) Perhaps an alternate payment
  | mechanism might emerge similarly.
  | 
  | - The Internet tools which _did_ emerge ... were well-suited to
  | a small-world network in which local reputations could be
  | assessed and acted on (loss of campus-based access with
  | administrators overseeing populations of a few dozens to
  | hundreds, rarely more than 1,000, through the early 1990s).
  | Effectiveness at larger scales and in more hostile environments
  | has proved ... problematic.
  | 
  | - A clear statement of the problem(s) posed by present currency
  | and payment systems is still lacking. Statements as do exist
  | tend to be ... weakly grounded in emperical truth, strongly
  | ideological (not _necessarily_ a fault, but often one), and
  | strongly resistant to actual demonstrated superiority _after
  | decades of effort_.
 
  | titzer wrote:
  | > The early Internet was infinite times more fun.
  | 
  | Holy crapballs, yeah it was! I remember when I learned HTML in
  | 1996 and put up one of those blinkety animated GIF homepages on
  | the hosting space given (for free!) by my local dial-up ISP.
  | They had a local chatroom and I spent hours and hours chatting
  | with locals from the same city--even met some of them! I read
  | the hacker's manifesto and about phreaking and all of that
  | stuff, found Usenet, played Quake over 33.6kbps dialup with a
  | 300ms ping and still wiped the floor with people. I remember
  | when mp3's came out. It took me 5 mins to download my first
  | one. C&C music factory--everybody dance now!
  | 
  | But that's just nostalgia part. The reality is that nowadays
  | the internet is ad-laden crapware/spyware that is scheming
  | every second of every day to get you to do something--sign up
  | for something, buy something, like something, rate something.
  | Your eyeballs, your likes, your hates, your friends, your vices
  | and quirks, are worth billions to multi-national corps who hope
  | to never have to give you customer service, who keep you at AI-
  | defended arms-length, but will happily sell your attention (won
  | through their latest crack-like invention) to the highest
  | bidder.
  | 
  | It feels like the internet is infested with the worst of human
  | carnival barkers and con-artists these days.
 
    | shiftpgdn wrote:
    | The early internet was overrun with this stuff too. Remember
    | Bonzai buddy? Or the ad serving tools that'd claim to pay you
    | for every hour you're connected to the internet?
 
      | mandelken wrote:
      | Wow, blast from the past! I actually got a check from one
      | of those pay per hour ad services more than 20 years ago,
      | and to this day it's still the only check I've ever
      | received :-)
      | 
      | (It was 15 USD so costed almost as much to cash in Europe
      | as it was worth)
 
      | lamontcg wrote:
      | I remember Usenet before Eternal September and before
      | Canter and Siegel, when the backbone was NSFnet and before
      | the National Information Infrastructure Act of 1993.
      | 
      | If someone was doing anything commercial over e-mail or
      | usenet you could contact their "sysop" or their upstreams
      | and have them removed.
 
      | dopidopHN wrote:
      | They did pay! I was how I was paying for the dial up cost
      | to my parents!
 
  | ahallock wrote:
  | > With cryptocurrency there's nothing to do
  | 
  | Then you haven't looked deep enough or maybe the subject matter
  | doesn't interest you. Don't extrapolate your experience to
  | everyone else. I find the DeFi space and the scaling issues and
  | layer 2 projects being built pretty interesting. Web3 and the
  | protocols being built around that are also worth a look. Sure,
  | there are a lot of scams and vaporware, but that's also true of
  | the early and today's internet.
 
  | mondoveneziano wrote:
  | I am essentially pasting an old comment of mine: The Internet
  | was always something where demand--and desired applications--
  | were vastly over capacity and capability. From the moment
  | computers were networked, more people wanted to do more things
  | over those networks, and both infrastructure and underlying
  | technology had to grow to barely keep up (or, in fact, could
  | not keep up--many long desired applications only became
  | feasible in the 2000s or so). This does not resemble the
  | history of Blockchains.
 
    | seibelj wrote:
    | Fees of blockchains are at times very high because the demand
    | vastly exceeds their current transaction capabilities
 
      | mondoveneziano wrote:
      | In the case of the Internet, people were doing either new
      | things, or existing things more efficiently (e.g. sending
      | emails vs. postal mail and fax, or transferring files vs.
      | swapping disk media or printouts). As the Internet
      | progressed, efficiency increased.
      | 
      | In the case of cryptocurrencies, people are doing existing
      | things that can already be done quickly and efficiently
      | vastly less efficiently, in a system that is purposely
      | designed to be less efficient, where efficiency is in fact
      | actively counteracted. Databases and online money
      | transactions were possible before, at a fraction of the
      | total cost inherent to the system and at vastly higher
      | performance.
 
        | seibelj wrote:
        | I can send unlimited amounts of money, anywhere on earth,
        | for (at most) dollars in a few seconds. I don't need to
        | rely on any government for any reason, and no government
        | can stop me.
 
        | mondoveneziano wrote:
        | The Internet provided solutions to technical problems,
        | regardless of any societal/political considerations. They
        | may have resulted, but as a secondary effect.
        | 
        | Your sending unlimited amounts of money comes at the cost
        | of a lottery, where miners perform literally
        | 100.000.000.000.000.000.000 computations per second whose
        | outcome is completely thrown away, unless they are lucky
        | enough to be one of the 6 computations per hour that win.
        | This cannot be made more efficient: If computing one hash
        | costs less energy, the difficulty will be adjusted to
        | require more calculations to keep the target of 6 hashes
        | per hour.
        | 
        | By the decentralized property of cryptocurrencies, it is
        | by design not possible to regulate where the energy for
        | this lottery is coming from.
        | 
        | When you bring up the societal/political benefits you
        | just stated, take into account the societal/political
        | problems cryptocurrencies created by inventing a machine
        | that allows converting resources directly into money of
        | miners' digital wallets without regulation.
 
        | seibelj wrote:
        | Proof of Stake coins eliminate the electrical cost of
        | mining yet maintain decentralization. ETH2 is live now
        | but not fully in control of the network
        | https://beaconscan.com/
        | 
        | Many other Proof of Stake blockchains like Cosmos have
        | been live and working fine for years.
 
        | mondoveneziano wrote:
        | I have looked into proof-of-work in meticulous detail, I
        | have not looked into proof-of-stake. If proof-of-stake
        | exists and eschews the problems I have stated, then what
        | I said here about the problems it creates does not apply
        | anymore.
        | 
        | I have many other doubts against the usefulness and
        | sensibility of blockchains in general, e.g. I have doubts
        | how smart contracts actually succeed to reach their goals
        | in a reality where humans make mistakes and courts are
        | used to settle disputes and ambiguities. But these
        | concerns then only affect the viability of technologies
        | that I and others are not forced to participate in.
        | 
        | Proof-of-work on the other hand, as long as it continues
        | to exist, affects everyone in that in incentivizes
        | burning resources directly for money without regulation,
        | no matter how dirty or wasteful.
 
        | SubiculumCode wrote:
        | This is very true, and the down voting you are receiving
        | for saying this is shameful.
 
        | dopidopHN wrote:
        | I agree that proof of work seems to have outlived it's
        | usefulness as a mean to prevent spam on the ledger.
        | 
        | That being said, I still see proof of stake and proof of
        | coverage as interesting way to maintain said ledger
        | integrity in the like... 3 actually existing use case
        | where a blockchain is superior to a SQLite instance with
        | good security.
 
        | hirsin wrote:
        | Currently it's 8 dollars to clear in 6 hours. The cost to
        | turn that back into money isn't included here.
 
  | idlewords wrote:
  | I can't agree with your point hard enough. Really useful
  | nascent technologies all have this pattern--they grow
  | incrementally more interesting and constantly gain
  | applications.
  | 
  | Bitcoin followed this pattern for a while. But then at some
  | point it started to _regress_ on that axis. You could no longer
  | buy a pizza with it, you could no longer mine it, and it got
  | too flooded by scammers to use safely. There 's nothing to
  | really DO with blockchain unless you buy into the subculture.
  | That's very different from early internet, early web, early
  | radio, you name it.
 
    | [deleted]
 
    | daniel-cussen wrote:
    | It's become gold. Preferred by criminals, untraceable (gold
    | is a single stable isotope, basically untraceable). A store
    | of wealth. And you can't buy a pizza with gold, either, and
    | there are tons of scammers who love gold (I remember, about
    | Thailand, the scammers would conspire to get people's gold, a
    | few would talk loudly about how jewels were going up, then
    | someone else in your trip would just happen to mention,
    | despite not wanting to mention it, that there was a great new
    | jewelry offering discounted jewels, whatever, the point was
    | they wanted the tourist to go to buy gold, then trade that
    | gold for fake jewels, because then he couldn't get a refund).
 
    | ashtonkem wrote:
    | Bitcoin didn't regress, what actually happened is that its
    | fundamental flaws ended up eventually dominating whatever
    | early enthusiasm allowed them to be ignored. It was _never_
    | going to work, for a variety of reasons that were incredibly
    | apparent at the time.
    | 
    | "Why did it regress" is much less interesting than "why did
    | anyone ever fall for this?"
 
      | idlewords wrote:
      | Sure, but a lot of early technologies move laterally in
      | some unexpected direction, and it was reasonable to expect
      | blockchain stuff to do the same. Maybe the original idea
      | could never fly (even in 2008 you didn't have to be a
      | genius to see that evading financial controls would be the
      | chief use of a working cryptocurrency). But likely someone
      | would find a really neat twist on it and find the
      | blockchain equivalent of VisiCalc, and that would happen
      | again and so on.
      | 
      | What's interesting to me is that the original idea was
      | clearly brilliant, but never found any of those lateral
      | steps. It's kind of a string theory for programmers now.
 
        | ashtonkem wrote:
        | There was no reason to believe it would move laterally,
        | for both technical and social reasons.
        | 
        | First, the underpinnings of Bitcoin are ideological,
        | namely in Austrian economics. This means that any change
        | that caused any inflation would be socially resisted.
        | 
        | Second, most of the issues with Bitcoin stem from the
        | lack of a central authority to do things like chargebacks
        | and handle conflict resolution. It is not possible to
        | solve many of the issues of Bitcoin without a central
        | authority, and that was not going to happen for obvious
        | reasons.
 
        | idlewords wrote:
        | Yeah, but when you took away the money part and just
        | looked at the technical idea of a distributed chained
        | ledger with no central point of trust, that was cool. At
        | least, it was cool to me. It seemed like it might go in
        | some interesting other direction.
 
        | davidgerard wrote:
        | Bitcoin was a fascinating technical trick, but it's also
        | been a worked example of the difference between
        | "interesting", versus "feasible" or even "a good idea".
        | 
        | As soon as it claimed to be money, then it was all about
        | the money. If you look at early BitcoinTalk, you'll see a
        | pile of scams that are _extremely_ similar to the jargon
        | still used in crypto to this day - the scammers got in
        | very early indeed.
 
        | FourthProtocol wrote:
        | I never quite understood how that might happen. I kept
        | hearing how it was distributed when it isn't. How the
        | blockchain was going to change the world, when not a
        | single example beyond Bitcoin itself could be given.
        | Healthcare was mentioned, but no application... It's
        | right up there with all the other crazy ideas of the last
        | decade or two (Mongo, agile, Google Glass...)
 
        | Rerarom wrote:
        | > string theory for programmers
        | 
        | This is gold, I'm gonna steal it
 
        | jjulius wrote:
        | We could get really meta with it and have @idlewords sell
        | that phrase/post to you as an NFT.
 
      | Graffur wrote:
      | What are the fundamental flaws you're talking about? (I
      | assume throughput but I'll wait for your reply).
      | 
      | What do you mean by saying people fell for "this"? I assume
      | you mean it's a scam but I will wait for your reply.
 
        | lottin wrote:
        | > What are the fundamental flaws you're talking about?
        | 
        | For a payments system, the fact that all transactions are
        | final is pretty bad. I'd say this, by itself, makes the
        | system unusable in the real world.
 
        | doomroot wrote:
        | You can build a system of reversible transactions on
        | bitcoin or any other currency (people already have). It's
        | impossible to do the inverse in a non reversible system.
 
        | arbol wrote:
        | Payments don't need to be final. You could use a contract
        | that implements arbitration logic.
 
        | craftinator wrote:
        | I get the feeling that the underpinnings of your argument
        | points are based on not being very familiar or well read
        | with the technology around Bitcoin and other
        | cryptocurrencies, especially Ethereum. Your coming at it
        | from an end user or armchair quarterback point of view,
        | not someone who actually does development in that space;
        | if you did, you'd know that one of the reasons Ethereum
        | was created was to provide a digital escrow mechanism,
        | and has been around for over 5 years. So no, your example
        | isn't based on reality.
 
        | ajkdhcb2 wrote:
        | I observe the exact opposite: people do not like
        | accepting the risk of payments that can be reversed
        | because the buyer does a chargeback scam, or used a
        | hacked paypal account.
        | 
        | Multisig escrow is also better in every way if people
        | want to involve a third party in case of a dispute
 
        | danboarder wrote:
        | Except that transactions are not final, your scenario is
        | exactly what crypto is great at, there are many ways you
        | can set up an escrow for any transaction to protect
        | multiple parties, for example by using a multisig wallet
        | (1).
        | 
        | (1) https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multisignature
 
        | [deleted]
 
        | heurist wrote:
        | I'm confused about why Bitcoin is being discussed in the
        | past tense when both usage and price have both grown
        | significantly over the last year. Is it already dead?
        | Could have fooled me.
 
      | webgoat wrote:
      | Fees high, world too stable, heavy speculation. Cryptos
      | forced to trade on centralized exchanges to avoid fees,
      | making it a much crappier version of something like PayPal.
      | Doesn't help that there's an unending supply of people more
      | than willing to participate in ponzi schemes creating
      | massive volatility and turning the "currency" into the
      | commodity.
 
        | ahallock wrote:
        | Dotcom bubble was the same way. We're in the early
        | stages.
 
      | eli wrote:
      | The extremely messed up incentives make it impossible to
      | even have an honest conversation about it's merits or
      | issues. If there are any legitimate uses for blockchain
      | (and that's an if) they're lost in the noise of 10,000 get
      | rich quick schemes, outright frauds, and bad actors.
 
    | throwaway384028 wrote:
    | You can still buy drugs with bitcoin :-)
 
    | kragen wrote:
    | I've been using Bitcoin to get paid for a couple of years at
    | this point (programming work for overseas clients), and I
    | haven't gotten scammed yet. I'm not engaged in money
    | laundering, vaporware, fraud, ransomware, or gambling, and
    | only the usual amount of delusion.
    | 
    | And, yeah, 13 years after the internet's invention was 01982;
    | not only couldn't you get so much as a weather report online,
    | much less IRC, but many of the early interesting experiments
    | like NLS at SRI had shut down, and more and more places were
    | disabling guest access to their hosts -- you couldn't run so
    | much as a game of ADVENT without getting a username. And a
    | password. Things were seriously regressing. The only people
    | you could talk to on the internet were other people who
    | really bought into the subculture, of which there were a few
    | tens of thousands.
    | 
    | So why does Bitcoin have tens of millions of users 13 years
    | after its inception, instead of only tens of thousands like
    | the internet?
    | 
    | If you live in a country with a highly functional banking
    | system and no kleptocracy, Bitcoin is probably a bit puzzling
    | unless you have family in Cuba. But it's not puzzling at all
    | for those of us who live somewhere in the middle of the broad
    | spectrum between Switzerland and Somalia, because most places
    | have a _little_ kleptocracy. Argentina is a stable democracy,
    | far from being "a failed state,"+ but if you want to send
    | US$500 abroad via non-Bitcoin means it's basically
    | impossible, and the only broadly available savings vehicle is
    | real estate (" _ahorrar en ladrillos_ "), which of course
    | grossly inflates real-estate prices, with a substantial part
    | of the capital city occupied by empty apartments someone
    | bought "as an investment". Historically, Argentines have
    | saved by buying dollars, but that's limited to US$200 a month
    | now, and then only if you have a non-under-the-table job
    | (about a third of total employment is under the table):
    | 
    | https://www.ambito.com/finanzas/dolares/cronologia-del-
    | cepo-...
    | 
    | You can see that in September 02019 when this measure was
    | imposed the price of a dollar was AR$63.50; now it's AR$155.
    | So whatever savings you had in pesos in 02019 have lost 59%
    | of their value to peso devaluation.
    | 
    | In 02001 a lot of Argentines had saved dollars in their
    | dollar-denominated bank accounts. This did not preserve their
    | savings through the financial crisis that year; the cash-
    | strapped government limited withdrawals to a trickle, then
    | converted dollar deposits to pesos at a one-to-one rate, then
    | released the exchange-rate peg, at which point peso went
    | overnight from being worth US$1 to being worth US$0.25 before
    | settling at about US$0.31 for the next few years. The US did
    | something similar in 01933.
    | 
    | Some might suggest using "alternatives to banks like credit
    | unions where customers--as owners--hold more power," but
    | Credicoop depositors suffered the same two-thirds
    | confiscation of savings as depositors in for-profit banks.
    | And they pay the same 3% tax on bank transactions including
    | checks. That's more than a fast Bitcoin transaction fee of
    | US$15 for transactions over US$500.
    | 
    | But we're not a failed state. There are no gangs of bandits
    | roving the streets in Argentine cities (though there are some
    | pretty bad slums where you'll get robbed if you wander in
    | without knowing anybody). Courts, free public hospitals, and
    | roads continue to function, though there are more potholes
    | than a year ago. Argentine infant mortality is 10 per 1000
    | live births, down from almost 20 in the late 01990s and the
    | same as the late 01980s in the US; life expectancy at birth
    | is 77 years, worse than Switzerland's 84, but the same as
    | China and Hungary, and better than Saudi or Mexico. (Somalia
    | is 54.)
    | 
    | Most of the world is worse off than Argentina, although not
    | necessarily in such a statistically transparent fashion.
    | About one fourth of the people in the world are unbanked, 51%
    | here in Argentina; even advanced countries like Russia,
    | Hungary, and Uruguay have roughly a quarter of the population
    | unbanked:
    | 
    | https://www.gfmag.com/global-data/economic-data/worlds-
    | most-...
    | 
    | And if your family lives in a country like Iran or Venezuela
    | subject to US sanctions, and you live in the US? Good luck
    | sending them an ACH, instant or otherwise!++ It's well known
    | that Bitcoin is very popular in Venezuela, which kind of is a
    | failed state, so one of the Venezuelan governments is trying
    | to tax Bitcoin remittances at 15%.
    | 
    | https://archive.fo/ZRXzS
    | 
    | Bitcoin handles a few billion dollars per year in such
    | remittances. This might seem like a trivial amount of money
    | to someone in a rich country, but in poor countries, it's
    | enough to keep several million people alive.
    | 
    | Even in the US, it's common for the police to confiscate
    | large amounts of paper currency just because they can ("civil
    | forfeiture"); US bank accounts are probably fine for US$100K
    | but probably somewhat risky for US$10M if the bank thinks you
    | don't seem like the kind of person who ought to have it.
    | US$10M in US$100 bills fits in a box you can wheel around on
    | a dolly, but Bitcoin is a lot more practical. (And of course
    | US$10M in dollar bills loses about US$200k per year to
    | inflation.)
    | 
    | Transaction fees are usually high enough that you wouldn't
    | want to use Bitcoin to pay for a can of Red Bull or even a
    | restaurant dinner. But it's extremely practical as an
    | alternative to Western Union or US$100 bills or gold, even
    | with the current very high transaction fees. At the moment,
    | the Bitcoin transaction fee is very low--the median Bitcoin
    | transaction fee in the last block was 0.00678 millibitcoins,
    | which is US$0.25:
    | 
    | https://btc.com/0000000000000000000778ef382c1697706e34634696.
    | ..
    | 
    | Three months ago it was at what I think of as a more normal
    | rate of 0.31 millibitcoins, US$11, which is lower than the
    | 3.4% spread you'd pay to a jeweler or black-market money
    | changer for transactions over US$350:
    | 
    | https://btc.com/00000000000000000000476ab57eea9be8ada36e2680.
    | ..
    | 
    | So, Bitcoin doesn't have to be a cypherpunk utopia to be a
    | big improvement on the _status quo ante_. For those of you
    | living in stable countries where your worries are things like
    | "instant and extremely low-fee ACHs" and "decentralized
    | utopia", this may be very confusing, but try to remember that
    | most of the world lives in places with much more pressing
    | concerns, concerns that Bitcoin helps a lot with. And you may
    | live there too, soon--the loyal subjects of Kaiser Wilhelm in
    | 01913 certainly didn't expect that in 15 years they'd be in
    | the middle of a hyperinflation episode that remains legendary
    | a century later.
    | 
    | I think that, by providing workarounds to the people who need
    | them, cryptocurrencies probably not only ameliorate the most
    | immediate and pressing concerns of poor parts of the
    | population like Venezuelan immigrants, but probably also
    | adjust the power balance in a more liberal and democratic
    | direction. This will improve the chance of those concerns
    | being ameliorated by public policy over the next decades as
    | well. But it's hard to tell what will really happen. The
    | potential disaster scenario is that, by making most taxation
    | impossible, cryptocurrencies destroy the modern welfare state
    | without providing anything to replace it. So the public
    | hospitals close, the enormous police force starts to support
    | itself by extracting tribute, and the infrastructure decays.
    | Pretty similar to what's happened in the US over the last 50
    | years, in fact, only more so.
    | 
    | However, at this point I think the modern welfare state is
    | already doing a good enough job of destroying itself without
    | any significant help from cryptocurrencies--as evidence, I
    | can point to Maduro, Macri, Bolsonaro, Trump, and Brexit, and
    | metonymically to the social changes they betoken. So at this
    | point I'm more worried about cushioning the collapse than
    | preventing it.
    | 
    | (I posted an earlier version of this a couple of months ago
    | at https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26654767.)
    | 
    | ____
    | 
    | + We've remained democratic since 01983, electing presidents
    | from three different political parties (UCR, PJ, and PRO),
    | and there's no serious insurgency. It's the _economy_ and
    | _government policy_ that are ruinously unstable, to a point
    | that seems satirical to anyone accustomed to the US, but is
    | lamentably common worldwide. Rich people sometimes say they
    | don 't know of legitimate uses of Bitcoin outside of "failed
    | states".
    | 
    | ++ Family remittances are specifically exempted from the US
    | sanctions on Iran, but good luck finding a US bank that's
    | willing and able to take that risk:
    | https://www.wiggin.com/wp-
    | content/uploads/2019/09/26580_advi...
 
      | jfrunyon wrote:
      | > I've been using Bitcoin to get paid for a couple of years
      | at this point
      | 
      | How do you turn your Bitcoin into food, housing, utilities,
      | and other necessities?
      | 
      | > And, yeah, 13 years after the internet's invention was
      | 01982
      | 
      | The Internet was not available to virtually anyone in 1982
      | much less 1969. Nor was the ARPANET of 1969 even remotely
      | similar to the Internet. TCP came about in 1974. IPv4 in
      | 1982.
      | 
      | > So why does Bitcoin have tens of millions of users
      | 
      | It doesn't. It has a lot of speculators, and a handful of
      | users. And no one knows or could possibly know how many
      | there are.
      | 
      | etc.
 
        | kragen wrote:
        | > How do you turn your Bitcoin into food, housing,
        | utilities, and other necessities?
        | 
        | I sell it for dollars to people in person; some of the
        | dollars I have to change into Argentine pesos before I
        | can spend them. Isn't that how everybody does it?
        | 
        | > The Internet was not available to virtually anyone in
        | 1982 much less 1969
        | 
        | It was available to almost anyone who knew someone who
        | had access, which is the same situation as Bitcoin.
        | Precisely what Maciej is complaining about is that so
        | little of the economy is hooked up to Bitcoin is that
        | most of us can't buy a pizza with it without going
        | through intermediaries.
        | 
        | > Nor was the ARPANET of 1969 even remotely similar to
        | the Internet
        | 
        | It was remotely similar; it provided telnet over a
        | packet-switched network, with routing. You could argue
        | that substantial technical changes happened in Bitcoin
        | over the last 13 years, too. Maciej did, in fact, make
        | that argument: he pointed out in particular the dramatic
        | shift to centralized intermediaries like Coinbase (the
        | ANS.NET of Bitcoin?) and from CPU mining to GPU, FPGA,
        | and then ASIC mining, as well as the proliferation of
        | alternative cryptocurrencies. We could also mention
        | segwit, the BCH schism, Lightning, BIP39 and Electrum
        | seed phrases, and lightweight clients like Electrum.
        | Those changes are not over yet. So the situations are in
        | fact quite closely parallel.
 
        | jfrunyon wrote:
        | > I sell it for dollars to people in person; some of the
        | dollars I have to change into Argentine pesos before I
        | can spend them. Isn't that how everybody does it?
        | 
        | No, most people just spend their currency directly on the
        | things they need to purchase, actually.
        | 
        | > It was available to almost anyone who knew someone who
        | had access
        | 
        | That's not even remotely true, and is also a tiny number
        | of people.
        | 
        | > It was remotely similar
        | 
        | But... it wasn't. As I already have shown.
        | 
        | The ARPANET, then the Internet, have all gone through
        | steady evolution. It has not spent 13 years stagnant or
        | regressing in terms of _either_ design or use.
        | 
        | Just because you read somewhere that "ARPANET was the
        | predecessor of the Internet" does not mean that ARPANET
        | _was_ the Internet.
 
      | Tarq0n wrote:
      | Reminds me of the old adage about technical solutions to
      | social problems. Cryptocurrency isn't going to un-fail
      | these states, all it does is enable the wealthy to evade
      | currency controls and reinforce the downward spiral. If
      | someone lives in an oppressive regime it's governmental
      | change they need, not worldwide abandonment of financial
      | regulation just so the lucky few can escape.
 
        | kragen wrote:
        | The wealthy can _already_ evade currency controls; that
        | 's what it means to be wealthy, at least in a place that
        | has them. Bitcoin and similar systems enable _the poor_
        | to evade currency controls, as well as frankly
        | confiscatory regulation like the bank-deposit-conversion
        | episode I mentioned, precisely because it 's accessible
        | to _everyone_ , not just the lucky few.
        | 
        | I've already addressed your point about governmental
        | change.
 
        | cbzbc wrote:
        | How does someone who is poor convert their local - non
        | dollar denominated - currency to bitcoins?
        | 
        | The reality is that it's just another means for the
        | wealthy (and criminals) to evade currency controls.
 
        | kragen wrote:
        | In Argentina? Some of them use LocalBitcoins, while
        | others walk into a storefront that advertises Bitcoin or
        | remittances to Venezuela, and hand over their pesos to
        | the guy behind the counter. There are also groups on
        | WhatsApp and Facebook to find counterparties. That's the
        | reality: Venezuelan refugees, who I guess are "criminals"
        | to Maduro's regime and people like you, and illegal
        | aliens like me, who I guess are "wealthy".
 
      | pen2l wrote:
      | You give convincing arguments in favor of BTC for folks
      | living abroad in less-than-stable states. But these very
      | arguments for which it is acclaimed have clear flip-sides
      | that should be worrisome for those very same folks you
      | claim it's good for.
      | 
      | Safeguarding hard physical cash is something most everyone,
      | old and young, poor or rich, intrinsically knows how to do.
      | And when it is stolen or lost, there are viable approaches
      | to pursue with favorable probabilities of a happy
      | resolution: tell a police cop to see if they can catch the
      | thief using detective work, you could try looking around if
      | you think you might have misplaced it, etc.
      | 
      | With BTC on the other hand, ensuring your wallet isn't had
      | by committed and technically proficient bad-actors or that
      | your wealth isn't all erased in the blink of an eye with a
      | hdd crash or a distressed acquaintance wiping your data
      | away, you can't expect normal people to be up to the task
      | of combatting all of this. And retrieving stolen BTCs from
      | bad-actors living a continent away is a task that police
      | cops are not up to doing or even the slightest bit capable
      | of. You are a really smart guy kragen, I'm sure you won't
      | make forget your computer's password one day or have your
      | wallet compromised, but someone like my grandma would, and
      | the thought that simple mistakes and computer viruses like
      | these could and probably would be the thing that leaves
      | someone's wealth irretrievably erased without much avenue
      | of recourse saddens me, and makes me wish that people in
      | our profession who understand this would stop encouraging
      | its usage.
      | 
      | I come from a nation that ranks lower than .ar in
      | stability. My family went through this very dance of
      | receiving money and having to go to WU. The risk of a bad
      | accident happening is infinitesimally small in that than
      | with BTC.
 
      | mandelken wrote:
      | Thanks for sharing your point of view.
      | 
      | What is unclear to me, is how these remittances work in
      | practice. I get that in the US you can exchange USD to
      | Bitcoin with a credit card and then send that to a person
      | in, say, Venezuela (or share the wallet password). But how
      | is it converted back to Venezuelan Bolivar? I can't imagine
      | you buying a pizza with bitcoin in Caracas.
      | 
      | Side question, why do you write your years with a leading
      | zero? I've never seen that before and it has quite a
      | cognitive strain for me.
 
        | miles wrote:
        | > why do you write your years with a leading zero? I've
        | never seen that before and it has quite a cognitive
        | strain for me.
        | 
        | Not OP, but I had the same question and did a few seconds
        | of cursory searching to no avail. But rather than
        | cognitive strain, I found it opened up a much larger
        | vista on the perception of time and our seeming place in
        | it. While I am unlikely to adopt it, perhaps the
        | experience would be even broader with a few more zeros
        | tacked on! ;-)
 
        | csande17 wrote:
        | OP probably got the idea to place a leading zero before
        | the year from the Long Now Foundation:
        | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long_Now_Foundation
 
        | miles wrote:
        | Thank you very much for the pointer!
 
        | kragen wrote:
        | I haven't been in Venezuela since 02006 so I don't know
        | how people there cash out of Bitcoin. I'm guessing nobody
        | has a clear view of the whole system, since being
        | transparent to Maduro's thugs is not in the interest of
        | any of the participants. If I had to guess, I'd guess
        | that Venezuelans who are fleeing the country sell their
        | dollars for Bitcoin, and Venezuelans whose family is
        | abroad buy them.
        | 
        | One thing I do know is that a lot of overseas Venezuelans
        | whose remittances are via Bitcoin don't know Bitcoin is
        | involved. They know a storefront where people transmit
        | money to Venezuela, and the guy there tells them where to
        | instruct their family members in Venezuela to pick up the
        | money. How the agent in Venezuela gets paid is no concern
        | of the customers; they only care that the money they give
        | the guy arrives safe and sound.
 
        | shieVae4I wrote:
        | > Side question, why do you write your years with a
        | leading zero? I've never seen that before and it has
        | quite a cognitive strain for me.
        | 
        | That's likely a Long Now reference:
        | https://blog.longnow.org/02013/12/31/long-now-years-five-
        | dig...
 
  | CPLX wrote:
  | You could book plane tickets.
  | 
  | That, literally all by itself, would be enough for me to think
  | building the internet was worth it.
  | 
  | You kids have no idea how much fun it was to go downtown to a
  | travel agent just to find out how much it would cost to fly
  | home from college for Christmas.
 
    | B1FF_PSUVM wrote:
    | > go downtown to a travel agent
    | 
    | Phones were out, too?
    | 
    | ("You kids" should realize that most of the stuff done on the
    | web today was done by mail or phone during most of the XX
    | century, especially in a country as spread out as the US.
    | Ring up the merchant with the order, sing out the credit
    | card, done, was the MO from the 70s to the late 90s.)
 
  | mthoms wrote:
  | The "early internet" comparison is usually presented when
  | talking about how clumsy and slow the technology is in its
  | current state. The argument is certainly not presented in the
  | context of how "fun" it is. There's nothing "fun" about finance
  | (and there never will be).
  | 
  | In the context of technological state (how brittle and obtuse
  | the tools are), the comparison between the two is right on the
  | money IMHO.
  | 
  | I once configured SOCKS on Windows 3.1 so I could connect to
  | the internet over a 9600-baud modem. In those days, unless you
  | were in Academia, you didn't know _anyone_ with an email
  | address. Early Usenet and IRC had very little to offer someone
  | who wasn 't a nerd. FTP? MUD gaming? Come on.
  | 
  | You and I found the early internet interesting _precisely
  | because_ we were nerds to begin with. Don 't mistake that
  | sentiment for that of the general public. They mostly found it
  | frustrating and boring.
 
    | pavlov wrote:
    | Nerds, early adopters -- whatever you want to call them, the
    | online behaviors they pioneered became mainstream.
    | 
    | In contrast not even nerds are actually using Bitcoin or
    | Ethereum for anything that interacts with the real world. All
    | proposed applications are self-referential shell games like
    | NFTs, staking schemes, etc.
    | 
    | If this is a superior platform for finance, where's the real
    | economic activity? Handwaving about "probably they use it in
    | Venezuela" doesn't cut it.
 
      | SubiculumCode wrote:
      | There is accelerating adoption of blockchain to manage
      | cargo shipments, bills of laden, and authentication of
      | supply chains.
 
  | Tomte wrote:
  | > There were things to download, people to meet
  | 
  | Same with LAN parties. I was thrilled to buy my first network
  | card, and a tee connector.
  | 
  | Even the fact that the first half of the day was mostly wasted
  | with trying to get IPX and NetBEUI to work and TCP and UDP, and
  | promising each other that we would not change _anything_ until
  | the next LAN party, and of course next time nothing worked
  | either at first try. But it was fun nonetheless.
  | 
  | (The second half of the first day was obviously swapping all
  | those music and video files)
 
    | dredmorbius wrote:
    | Business, education, research, and defence users were finding
    | 3 Mbps coax revolutionary for decades before LAN parties were
    | a thing.
    | 
    | Internet and Ethernet were useful _immediately_.
    | 
    | https://www.hpe.com/us/en/insights/articles/the-birth-and-
    | ri...
 
    | dopidopHN wrote:
    | I remember lobbying my friends to pool money so we can buy a
    | router and use RJ45.
    | 
    | Living on the edge !
    | 
    | My parents still have fond memory of seing skinny teenager
    | bringing computers on well barrel in their basement to play
    | video game.
    | 
    | They were suspicious at first. But then they concluded they
    | we were indeed playing video game.
 
    | conradfr wrote:
    | The joy of discovering hours later why not everybody could
    | "see" everybody on the network: ipx frame type, and different
    | default values, 802.2, 802.3, pick one.
    | 
    | You couldn't Google that. Because there was no Google, and
    | you were stuck in a basement.
    | 
    | Fun and exciting times :)
 
| ahallock wrote:
| Why would I trust a source whose own outdated site looks terrible
| on mobile and is not even on a secure connection? "A bookmarking
| site for introverts" -- what amazing innovation! It sounds more
| like Pinboard is looking for engagement by shitposting on
| Twitter.
 
| friedman23 wrote:
| Cryptocurrency allows people to exchange money without dealing
| with financial institutions or governments. I don't own any as an
| investment, I use it for playing poker online. That's it.
| 
| We give too much voice to all these people suffering from
| hysteria. I suspect the only reason these people are given a
| voice is because they usually call for more laws to "fix" more
| things which benefits those in power.
| 
| edit: Also speaking of things we should ban, I think if we are
| talking about things that are actually harmful to society (not
| that I actually give a damn), we should start with banning
| twitter so that we can stop hearing these "moral" rants
 
  | ArkanExplorer wrote:
  | That's not really accurate. For most people, they deal with
  | financial institutions directly via the fiat onroads and
  | offroads fror the exchanges.
  | 
  | The fact that you can formally buy, exchange, and cash out of
  | crypto with full banking support gives cryptocoins a veneer of
  | Government support and legitimacy.
  | 
  | The USA bans online gambling and ponzi schemes. Cyrptocoins are
  | worse, because they include a side order of immense waste of
  | electricity and advanced manufactured computer chips, and
  | enable ransomware.
  | 
  | I think this article is completely correct. We, as members of
  | the tech community, have a duty to communicate with the public
  | and democratic representatives that cryptocurrencies are a
  | harmful technology, and the formal exchange of them for fiat
  | should be banned.
 
    | codehalo wrote:
    | Can you (and your representative) _please_ just leave me
    | alone so I can harm myself with this  "harmful technology"?
    | Whatever the outcome, I'll take my chances. Please leave me
    | alone.
 
      | MrRadar wrote:
      | The environmental harms of cryptocurrencies hurt
      | _everyone_. It 's a classic externality.
 
        | codehalo wrote:
        | Even worse than coal mining and ICE vehicles right? I
        | don't see all this righteousness for those.
 
        | MrRadar wrote:
        | I want to see those things go away too, but we're going
        | to need to significantly increase the energy efficiency
        | of our entire society to be able to achieve that.
        | Cryptocurrency mining is _anti_ -efficient, _by design_.
        | How much coal generation could we retire just by
        | eliminating the energy demand from cryptocurrency mining?
        | I suspect the answer to that question is more than zero.
 
      | friedman23 wrote:
      | These people really can't help themselves.
 
      | ArkanExplorer wrote:
      | The harm is not limited to you.
      | 
      | Electricity shortages:
      | https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/26/iran-bans-bitcoin-mining-
      | as-...
      | 
      | Chip shortages:
      | https://www.fxempire.com/forecasts/article/bitcoin-mining-
      | ad...
      | 
      | Ransomware: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/bitcoin-
      | extortion-how-cryp...
      | 
      | In terms of overall negative impacts, crypto is _worse_
      | than ponzi schemes and online gambling.
 
        | codehalo wrote:
        | Yeah, all the problems of the world are due to bitcoin
        | and cryptocurrencies. Embarrassingly, more than a decade
        | in, HN is _still_ struggling with it. I don 't consider
        | harmful, I consider it a godsend. Ten years ago, I knew
        | HN was wrong, it will still be wrong in a decade.
 
    | friedman23 wrote:
    | > The USA bans online gambling
    | 
    | Does that make it right? Ignoring that, many private
    | institutions go out of their way to ban transactions in
    | things that the government doesn't even ban. Marijuana in
    | states where it is legalized for example. All forms of sex
    | work on the misguided belief that it somehow benefits the sex
    | worker. Etc.
    | 
    | Also I don't have a duty to follow your misguided morals.
 
| msoad wrote:
| Most Bitcoin enthusiast that yell at me "HAVE YOU READ THE WHITE-
| PAPER??!" and "DO YOU UNDERSTAND THE TECHNOLOGY??!" have never
| actually downloaded the source code and ran the damn thing! At
| least back in 2011 I was mining on my computer to see what this
| thing is!
| 
| Everyone is using some sort of hosted wallet that defeats the
| entire propose of it!
 
| 1023bytes wrote:
| Unfortunately the global economy is a pyramid scheme as well,
| based on the unsustainable promise of infinite growth
 
| rami-khalil wrote:
| real gatekeepy title you got there
 
| morelisp wrote:
| > They don't see the huge silent majority of tech people who know
| it's a scam. That's on us
| 
| Serious question: What does "not silence" looks like?
| 
| Anyone who asks me gets my viewpoint on cryptocurrency and
| blockchains generally (which is more or less the same as
| Maciej's). My relatives all know it, but they also know another
| relative (who also thinks it is a scam!) made a couple K back in
| the first bubble because he was just playing around with the
| software. My coworkers all know it. Repeating it only causes
| strife, not education. People don't want to hear they've made bad
| financial decisions _no matter the time, place, or tone._ They
| instantly get defensive. I mentioned it in passing to a new hire
| in their trial period recently and got a really nervous look like
| "is this guy going to not give me a permanent contract because I
| liked bitcoin?"
| 
| There's no forum in our society for us to say "this is a scam"
| that isn't run by people with millions or billions of dollars
| invested in that scam - unless you're famous enough to get on
| cable news as a minor tech entrepreneur - and no social
| maneuvering that makes it effective on a personal level.
 
  | chrisco255 wrote:
  | How sustainable do you think this is:
  | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M1SL
  | 
  | That's a chart showing the M1 money supply increase by the Fed.
  | It has more than quintupled in the past two years. That chart
  | looks like a true scam to me. And it shows in the US household
  | net worth data:
  | https://mobile.twitter.com/RaoulGMI/status/13987339019132641...
 
    | morelisp wrote:
    | See! Look! This is exactly my point! Nobody is ever going to
    | convince the guy who sealioned into a random subthread with
    | some random charts to make an unclear point. Nothing a human
    | can say will stop this army of even-more-nerdy Ross Perots.
    | 
    | The only thing that speaking up ever does is generate more
    | noise, which frustratingly then generates more interest. This
    | probably even applies to Pinboard's appearances - anything,
    | pro or con, to keep cryptocurrency on the air.
 
| hmrtn wrote:
| I think it's time for us in the tech world to speak out and make
| it clear the emperor has no clothes here. _Gold_ is sustained by
| a mix of money laundering, human slavery, fraud, ransom,
| gambling, and delusion. It has no social benefit except helping
| end first dates fast.
| 
| What we especially need to stress to regulators is that there's
| no relationship between the claims of _gold_ and our now
| thousands of years of experience. It's not decentralized, it's
| not a currency, it's not a store of value, and it's not a
| promising element.
| 
| _Gold_ solves no problems that it didn't first create, and most
| of those it doesn't solve. Banks are neither of those things--at
| worst they're an API for fraud, or as I put it, self-funding
| institutional greed.
| 
| I think most of us in the industry gave gold a long leash because
| it's full of cleverness and seemed innovative just on those
| terms. But it's time we recognize that cleverness is being used
| as bait to defraud more people and perpetuate a con. Enough is
| enough.
| 
| The two things people need to know about gold are completely non-
| technical:
| 
| 1. If it isn't backed by self-perpetuating value, it isn't worth
| anything outside of industry process (electronics, etc.)
| 
| 2. If it works, it creates an end run around all financial
| regulation, and will be dominated by uses those regulations try
| to stop
| 
| And the list goes on. I am not equating cryptocurrency to gold, I
| am just trying to point out the absurdity of the authors
| statements.
 
| 000000000000010 wrote:
| Is it that different than a fiat currency with an equally opaque
| issuance method? At least crypto has whitepapers and the promise
| of transparency.
 
| ggreer wrote:
| Tweets like those are why Pinboard is one of the few Twitter
| accounts I've blocked. On certain issues, the author loves to
| righteously sneer. It annoys the hell out of me because when he's
| not sneering, he can be a knowledgeable and clear thinker. He's
| like a glass of wine with a single fly in it.
| 
| This behavior isn't just annoying to others; it's harmful to his
| own goals. If Maciej had hedged his bets and accepted Bitcoin
| payments for Pinboard in 2013[1], it would most have been the
| most cost-effective action of his entire life. He would be worth
| millions more today. He could have used that money to further
| causes he cares about, such as climate change and social issues.
| 
| Instead, he's trying to ban cryptocurrency. We had this same
| debate with cryptography in the 1990s and DRM removal software in
| the 2000s. Back then, technically-inclined people agreed that you
| can't ban math. But now many are trying to do just that. What
| exactly would a cryptocurrency ban look like? Would calculating
| lots of SHA-256 hashes cause men with guns to come to your home
| and put you in a cage? It sounds more absurd than what happened
| to DVD Jon.[2]
| 
| 1. https://twitter.com/Pinboard/status/376953671655100416
| 
| 2. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jon_Lech_Johansen
 
  | rospaya wrote:
  | > If Maciej had hedged his bets and accepted Bitcoin payments
  | for Pinboard in 2013[1], it would most have been the most cost-
  | effective action of his entire life. He would be worth millions
  | more today.
  | 
  | This argument makes me hate cryptobros even more - people who
  | have an interest in cryptocurrencies have direct financial
  | benefit from talking about how good they are.
  | 
  | > He could have used that money to further causes he cares
  | about, such as climate change and social issues.
  | 
  | Financial benefit from something doesn't make it right or
  | morally acceptable, it only makes you rich.
 
  | idlewords wrote:
  | Let's be clear that if I had accepted Bitcoin payments in 2013,
  | I would have then lost them all a year or two later when my
  | exchange got hacked. That would make me an even more bitter
  | person now.
  | 
  | I can't remember ever calling for a ban on cryptocurrency. If
  | you're remembering something I'm not, then please correct me.
 
    | jeofken wrote:
    | Let me know if you want a hand in setting up a private key on
    | a normal computer
 
      | [deleted]
 
    | mthoms wrote:
    | You seem like a very smart and highly technical person so I
    | find it incredibly hard to believe you would have left vast
    | sums of crypto on an unregulated exchange.
    | 
    | You're either being dishonest here or you consider yourself
    | extremely naive.
 
    | ggreer wrote:
    | You want the tech world to tell regulators that,
    | "Cryptocurrency is sustained by a mix of money laundering,
    | vaporware, fraud, ransomware, gambling, and delusion. It has
    | no social benefit except helping end first dates fast.", and
    | that cryptocurrency solves no problems and creates new ones.
    | 
    | If regulators agreed with these statements, what do you think
    | they would do? And if you don't want cryptocurrencies banned,
    | how do you want them treated differently from today?
 
| jbverschoor wrote:
| There are a few things that it offers:
| 
| - "bank accounts"
| 
| - a universal notary and authenticity service
| 
| These are building blocks for a number of applications.
| 
| Most order applications don't make sense, but hey, everybody
| needs "bigdata" too
 
  | ben_w wrote:
  | > a universal notary and authenticity service
  | 
  | Cryptocurrencies do not add anything to either beyond what was
  | already done by cryptography.
  | 
  | > "bank accounts"
  | 
  | We already have bank accounts. In banks, hence the name. What's
  | the average transaction fee for the most popular
  | cryptocurrency? By one of many metrics by which cryptocurrency
  | fails even against the status quo.
 
| msoad wrote:
| This is a great write up on how Tether is super scammy
| 
| https://www.reddit.com/r/badeconomics/comments/nfv8vg/the_te...
 
| skrebbel wrote:
| These two resonated with me:
| 
| > _A lot of intelligent observers look at cryptocurrency, see
| that it makes no sense, and reasonably infer that they must be
| missing something profound on the technical level. Tech culture
| has a nice tradition of not deriding new ideas, but we need to
| break it here and speak out_
| 
| > _[non-tech people] don 't see the huge silent majority of tech
| people who know it's a scam. That's on us_
| 
| It _is_ on us. I never realized this before today. I 'm pretty
| sure it's nothing but a pyramid scheme, but I always gave the
| enthusiasts the benefit of the doubt. After all, Elon is so cute
| when he's enthusiastic! But yeah he probably knows it's a scam
| too, what was I thinking.
 
  | StephenAmar wrote:
  | Not sure our opinion is that important.
  | 
  | Beyond answering questions from friends and family & reading
  | r/Buttcoin for entertainment, I just don't want to spend time
  | debating the issue with the occasional enthusiast.
 
  | mettamage wrote:
  | It's not on tech people to evaluate business impact or societal
  | impact or economic impact. Sure, tech people could do that but
  | most of our time is spent on designing or implementing
  | software.
  | 
  | Let other people (non-tech or hybrid) comment on the idea. They
  | have time to think about this.
  | 
  | Tech people can only help by explaining in understandable ways
  | how blockchain/cryptocurrencies work. 3Blue1Brown has a good
  | video on it.
  | 
  | Let's keep the culture of not deriding ideas. We can't predict
  | human behavior or the future of it. Maybe something beautiful
  | comes out of it, or maybe it accelerates global warming. I
  | trust other disciplines to comment on that.
 
    | zzzeek wrote:
    | are you seriously advocating for a complete lack of ethical
    | awareness on the part of engineers? Pretty sure Volkswagen
    | engineers went to prison for interfering with emissions
    | software so precedent is kind of not with you here.
 
    | mondoveneziano wrote:
    | Understanding proof-of-work down to the very details, I can
    | make some evaluations based on simple technical properties.
    | For example, Bitcoin can never become "more efficient": If
    | efficiency of computing hashes goes up, difficulty goes up to
    | counteract this, and the energy usage remains the same.
    | 
    | This is different from almost everything else, where advances
    | in technology that increase efficiency are usually a direct
    | benefit.
    | 
    | All this energy goes into what is essentially a lottery for
    | miners. Except for 6 hashes per hour, all of the literally
    | 100.000.000.000.000.000.000 hashes _per second_ get thrown
    | away entirely, not even advancing the same miner, the same
    | ASIC, towards one of the qualifying 6 hashes per hour.
 
  | lamontcg wrote:
  | > But yeah he probably knows it's a scam too, what was I
  | thinking.
  | 
  | Doubt it. He's another Libertarian and certainly hates the
  | existing system.
 
  | sneak wrote:
  | This all falls apart if bitcoin isn't a scam. The burden of
  | proof lies with those accusing it.
  | 
  | Additionally, there is no "silent majority" in tech that think
  | it is a scam; the author has invented this.
 
    | [deleted]
 
    | e9 wrote:
    | It's both. It's not a scam in a sense that it is a store of
    | value(digital property) to a small degree. But a scam in a
    | sense that it can't power every day transactions or day to
    | day needs etc
 
      | ertian wrote:
      | There are a dozen different approaches to solving the
      | bandwidth problems. IMHO, it's safe to say one or more will
      | succeed.
 
      | tuesdayrain wrote:
      | >But a scam in a sense that it can't power every day
      | transactions or day to day needs etc
      | 
      | It's not supposed to. No need for a permanent ledger to
      | store cheap day-to-day transactions.
 
      | synesso wrote:
      | The early narrative around paying for coffee didn't pan
      | out. But right now it is it's an extremely valuable global
      | settlement system.
 
  | hahahasure wrote:
  | Bitcoin is not a scam. Government currency is a scam.
  | 
  | Every other coin is basically a scam. Privacy coins may have a
  | purpose
 
  | manfredz wrote:
  | It's the transaction fees that get distributed to all the other
  | coin holders that makes it a pyramid or MLM scheme.
  | 
  | In the case of Bitcoin, originally, every Bitcoin holder would
  | also be able to mine with their own computer and receive
  | transaction fees. This has since changed, so now it's only the
  | miners with specific equipment that benefit from the
  | transaction fees.
 
  | meowkit wrote:
  | > I'm pretty sure it's nothing but a pyramid scheme, but I
  | always gave the enthusiasts the benefit of the doubt.
  | 
  | So go find out? I'm quoting you here for the "pretty sure"
  | part. Do a deep dive. I'be done deep dives on Bitcoin,
  | Ethereum, Cardano, Monero, Nano, Iota, Hyperledger, BSC,
  | Uniswap, Tether, Chainlink and cursory glances at dozens of
  | other coins/tokens.
  | 
  | I'm a tech guy. I work on an operating system/embedded systems.
  | Nothing about blockchains, DLTs, crypto, at its core is a scam
  | to me. The author saying the "silent majority tech people" know
  | its a scam is such nonsense to my experience. Every tech person
  | I know thinks either A) its neat/super cool, or B) they don't
  | know anything about it besides memes.
  | 
  | Sure there are tons of misinformation, scams, and bullshit
  | going on. That's everywhere and is not special to crypto.
 
    | skrebbel wrote:
    | Why can't the tech be neat/super cool _and_ primarily be used
    | to run a scam?
    | 
    | I mean bittorrent is neat tech as well but it's still
    | primarily used for piracy. Doing a deep dive into how
    | bittorrent works doesn't suddenly change the fact that 99.9%
    | of torrents out there are violating somebody's intellectual
    | property.
    | 
    | All I'm saying is, there's lots of super neat tech out there
    | that's primarily used for not-so-super-neat stuff.
    | 
    | (sidenote, I actually think piracy is pretty neat, but it was
    | too good an analogy to pass up)
 
      | meowkit wrote:
      | I disagree with the characterization that the primary use
      | is a scam. That's like saying the primary use of email is
      | to receive ads and phishing mail.
 
        | harwoodleon wrote:
        | Absolutely.
        | 
        | And of course new sectors that are not established can
        | seem like snake oil, simply because they are new
        | industries.
        | 
        | The internet has steamrollered many industries and
        | fundamentally changed the way they work.
        | 
        | Manufacturing, Music, Politics and now The final big
        | boss, money.
        | 
        | It will take another ten years for this industry to
        | mature. But in amongst the sham and drudgery we have the
        | first non-violent system of currencies.
 
        | zzzeek wrote:
        | lighting the earth's natural resources literally on fire
        | to create currency is pretty violent towards human life.
 
        | shieVae4I wrote:
        | > Manufacturing, Music, Politics and now The final big
        | boss, money.
        | 
        | Isn't that a "they laughed at Galileo" argument?
        | 
        | They though the Internet was snake oil. They thought
        | Napster was snake oil. They thought BitTorrent was snake
        | oil. ... but they also thought Pixelon was snake oil.
 
        | joepie91_ wrote:
        | Considering that almost all legitimate users have been
        | priced out of the market due to ever-increasing
        | transaction fees and increasingly draconian regulations
        | (often stricter than for non-cryptocurrency) and the
        | resulting interoperability issues...
        | 
        | Yeah, I think it's safe to say that the primary use of
        | cryptocurrency nowadays is as either casino chips or a
        | money laundering mechanism. The economics no longer make
        | any sense for anyone else.
 
        | seibelj wrote:
        | Is it so worthless that no one uses it, or so useful that
        | only the highest-value transactors are willing to pay the
        | fee?
        | 
        | It's like arguing the most popular restaurant is so
        | crowded, no one goes there anymore.
 
        | SubiculumCode wrote:
        | Plenty of crypto has low transaction fees these days.
 
        | LegitShady wrote:
        | Because email has no value except as a means of
        | communication. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are
        | massive speculation scams. It's popular because everyone
        | wants to hold one in the hopes it goes up in value.
        | There's no reason for it to go up in value except that
        | other people think it will go up in value and want to buy
        | one too.
        | 
        | You're buying a number on a blockchain somewhere in the
        | hope someone else will want it for more money, that's it.
 
        | zzzeek wrote:
        | it depends on how you count. if you measure "primary use
        | of email" by number of emails, then yes spam wins out,
        | but that's only because a tiny fraction of human users
        | are sending out tens of millions of spams. if you measure
        | "primary use of email" in terms of users, the vast
        | majority of people who use email use it for useful, non
        | spammy purposes. The same can't necessarily be said for
        | cryptocurrencies, as far as trying to prove that
        | cryptocurency has a large userbase that is not there just
        | for speculation/inflation and/or illicit use cases.
 
        | crummy wrote:
        | Are there numbers on what the primary uses of
        | cryptocurrency are? I would guess remittances, purchasing
        | illegal things, purchasing legal things, and ransomware -
        | but I'm not sure in what order.
 
        | jamal-kumar wrote:
        | I have a lot of digital artist friends who used to rely
        | on live performances and installations for their money,
        | now they're seriously killing it selling NFTs
        | 
        | Some of them opt out of more environmentally unfriendly
        | stuff like Ethereum for sure
        | 
        | Personally I've developed systems for paying for everyday
        | things like your bus fare or phone bill using crypto in a
        | country where there's a hell of a lot less confidence in
        | fiat (Brazil) -- hell check out the history of the
        | Brazilian Real if you want an idea of what real candycorn
        | money looks like
        | 
        | Personally I just feel a hell of a lot of privileged
        | bullshit out of people arguing that crypto is some good
        | for nothing shit. Yeah sure great try living in a country
        | where your government is fucked. We truly don't live in
        | some francis fukuyama neoliberal fantasy world where we
        | can trust stuff like traditional financial markets which
        | have gone and failed us in the non english speaking world
        | time and time again. I welcome any and all alternatives
 
        | mandelken wrote:
        | TL;DR [CITATION NEEDED] ;-)
        | 
        | Wow, you can actually pay your bus fare and phone bills
        | in Brazil with crypto? That sounds either very impressive
        | or totally unbelievable.
        | 
        | I could not find anything on Google, so if someone could
        | you link/cite to some actually used examples (I guess
        | apps or utility website?) that would be very helpful.
        | Sincere thanks.
 
        | idlewords wrote:
        | I think it also depends on what you count as "use". The
        | #1 function of Bitcoin is as a speculative asset.
 
        | morelisp wrote:
        | I am not sure remittance counts as a "use", especially if
        | it is only useful for remitting money _because_ it is
        | also actually  "used" for settling ransomware payouts or
        | buying cocaine.
 
        | Jarwain wrote:
        | I think the interesting use is more in the blockchain
        | than the currency. Public, verifiable, tied to an
        | identity, decentralized statements that can be used as
        | public records or provide an audit trail.
        | Cryptographically & blockchain secured bodycams is an
        | example that I've been looking into recently
 
      | yannoninator wrote:
      | basically piracy bad, bittorrent bad, ok lets ban
      | bittorrent.
      | 
      | edit: downvoters, look, you're supposed to swap 'piracy'
      | with [insert bad thing about cryptocurrency] and
      | 'bittorrent' with your favourite cryptocurrency of choice.
      | 
      | capeesh?
 
      | Zababa wrote:
      | I wouldn't agree that piracy is the same thing as a scam,
      | so the analogy doesn't really works. When people download a
      | bittorrent client, most of the time they know exactly what
      | they're doing and that's what they're going to get. No scam
      | here. The thing is that bittorrent moves information, and
      | crypto moves money, and there's a bigger chance of things
      | being a scam when it's about money. Maybe something like
      | religions and sects would be a good analogy? Religions will
      | bring you lots of information you may not care about, and
      | sects will try to scam you of your money. But some
      | religions have mandatory donations so the analogy isn't
      | perfect.
 
    | SamBam wrote:
    | > Nothing about blockchains, DLTs, crypto, at its core is a
    | scam to me.
    | 
    | I think everyone is talking past each other, because no one's
    | exactly defining what the "scam" is, so you're talking about
    | different things.
    | 
    | I don't think anyone's suggesting that, say, deep in the
    | BitCoin code there is some algorithm giving Satoshi Nakamoto
    | a dollar for evert transaction.
    | 
    | On the other hand, I believe that the vast majority of buyers
    | are buying simply because they hope that someone _else_ will
    | buy at a higher price tomorrow, or next year.
    | 
    | This causes everyone to cheer-lead about how everyone else
    | needs to buy or HODL, because they simply want to drive the
    | price up.
    | 
    | For me, personally, I'd say this is what I'd call a "scam,"
    | in the sense that a MLM company is a "scam": that the
    | motivation of the majority of people extolling the virtues of
    | buying crypto tends to be simply personal enrichment.
 
      | mattgreenrocks wrote:
      | Yeah. And I think some people see that and think, "okay I
      | can get in on that too!" while others think, "this whole
      | thing smells and can't be sustainable."
      | 
      | I fall into the latter camp. I don't begrudge the former. I
      | just don't think it'll last and have little taste for
      | speculating.
 
    | chrisco255 wrote:
    | Yeah, U.S. household net worth is near all-time lows in Fed
    | balance sheet terms and people think crypto is the scam: http
    | s://mobile.twitter.com/RaoulGMI/status/13987339019132641...
 
      | chrisbolt wrote:
      | What does "in Fed balance sheet terms" mean?
 
        | atomicnumber3 wrote:
        | I think they're referring to the ratio of household
        | wealth to total value of the fed balance sheet. Which is
        | a number easy to calculate and his claim is factually
        | true (mostly because the fed balance sheet has never been
        | bigger).
        | 
        | But while his claim is true, in a Boolean sense, I don't
        | know what exactly we're supposed to conclude about the
        | world based on it. This isn't a ratio I've ever seen
        | talked about before.
        | 
        | I'm guessing they're insinuating that the size of the
        | feds balance sheet is somehow related to inflation, which
        | it is only in a fairly loose sense.
 
        | delaaxe wrote:
        | Some analysts joke that the first thing you're shown when
        | you arrive in hell in a chart of the S&P divided by the
        | Fed balance sheet
 
        | TchoBeer wrote:
        | What's the joke I don't get it
 
        | chrisco255 wrote:
        | That US household net worth is falling despite the fact
        | that real estate prices and stock prices are near all
        | time highs.
 
      | ashtonkem wrote:
      | Something being wrong with the economy doesn't preclude
      | Bitcoin from being a scam. That's a false dilemma you're
      | proposing.
 
        | chrisco255 wrote:
        | This, this is a scam:
        | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M1SL Notice the 5x
        | supply increase without a corresponding 5x in economic
        | efficiency. Bitcoin is what it is. It's worth what people
        | think it's worth. Just like gold. Gold has minimal
        | practical use in real life but it was used as a type of
        | money off and on for 5000 years.
 
        | lottin wrote:
        | All money is worth what people think it's worth. Next
        | question.
 
        | CalChris wrote:
        | It's actually a whataboutism but otherwise I agree.
 
    | wmf wrote:
    | I'm a tech guy. I've spent years experimenting with crypto
    | and it isn't fit for any legitimate purpose.
 
      | tuesdayrain wrote:
      | You're not very good at experimenting then. I first bought
      | BTC in 2013 because of a legitimate purpose: to pay for
      | online goods (legal software) to a seller who wanted to
      | completely eliminate any risk of chargebacks.
 
        | eli wrote:
        | And 8 years later the fees no longer make it viable for
        | even that niche use case.
 
        | tuesdayrain wrote:
        | Surely you recognize that this is a bad faith argument?
        | The average transaction fee today is around $8 USD.
        | That's a small price to pay for knowing that a
        | transaction is set in stone.
 
    | jakelazaroff wrote:
    | _> The author saying the "silent majority tech people" know
    | its a scam is such nonsense to my experience. Every tech
    | person I know thinks either A) its neat /super cool, or B)
    | they don't know anything about it besides memes._
    | 
    | Counterpoint: most "tech people" I know -- including people
    | who have worked in crypto -- both know about it and also
    | think it's a scam.
 
      | meowkit wrote:
      | That's the real point. For the author, me, or you to claim
      | what most tech people think is ridiculous.
 
    | forwardslash wrote:
    | How have you done a deep dive on Tether and not seen it as
    | deeply troubling?
 
      | meowkit wrote:
      | Did I say I did not find it deeply troubling?
 
        | forwardslash wrote:
        | You said
        | 
        | > Nothing about blockchains, DLTs, crypto, at its core is
        | a scam to me
        | 
        | Which I took as an implication that you didn't see Tether
        | as a deeply troubling or a scam
 
        | meowkit wrote:
        | Tether is an application, not a core technology.
        | Stablecoins would fit that quote.
        | 
        | Tethers management is the problem - obfuscation and using
        | other crypto as collateral instead of just USD.
 
        | [deleted]
 
      | amingilani wrote:
      | Please don't cherry pick the worst example and apply it for
      | the whole population.
      | 
      | Tether is one stablecoin, and arguably the worst example
      | since it is literally the one coin every coiner will agree
      | with you is a bad stablecoin. Do a deep dive on MakerDAO's
      | DAI instead.
 
        | eli wrote:
        | When tether implodes a lot is going down with it.
 
  | xXx_uwu_xXx wrote:
  | Capitalism is the scam. Cryptocurrency is just an extension of
  | it.
 
    | joepie91_ wrote:
    | You're actually _almost_ right. While Bitcoin was launched
    | with lofty goals, it was pretty quickly overtaken by
    | capitalist vultures who saw a low-regulation industry to
    | extract money from people.
    | 
    | Importantly though, it's not an either/or. Capitalism is
    | problematic _and_ cryptocurrency is problematic. Both can be
    | true at the same time.
 
      | lottin wrote:
      | Bitcoin inventors were anarcho-capitalists, an ideology
      | that promotes an extreme version of capitalism where there
      | are no governments and corporations have unlimited power.
 
        | mandelken wrote:
        | Could you provide some background (or links) to your
        | claim (I thought the inventor(s) of Bitcoin were
        | anonymous)? Thank you.
 
    | LanceH wrote:
    | Go try something else.
 
  | chrisco255 wrote:
  | It's not. It's an economy. If you haven't engaged with the
  | technology or even have a surface level understanding of
  | traditional financial tooling like derivatives, options,
  | futures, precious metals trading, etc. then you shouldn't
  | parrot what someone on Twitter says. Take the time to
  | understand the existing system and how smart contracts work and
  | some of the blue chip protocols like https://aave.com/ or
  | https://chain.link/ and then make an informed opinion.
 
    | [deleted]
 
    | msoad wrote:
    | some of us were here and read it a while ago[1]. it is clever
    | indeed but we have seen it can't be a currency as it
    | originally claimed
    | 
    | [1][https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1251519]
 
  | fleddr wrote:
  | This huge silent majority that know it is a scam doesn't exist.
  | 
  | Crypto is so large, complex and fast-moving that it takes
  | thousands of hours to grasp.
  | 
  | If I'd make a list of 100 questions regarding crypto, an exam
  | so to speak, I am reasonably sure that this silent majority
  | can't even answer 5% of the questions.
  | 
  | Because they don't know crypto. At all.
 
    | idlewords wrote:
    | It's a hash tree with a vape cloud around it, not quantum
    | chromodynamics. I think most people on this technical forum
    | understand it just fine.
 
      | pa7x1 wrote:
      | The hard part is not the data structure behind it (Merkle
      | tree) but the economics. An entirely new branch of
      | economics has spun of it and it's far from trivial.
 
        | eli wrote:
        | I think the hard part is convincing people that it's a
        | new branch of economics.
 
        | mattgreenrocks wrote:
        | I can understand mapping out a new branch of a field is
        | nontrivial. But I'd also hope that domain experts could
        | explain it well enough to bring others to a basic level
        | of understanding without saying, "it's too hard."
 
        | jfrunyon wrote:
        | "People had to invent entirely new ways to explain it
        | because our existing models didn't work" isn't a very
        | good argument for it being real.
 
    | rsync wrote:
    | Unnecessary.
    | 
    | There are non-technical heuristics that we can all employ,
    | through our knowledge of history and sociology, that allow us
    | to identify late stage bubbles (and the pyramids and ponzis
    | that accompany them).
    | 
    | I don't have a taxi driver but I _do_ have taxi driver
    | equivalents in my life that are currently giving me all the
    | signals I need.
 
    | paulgb wrote:
    | > If I'd make a list of 100 questions regarding crypto, an
    | exam so to speak, I am reasonably sure that this silent
    | majority can't even answer 5% of the questions.
    | 
    | I'd reckon that the average HN cryptocurrency skeptic would
    | do better than the average person who's actually invested in
    | crypto.
 
    | djmashko2 wrote:
    | I'd be interested in seeing this exam!
 
    | csande17 wrote:
    | Count me as one of the people in the silent majority. (Well,
    | not exactly "silent" because I'm talking about it now in
    | Hacker News, but the things I write don't usually reach the
    | general public.)
    | 
    | You're right that cryptocurrency enthusiasts are always
    | generating new work and coming up with new ideas. Actually,
    | they do this a lot more easily than other domains, because
    | the fact that their entire field is a scam means there are a
    | lot fewer of those pesky roadblocks like "the idea not
    | actually accomplishing the thing you think it does" to
    | contend with.
    | 
    | The fact is that nearly all cryptocurrency projects rest on
    | one of a few obviously-false premises. Like "systems that
    | require every participant to store the entire history of
    | transactions forever scale well", or "people in the real
    | world want every transaction they make to be completely
    | irreversible", or "digital legers are guaranteed to
    | accurately track the state of real-world objects". If you
    | dismiss these, you can dismiss all the projects that depend
    | on them without needing to know the difference between a
    | MerkleCat and a SatoshKitty.
 
      | ertian wrote:
      | It does not rest on any of those assumptions. Those are
      | just characteristics of the very first implementation.
 
    | toyg wrote:
    | _> Crypto is so large, complex and fast-moving that it takes
    | thousands of hours to grasp._
    | 
    | The thing is, regular money is, from a certain perspective,
    | also a "scam". A lot of the financial system is effectively
    | make-believe, with massive conflicts of interest at every
    | corner and dynamics that keep working because everyone
    | believes they should - until, for one reason or another, they
    | stop believing, and then you have 2008.
    | 
    | Crypto is just another big mountain of make-believe systems
    | (and getting bigger with every new contraption), but it is so
    | young that the games of pretend are still very visible; and
    | the key actors in crypto are different from the key actors in
    | regular finance, which means it gets a bad rap from the
    | latter. But if it can survive long enough (say, 30 or 40
    | years), people will just stop pointing out the "scam" and
    | will go along with it, because "why not? If it works, it
    | works".
 
      | jfrunyon wrote:
      | Fiat money has value because it is widely, almost
      | universally, accepted in exchange for things of intrinsic
      | value (food, shelter, toys, tools).
      | 
      | I'm not aware of any non-government-backed fiat currency
      | which has gained widespread use in the history of humanity.
      | And in fact all of the fiat currencies I know of originated
      | as representative money.
      | 
      | Bitcoin is _not_ widely accepted in exchange for things of
      | values, and I see no reason to believe that will ever
      | change. Being able to spend it is the  "killer app" of
      | cryptocurrencies, and none of them have actually
      | implemented it, despite many, many attempts.
 
    | lamontcg wrote:
    | > it takes thousands of hours to grasp.
    | 
    | It really doesn't. But that is a convenient way to dismiss
    | criticism from everyone who isn't a crypto insider (which is
    | a self-fulfilling prophecy -- the people who spend that much
    | time on it will necessarily be bought into it, the people who
    | are critical will have given up caring about it at some point
    | so will never have the necessary "credentials" to talk about
    | it).
 
    | megameter wrote:
    | Twitter crypto-haters essentially act as the "anti" to the
    | crypto-bro "pro".
    | 
    | Both repeat the same memes to each other in a self-
    | reenforcing echo chamber. The underlying link is to political
    | consensus. Leftist-socialist Twitter is eager to say that
    | socialism is good because Bitcoin is bad. Trumpist-
    | conservativist Twitter loves to say that Bitcoin is good
    | because Joe Biden is bad. Nihilistic crypto permabulls are so
    | hyped up that they jump into every thread to defend their
    | favorites and their negativity is usually limited to the
    | dismissive "sorry you want to be poor".
    | 
    | It never really goes anywhere. Someone comes up with a new
    | crypto narrative - adoption, value, environmental impacts,
    | human interest - and it's all you hear about for the next
    | month. If you try to find good information you are presented
    | with an opaque wall of obvious scams, not as obvious scams,
    | and people who believe or do not believe in them.
    | 
    | There is interesting stuff going on, but the people studying
    | it carefully are so hard to find through all the noise now.
    | 
    | It's easier when there's a bear market.
 
      | SubiculumCode wrote:
      | Yet one would hope that if the discussion is on HN, then
      | we'd rise above flamewars, and talk specifics, specific
      | limitations, specific advantages, etc.
 
  | aeternum wrote:
  | "A lot of observers", "Many people say", "Everyone says". Let's
  | stop using weasel words, if you consider yourself a techie,
  | come up with some real evidence-based arguments.
 
| knolan wrote:
| When I first heard of cryptocurrency I was reminded of when
| people started idling in Team Fortress 2 to get content drops. It
| was such a daft cart before the horse approach, but of course
| those dropped items could be sold for fractions of a penny and
| people can be dumb.
| 
| It also reminded me of Folding at Home. Here people completed by
| virtue of their personal compute resources.
| 
| Of course crypto serves as neither a form of entertainment or
| scientific discovery and is just a massive waste of resources to
| create artificial wealth. If only all that computation did
| something useful.
 
  | captn3m0 wrote:
  | I've come to the conclusion that Bitcoin was a perfect
  | "isolated" P2P currency system. If it was just considered
  | Monopoly money, that is. The moment you try to find its worth
  | by buying/selling it against Fiat - you get the exact same
  | thing you get when you allow real world trading on any game
  | currency - scams.
 
  | michaelmrose wrote:
  | Isn't there some way to combine proof of work and actually
  | useful work?
 
    | ctchocula wrote:
    | No, there's not. It's a fundamental principle among PoS
    | cryptocurrencies that the work needs to have no additional
    | utility or else it will help the attacker "subsidize" 51%
    | attacks against the cryptocurrency you've built, because now
    | they can both launch 51% attacks which cost $X abut subsidize
    | it by selling the useful compute for $Y they've gotten by
    | launching the attack, which ends up costing $X - $Y.
    | 
    | Compared with a PoS cryptocurrency yielding no useful compute
    | as a side effect, it costs $Y cheaper for someone to 51%
    | attack.
 
| ai_ja_nai wrote:
| I am a PhD student at a university in Roma3. Tomorrow I'll have
| to explain a student that, no, I won't give access to AI lab's
| Teslas to let them research a Deep Learning algorithm to forecast
| bitcoin price. Groan.
 
| throwawaaarrgh wrote:
| Twitter is a bad blogging platform.
 
| jarbus wrote:
| Curious to see how the author would suggest we donate to
| organizations like WikiLeaks without Bitcoin
 
| lifeisstillgood wrote:
| I am not sure why this is flagged - it seems a reasonable and
| timely opinion piece.
| 
| Cryptocurrency is a subject that has to have a deep and public
| debate. What the OP is saying (which I take to be "the tech world
| has a duty to point out the flaws in cryptocurrency to avoid
| giving an impression of a clean bill of health to every ICO out
| there") - that is a valid socially useful debate.
| 
| There are valid real world uses of bitcoin (see Turkey shutting
| down payment apps recently). but yeah it is also a volatile wild
| west that is miles away from anyone's expectation of normal
| regulated currency behaviour.
| 
| Yes there is a crying need for an "internet native" currency.
| What will that be - I don't know. But it is not here yet, and it
| is reasonable to make that clear and loud.
 
  | Graffur wrote:
  | It's flagged because it's flame baiting. It's posting opinions
  | and acting like it's representing the "tech world". This is
  | just some unknown twitter account
 
    | lifeisstillgood wrote:
    | I mean he is not _famous_ but not quite unknown.
    | 
    | Here for example is The Economist on his bookmarking site:
    | 
    | >>> Mr Ceglowski runs Pinboard, a paid social-bookmarking
    | service which allows subscribers to store web links with
    | annotations and share them with others. In broad terms, it is
    | similar to Delicious, which Yahoo! acquired in 2005.
    | 
    | https://www.economist.com/babbage/2011/04/04/stick-a-pin-
    | in-...
    | 
    | But yes, this is a controversial subject. It shouldn't be. It
    | should be an easy yes / no. But something is wrong. We should
    | not be afraid of the discussion about what is wrong.
 
  | dang wrote:
  | Edit: oh, the much simpler answer is that it was posted twice
  | and both posts were on the front page. People flagged the dupe.
  | That's fair. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27336405.
  | 
  | ---
  | 
  | I think the submitted title probably had something to do with
  | it; As a title, "the emperor has no clothes" is generic and
  | baity. It's also false in the sense that there's no consensus
  | view, so to the extent that the analogy is meaningful, it
  | doesn't apply. I've attempted to replace that with a more
  | neutral and representative title now, drawn from the author's
  | own words. Suggestions for a better title are welcome.
  | 
  | Beyond that, HN has had so many threads arguing the same points
  | about cryptocurrency over and over, that it's not clear there
  | can ever again be a new discussion about it. Repetition is a
  | curiosity killer, and usually indignation takes its place as
  | people resort to hammering each other over the head with the
  | same dumbed-down clubs, back and forth.
  | 
  | https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&sor...
  | 
  | https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=false&so...
  | 
  | However, I think we can try turning the flags off on this one
  | because Macjiej is at least trying to take a different and more
  | specific angle on cryptocurrency critique.
 
    | idlewords wrote:
    | Thanks for your honest broker moderation, here and in all the
    | other places you do it.
    | 
    | I do find it interesting that there's this putatively 100%
    | tech topic that has the same dynamic as political threads.
 
      | dang wrote:
      | It's certainly not a 100% tech topic? there aren't any (or
      | hardly any) of those anyhow, no? but the main thing I want
      | to say is thanks for that "putatively". Post HN I want to
      | work on a society for endangered words.
      | 
      | Edit: IMO the dynamic that the explicitly-political threads
      | and this sort of thread have in common is that people's
      | identities become strongly vested in their position. The
      | more we do that the more it feels like our existence is
      | being threatened, rather than just our view.
      | 
      | That happens with the strongest tech themes sometimes, for
      | example when people (god help us) identify strongly for or
      | against some $BigCo or $celebrity. Large sums of money
      | being involved are a 10x multiplier of that dynamic too.
 
    | lifeisstillgood wrote:
    | >>> Beyond that, HN has had so many threads arguing the same
    | points about cryptocurrency over and over, that it's not
    | clear there can ever again be a new discussion about it.
    | 
    | Fair point. Sad, but fair :-)
 
| ai_ja_nai wrote:
| Plus, cryptos are responsible of 1% of world elecrticity
| consumption. Holy cow.
 
| robbrown451 wrote:
| The difference between Bitcoin and a pyramid scheme is that most
| pyramids are basically zero sum games... for every dollar one
| player makes, another player loses a dollar.
| 
| Bitcoin, due to its mining costs, is a massively negative sum
| game. So much worse.
 
| alecbz wrote:
| Isn't all currency more or less a "pyramid scheme" in the sense
| that Bitcoin is?
| 
| I wish we had more subtlety in our discourse. It feels like it's
| all either blind admiration or blind condemnation.
| 
| Bitcoin is trying to be a new currency. Currencies more or less
| operate on "collective delusion". I think many people scratching
| their heads at why Bitcoin is worth anything _are_ missing
| something, which is why any currency has any value at all, which
| is itself kind of surprising and unintuitive.
| 
| At the same time, I think it's fair to be a little more skeptical
| about what the value of a currency like Bitcoin is, precisely,
| and how much effort ought to be put into building it.
 
  | pessimizer wrote:
  | No. Currency is guaranteed to be accepted for the payment of
  | taxes in a particular jurisdiction, and that jurisdiction's
  | courts will enforce judgments in that currency. These are
  | material differences.
 
  | jedberg wrote:
  | Fiat currency is backed by courts and regulation, which is
  | backed by a literal army, and the threats of violence that army
  | brings. If someone steals your fiat USD, there will eventually
  | be someone with guns removing you from society if you don't
  | return them.
  | 
  | Cryptocurrency has no such backing.
 
  | idlewords wrote:
  | When I say pyramid scheme, I don't mean it in the sort of
  | philosophical way that you could apply to all fiat currency,
  | but in the "OMG look at Tether" way.
 
    | alecbz wrote:
    | Ah, I might be out of the loop. tl;dr?
 
      | kemonocode wrote:
      | Tether, which is the most used so-called "stablecoin" (As
      | its value is pegged to the USD) is extremely seedy at
      | _best_ and has had brushes with the law already [0] or is
      | outright a Ponzi scheme [1] and plenty of people arguing
      | for /against crypto know and have said so already.
      | 
      | Personally, even though I'm a proponent of cryptocurrency
      | in general, I wish it'd disappear in spite of any short and
      | middle-term calamitous consequences on perceived value if
      | that means one less "dumbed-down club" (Using dang's words)
      | when it comes to discussing crypto.
      | 
      | [0] https://ag.ny.gov/press-release/2021/attorney-general-
      | james-...
      | 
      | [1] https://www.singlelunch.com/2021/05/19/the-tether-
      | ponzi-sche...
 
    | kemonocode wrote:
    | A not so insignificant part of me wishes Tether would crash
    | already so it'd kill that argument dead for crypto
    | detractors. It'd be interesting to see how Bitcoin's value
    | would look after. I _really_ doubt it 'd be zero.
 
  | willhslade wrote:
  | This is and is not true. The implicit value of a currency is
  | backed by being able to tax the citizens. This is why there are
  | federal but not state / province level currencies as the
  | friction of conversion is a dead weight loss.
 
    | sentrysapper wrote:
    | "Trust is the raw material from which all types of money are
    | minted".
    | 
    | You make a valid point, I do trust that our government will
    | come to collect what's due from the citizens, but what about
    | the corporations?
    | 
    | Worth noting there are quite a number of what are known as
    | Community currencies still active in the US & Canada:
    | 
    | USA: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_community_curren
    | cies...
    | 
    | Canada: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_community_cur
    | rencies...
 
    | alecbz wrote:
    | > The implicit value of a currency is backed by being able to
    | tax the citizens.
    | 
    | Elaborate? Not sure why this would be true.
    | 
    | I'm pretty sure there are plenty of "commodity currencies"
    | (shells, salt, even gold) that achieved value without some
    | central agency controlling the currency that could also levy
    | taxes.
 
| segmondy wrote:
| Just gonna sound like a hater, folks worship success. They will
| listen to anyone who made millions betting on cryptocurrency over
| any smart person who didn't and is "jealous" for missing out.
| 
| One mistake us "smart" folks make is thinking that investing is
| about understanding a system that's complete and smart. Most
| investments are not like black jack but more like poker where it
| all comes down to behavioral economics and psychology. Doesn't
| matter how stupid the actually game is, it's about the meta game
| with the crowd.
| 
| Plenty of tech folks making money in crypto know this, wallstreet
| going into crypto knows this. Most of us in tech are too autistic
| to play on that level. So focused on the correctness of the tech.
| 
| For the players it's a big casino and they know it. The lucky
| winners will be rewarded for having heart and playing
 
  | npteljes wrote:
  | FOMO is real when I hear people talking about crypto. I feel
  | the hype and I notice it in others too. Cool names flying
  | around, there's a new type of coin for every coffee break we're
  | having, the graphs go high, memes churned out every second.
  | Colleague makes tenth of his salary with his GPU. Hard to
  | remain neutral.
 
    | paul_f wrote:
    | Brilliant point. I agree. Cryptocurrencies are fueled almost
    | exclusively by FOMO. Tether is a joke and probably a scam,
    | yet somehow has a $60B market value. SMH.
 
  | Grim-444 wrote:
  | This is similar to my recent realization - as much as I believe
  | it's a complete ponzi scheme, a near complete scam, as long as
  | there's enough people who don't know better who can be conned
  | to buy into it, it will keep getting propped up. In this age of
  | mass media and the internet where everyone is so infinitely,
  | immediately connected, there's no shortage of more suckers to
  | buy in, there's no shortage of propaganda techniques to sucker
  | more people in. As long as there's more suckers, it can keep
  | getting propped up, no matter how unsound it actually is, no
  | matter how much of a scam it actually is. It reminds me of the
  | quote "the markets can remain irrational longer than you can
  | remain solvent".
 
  | the_cat_kittles wrote:
  | this used to be called the "greater fool theory" of investing.
  | i think the funniest thing about crypto is that its touted as
  | the ultra complex, high tech mathy panacea, but in its actual
  | function and utility to people, its most similar to beanie
  | babies or baseball cards.
 
| chedine wrote:
| One thing is for sure. HN community has never gotten any trends
| correct. That must say something. FAANG, crypto, AI, javascript
| etc gets hate. Post about lisp, shell, emacs and if will be
| hailed :- Bring the downvotes now.
 
| tuesdayrain wrote:
| A lot of people underestimate the value provided by a payment
| system that makes chargebacks impossible. Yes, it's a double-
| edged sword that needs to be used carefully. But it makes perfect
| sense for markets where one side has an established reputation,
| while the other doesn't.
 
| yoloyoloyoloa wrote:
| I see more and more tweets and articles like this posted here on
| hackernews that echo the sentiments of the world economic forum
| on how they feel about cryptocurrency. Remember they are the very
| people that say you should:"Own nothing and be happy".
| 
| If you think cryptocurrency is a scam then you havnt looked into
| the technology behind it and the economies that have been built
| using these technologies.
 
  | seattle_spring wrote:
  | There's real technology and products and economics behind MLMs
  | like Herbalife and Young Living too. Doesn't make them any less
  | of a scam.
 
| [deleted]
 
| crgi wrote:
| Fully agree. The current/legacy financial infrastructure is
| actually 10 times more decentralized than any DLT: DLT is the
| same software run on multiple nodes. SWIFT in contrast is a
| protocol, that anyone can implement. So its hundreds of software
| teams, building and operating their part of the infrastructure
| and integrating with each other. The SWIFT protocol itself is
| maintained by the member organizations, anyone can bring in
| proposals. The complexity of it does not come from technology,
| but the regulatory requirements which differ vastly across the
| world.
 
  | yaa_minu wrote:
  | Bitcoin is also a protocol and there are several
  | implementations. The same applies to the lightening protocol
  | which has about 7 different client implementations and growing.
 
| khazhoux wrote:
| In the same 7-day span a couple of weeks ago, I saw headlines
| about crypto's legitimization in the market, and a $1 BILLION
| crypto donation to COVID efforts in India. I can't believe both
| simultaneously.
 
| Swizec wrote:
| Git is the most wildly successful and broadly useful application
| of the ~blockchain~ merkle tree data structure. It's fantastic
| and here to stay.
| 
| The digital money angle? Eh it's okay. Everyone loves a gullible
| population that _prefers_ to be paid in not-money.
| 
| Eventually crypto will have to invent all the overhead and
| governance it was trying to escape. You know, so things like
| Musk's little pump-and-dump the other week stop being possible.
| 
| For the downvoters: The original bitcoin paper explicitly says
| it's using a merkle tree data structure under the hood. Same as
| that used by git.
 
  | Hamuko wrote:
  | How is git an application of blockchain when it predates
  | Bitcoin by several years?
 
    | Swizec wrote:
    | It's the same data structure. Bitcoin just added the proof-
    | of-work idea to extending the chain and attached the concept
    | of "value" as a social construct.
    | 
    | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Merkle_tree
 
      | Hamuko wrote:
      | How does consensus work in git?
 
        | Swizec wrote:
        | Multiple peer reviewers look at a pull request and when
        | it passes muster, it gets merged to the longest chain.
        | You can always make a fork and keep going with a new
        | chain.
        | 
        | Same as bitcoin. You can always split off a new chain.
        | You might not convince everyone that your new chain is
        | _the_ chain, but you're welcome to try.
 
        | Hamuko wrote:
        | a) Where is there a requirement for "multiple peer
        | reviews" on git?
        | 
        | b) What is the longest chain? How do I determine if the
        | longest chain is in Gitlab, on my computer or my
        | coworker's computer? Where does the pull request go?
        | 
        | c) How do I indicate that I have approved a pull request
        | in git?
 
        | Swizec wrote:
        | I don't have these answers for you, it depends on the
        | project.
        | 
        | How do you know that the exchange you're using buys
        | bitcoin on the same blockchain as the exchange I use?
        | Because they said so?
        | 
        | When's the last time you downloaded the whole blockchain
        | for any coin and verified the whole sequence of blocks
        | from the very first one? I certainly never have. But I
        | regularly have the whole chain for git projects on my
        | machine.
        | 
        | Point is it's the same data structure. Bitcoin's
        | innovation is in how blocks get added, but it's not as
        | revolutionary as it looks from the hype. Read the
        | original paper if you don't believe me, it's very well
        | written and incredibly approachable
 
| macawfish wrote:
| I can understand peoples' frustration with the artificial
| scarcity, but would like to see this same energy over the
| artificial scarcity of housing and free time. The oligopoly of
| national money systems is currently failing to provide people
| with basic access to capital. There's nothing intrinsic about
| cryptocurrency that will necessarily help this or exacerbate it,
| but the fact that I can get better interest on US dollars by
| depositing stablecoins on some defi platform, with no
| gatekeeping, is an indictment of conventional financial
| institutions more than it is of blockchain tech.
 
  | gregable wrote:
  | Tons of other risky assets have high "interest rates". Sell
  | puts on high volatility stocks for example.
 
  | texaswhizzle wrote:
  | It's not artificial scarcity, it's outright fake scarcity.
  | 
  | The total supply of Bitcoin is 21,000,000 coins. However, every
  | single coin is 100,000,000 individual assets.
  | 
  | 21,000,000 sounds pretty finite. But 21,000,000,000,000,000
  | sounds a tad less finite. The price of Bitcoin relies on the
  | fundamental false premise that it's scarce.
 
    | ajkdhcb2 wrote:
    | That's like saying pizza isnt scarce because you can cut one
    | into 1000 tiny slices. Or gold isnt scarce because you can
    | cut 1 bar into 1 tiny million pieces. Pretty hilarious
    | misconception
 
    | Graffur wrote:
    | 1 = x
    | 
    | 1/100,000,000 = x/100,000,000
    | 
    | "stacking sats" is a common phrase so it's not really a
    | secret that a bitcoin can be subdivided. In fact, a lot of
    | bitcoin supports would support people learning this fact.
 
      | texaswhizzle wrote:
      | There is nothing special or important about a single entire
      | Bitcoin. It's completely arbitrary. The question is whether
      | Bitcoin is scarce. If there are millions of trillions of
      | tradeable assets, it's not scarce.
 
  | charlesarthur wrote:
  | "the fact that I can get better interest on US dollars by
  | depositing stablecoins on some defi platform"..
  | 
  | There was this guy called Madoff. He was able to get better
  | interest than the markets for quite a while too. Those
  | stablecoins are not contributing to the productive economy.
  | They're not being invested in machines that make new cars,
  | clear carbon from the air, produce cheaper food. Nothing about
  | cryptocurrency will solve housing or free time, because those
  | are _political_ problems which require humans to come together
  | with a common aim - not, in the complete opposite example,
  | people just wanting more for themselves by  "depositing
  | stablecoins on some defi platform".
 
  | sedatk wrote:
  | That's just an overly simplistic summary of the whole thread.
  | Pinboard isn't angry about artificial scarcity, but how
  | cryptocurrency fails to fulfill its promises: it fails to
  | decentralize, it fails to reach performance levels of existing
  | financial institutions, it wastes huge amounts of energy, and
  | it provides zero value other than being a ransomware enabler.
  | (Disclaimer: I own cryptocurrency)
 
  | lefrenchy wrote:
  | If i'm correct you can get upwards of like 5-10% interest on
  | those platforms?
  | 
  | Can you simply explain to me where that money comes from? That
  | just seems like an absurd amount of interest. Considering the
  | crypto/inflation hawk intersection, i'd presume people would be
  | skeptical of all this "free" money?
 
    | Bayart wrote:
    | If I'm not wrong, the average yearly ROI of something like
    | S&P 500 has been around 7-8% over the last 70 years.
    | 
    | Since you're French as well, I can tell you that here it
    | gives about 4-5% in yearly returns.
    | 
    | So it's not unheard of returns with traditional asset
    | classes. As far as I'm aware, the money in that specific case
    | comes from interests paid by those taking loans (from the
    | funds that's you're putting out) or from staking rewards (in
    | the case of staking cryptocurrencies using proof of stake).
 
| c01n wrote:
| > What we especially need to stress to regulators...
| 
| Lol. Talking like that obviously shows that cryptocurrencies are
| not for you. This tech has cypherpunk and crypto-anarchy roots,
| regulators/governments are not the intended users for this tech,
| even if you like it or not. If you do not view cryptocurrencies
| from an cypherpunk perspective you will not see their social
| benefits, it is an entire way of life an alternative view from
| the centralized shit show we have now. Yes the tech has flaws,
| just like how digicash, hashcash, b-money etc had flaws, this is
| an evolutionary process and nothing you or your government says
| can stop it.
 
  | bambax wrote:
  | > _nothing you or your government says can stop it_
  | 
  | Oh yeah? Let's find out.
 
  | marricks wrote:
  | I think that cyberpunk dream died when billionaires and VC got
  | involved and Bitcoin (and other) currencies skyrocketed in
  | price from millions of people playing crypto-lottery.
  | 
  | Strikes against it:
  | 
  | - It's burning a massive amount of resources and that is just
  | increasing
  | 
  | - I don't have the stats but I imagine the exponential growth
  | in Bitcoin/coin prices is mainly from people using it as a
  | pyramid scheme/casino not simple an upticl in usage
  | 
  | - A transaction is still pretty trackable (we know where the mt
  | gox money is, yeah?)
  | 
  | - Over 60% of bitcoin mining takes place in one country on
  | specialized hardware, not terribly decentralized anymore
 
    | [deleted]
 
    | c01n wrote:
    | > It's burning a massive amount of resources and that is just
    | increasing
    | 
    | Do you own a car? Have you ever used plastic? How much
    | resources are burned by banks?
    | 
    | > I don't have the stats but I imagine the exponential growth
    | in Bitcoin/coin prices is mainly from people using it as a
    | pyramid scheme/casino not simple an upticl in usage
    | 
    | Yea lets also ban computers because they allow
    | cryptocurrencies.
    | 
    | > A transaction is still pretty trackable (we know where the
    | mt gox money is, yeah?)
    | 
    | Ever heard about Zcash or Monero
    | 
    | > Over 60% of bitcoin mining takes place in one country on
    | specialized hardware, not terribly decentralized anymore
    | 
    | Yes the tech is not perfect but tons of research (Proof of
    | Stake etc) is happening to make it perfect.
 
| [deleted]
 
| char8 wrote:
| Seems lobsided. Sure Bitcoin suffers from high fees, but it
| serves well as a savings account. We've also started accepting
| litecoin payments on our site: I set it up once, and forgot about
| it. With Paypal it's a never-ending rigamarole.
| 
| I've recently closed my bank account, and started using something
| a bit more up-to-date (Revolut). I believe Bitcoin is the single
| biggest innovation driver in the tech sector right now.. but
| sure.. it's a scam.
 
  | ashtonkem wrote:
  | > I believe Bitcoin is the single biggest innovation driver in
  | the tech sector right now
  | 
  | Not gonna lie, I laughed at this.
 
    | dang wrote:
    | Can you please make your substantive points without swipes?
    | It's hard for conversations like this to stay interesting and
    | this sort of exchange tends to push them over a cliff.
    | 
    | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
 
    | char8 wrote:
    | Yes sorry it was a typo. I meant to write:
    | 
    | > I believe Bitcoin is the single biggest innovation driver
    | in the *fin*tech sector right now.
    | 
    | Obviously not the biggest driver in tech; i don't blame you
    | fr laughing at this statement.
 
    | alkonaut wrote:
    | I needed that too.
 
  | Tarq0n wrote:
  | Bitcoin is more like a security, with characteristics more akin
  | to rare metals than a savings account. It's entirely unfit for
  | that purpose.
 
    | chrisco255 wrote:
    | That makes it a commodity, not a security. Securities are
    | very specific things described by the SEC Act and the Howey
    | test.
    | 
    | But if you don't like Bitcoin you can use USD based cryptos
    | like DAI or USDC to transact and conduct peer-to-peer
    | lending, purchase art work, save with higher yield, provide
    | liquidity in a peer to peer marketplace, etc. By no means do
    | you have to choose Bitcoin.
 
  | jakelazaroff wrote:
  | _> Sure Bitcoin suffers from high fees, but it serves well as a
  | savings account._
  | 
  | Does it? Your Bitcoin "savings account" would have lost over
  | 45% of its value over the past month and a half.
 
    | chrisco255 wrote:
    | A friend of mine paid another friend of mine $80 in BTC for a
    | trip we did about 5 years ago. That BTC, never touched, is
    | now worth $5000. At any rate, it's definitely volatile,
    | because the asset class is still a small (but growing) potato
    | in the grand scheme of commodities markets. One thing we can
    | be sure of, it will never go negative in price, unlike oil.
 
      | jakelazaroff wrote:
      | I'd be pretty alarmed if my untouched savings account grew
      | by 6250% over five years.
 
        | chrisco255 wrote:
        | Would you be alarmed if your untouched savings account
        | debased by 50% or so in purchasing power since then?
 
        | jakelazaroff wrote:
        | Yes. That's the point. Bitcoin serves _incredibly poorly_
        | as a savings account, along every conceivable axis.
 
        | chrisco255 wrote:
        | When you save money, do you save for the long term or for
        | 1.5 months from now? If you save for the long term, and
        | you're earning 0.5% interest on your $10K, how much less
        | can you buy with it now, in terms of real estate, rent,
        | stocks, commodities, etc?
        | 
        | Also, note it is entirely possible to invest on what's
        | called a risk curve. You can allocate some portion of
        | your savings, maybe 5-10% as a hedge. No need to go all
        | in. Maybe 0.5%. at any rate, your savings account has
        | cost you 50% or more in purchasing power for meaningful
        | assets in the past 5 years. While you've gained a great
        | deal of purchasing power if you held crypto.
 
      | idlewords wrote:
      | Oil prices didn't go negative, the price of a financial
      | derivative did.
 
        | chrisco255 wrote:
        | True, but people often just use oil as shorthand for oil
        | futures.
 
    | char8 wrote:
    | Depends on your timeframe.
    | 
    | Yes i've lost a lot of my net worth compared to last month.
    | 
    | Compared to last year, i'm up 3.5x.
    | 
    | That's one of the things i like about using Bitcoin as a
    | savings account, it makes me think more longterm about my
    | finances.
 
| rfd4sgmk8u wrote:
| I have had banks stealing my funds for years -- be it financial
| providers eating up my first 401k contributions in excessive
| fees, be it the banks that charged me $2 every time I used an
| ATM, be it the random charges unauthorized charges that the bank
| pulled from my account...
| 
| Then there is the watching all my adult life as assets grow more
| expensive and further out of reach, a debt treadmill emerges to
| ensure the continued struggle of the middle class lest they try
| to escape their position.
| 
| This is in the west. I can't imagine the shenanigans banks play
| on folks in less regulated jurisdictions. Maciej, I'm sorry that
| you refuse to get it. We need hard money to prevent the value
| loss of the time-store fruits of our labor. We need an explicit
| spend model to prevent unauthorized charges. We need a way to
| prevent the custodian of funds from helping themselves to your
| pocket. Better yet, we need a digital store of value that does
| not require a trusted third party. And we need to make sure
| special interests can't dictate who is able to spend their money.
| 
| For this, it is the most valuable thing on the planet.
 
  | skybrian wrote:
  | How are $2 ATM fees "stealing?" They provide a service, which
  | you can pay for or easily avoid by planning ahead a bit.
  | 
  | (And cryptocurrency charges even more.)
 
  | digianarchist wrote:
  | Wait until you see the fees for buying, selling and
  | transferring crypto.
 
| gfodor wrote:
| Oddly enough I'm the diametric opposite: skeptical of crypto's
| long term value up until recently (but before the last big run
| up) - I now see it is a a fundamental hedge against
| totalitarianism among other things. Westerners can fail to grasp
| the potential benefits due to the privilege of the time and place
| they were born. At least for now.
 
  | zemvpferreira wrote:
  | You do realize Maciej comes from a reasonably unprivileged time
  | and place, right?
 
| Gatsky wrote:
| I still find the moralising about cryptocurrency curious and
| difficult to understand. It always takes the tone of 'We the
| nerds should...'. Never seen it applied to any other
| (dramatically more important) issues.
 
| blast wrote:
| I recently watched this video of Macjiej making the same points
| on CNBC. Not bad for TV.
| 
| https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=igOmWeHMunw
 
| Uptrenda wrote:
| The problem I see is that everyone in tech seems to think they're
| an expert on cryptocurrencies while simultaneously being at the
| ignorant end of the Dunning-Kruger effect (and failing basic
| statistics.)
| 
| Cryptocurrency makes it easy to enhance ones own confirmation
| bias because the industry has had such a bumpy ride towards
| progress. If you want to take an overly harsh perspective about
| the technology then by all means just Google 'a list of hacks and
| scams.' You'll be entertained for days with what you find, and at
| the end of your research you will have more than enough material
| to make yourself look smart on twitter.
| 
| That's also another point. If you can talk about basic flaws in a
| technology by playing 'Dr Doom' then you can score free points
| from the audience without having to know much about the subject.
| It's an easy way to look credible because most people are
| followers on social media and won't have the time or interest to
| look more deeply.
| 
| So lets look at the claim that cryptocurrency 'has no use and
| only causes problems.' To disprove this we only need to find a
| few examples of use-cases that are very hard if not impossible to
| do under traditional finance.
| 
| 1. Trusts -- escrow -- jointly controlled accounts with arbitrary
| leverage over assets. You can't do this under the traditional
| financial system because the legal system can be used to dispute
| ownership which commonly happens when a will is attested.
| 
| 2. Confidential transactions. Anonymous money and accounts.
| Traditional finance views this as a disadvantage, whereas FinTech
| views privacy as a right.
| 
| 3. Flash loans. Flash loans are a way to finance a smart contract
| that borrows money and repays it atomically in a single
| transaction. Flash loans have radically changed capital markets
| but their power is still being understood. Potentially this is a
| new form of funding for automated companies.
| 
| 4. Price stability. It's possible to design cryptocurrencies in
| such a way that their price trends towards some function. This
| property is highly desirable when people are going to be storing
| their wealth long-term. If we can build more stable currencies we
| can protect against flash crashes and even economic depression.
| 
| 5. Smart contracts. Programmable agreements for wealth exchange
| make it possible to provide unique financial instruments that are
| engineered to be less risky than anything traditional markets can
| accomplish. This is due to increased transparency, collateral
| requirements, and protocols that help enforce fairness.
| 
| There are too many examples to list in how cryptocurrencies are
| shaking up not just finance but many other industries. To claim
| that it all amounts to fraud, gambling, and ponzi schemes just
| tells me the author has no understanding of the transformations
| taking place right in front of them. They'll probably be left
| crying 'its a scam' long after society has silently replaced most
| aging FinTech with platforms that provide enforceable safe-
| guards... because in the end it is more transparent, flexible,
| and when done right -- safer than alternatives.
 
| losvedir wrote:
| I have a question: are there any "crypto-like" currencies?
| 
| I do see value in being able to instantly exchange tokens which
| are generally liquid and convertible to local currency, with low
| fees, internationally, and in denominations that make sense to,
| e.g., tip a blogger for a post you like. The US could regulate
| the heck out of it, and the Venezuelan or Tanzanian farmer could
| use it more laissez faire.
| 
| But none of that comes from the crypto aspect and PoW and
| untrusted decentralization. It could just be a non-profit with a
| DB and a public API.
| 
| Are there any coins out there trying this?
 
  | LegitShady wrote:
  | "Come buy my non-profit's company scrip" doesn't sound as
  | appealing as "this could go waaaaay up in value, buy my
  | speculation scam"
 
| CyberRabbi wrote:
| It's hyperbole to say Bitcoin has no social benefit. It, at
| least, allows individuals to exchange payments between each other
| online without needing the consent of any private corporation or
| monopoly. Maybe it's not the most efficient way of doing it but
| decentralization has a cost. I think we are all patiently waiting
| for better alternatives.
 
  | one2three4 wrote:
  | >> without needing the consent of any private corporation or
  | monopoly
  | 
  | I'd say we all subsidize bitcoin and the likes indirectly and
  | unwillingly through the price hikes in HW directly or
  | indirectly attributed to something of dubious (to put it
  | mildly) tangible value.
 
    | scotty79 wrote:
    | Bitcoin mining on anything other than ASICs is fools errand
    | for many years now.
 
      | kelp wrote:
      | It still competes for fab space and raw materials.
 
  | someguydave wrote:
  | weekend commie nocoiners gotta upvote their hot takes
 
  | idlewords wrote:
  | Those individuals need the consent of at least two private
  | corporations (whatever entity converts spendable money to
  | Bitcoin and back on either end). Compare that to sending an
  | envelope full of dollars.
 
    | CyberRabbi wrote:
    | > Those individuals need the consent of at least two private
    | corporations
    | 
    | Not true, you can exchange Bitcoin locally with other
    | individuals. Mailing paper money or checks over postal
    | service is not comparable to making payments using Bitcoin
    | online. Especially when considering international payments.
 
| darepublic wrote:
| Yeah it's an end run around financial regulation. Run crypto run!
 
| satisfice wrote:
| It just feels weird getting financial and social advice from
| Pinboard. I thought it was just a thing to collect my links.
 
  | skrebbel wrote:
  | Pinboard is a one-man shop, he tweets all kinds of personal
  | non-business related things on his twitter account.
 
  | idlewords wrote:
  | Content marketing, bro
 
| draw_down wrote:
| Without getting into the specific issue of Bitcoin, I'm
| absolutely uninterested in calls to "speak out about" something
| because I work with computers. No.
| 
| We do not share a politics because we both know python or
| whatever. Leave me alone.
 
| sleeper_service wrote:
| Cryptocurrency is like some sort of economic viral weapon.
| 
| It presents itself as a techno-utopian vision of freedom, takes
| advantage of greed to replicate itself throughout the financial
| system, and mutates to use as much energy and as many resources
| as possible.
| 
| If it were designed for that purpose, it would be the most
| cynical indictment of capitalism conceived.
 
| tomgp wrote:
| for me the key tweet here is:
| 
| > The two things people need to know about cryptocurrency are
| completely non-technical:
| 
| > 1. If it doesn't work, it's just an easy to lose casino chip
| 
| >2. If it works, it creates an end run around all financial
| regulation, and will be dominated by uses those regulations try
| to stop
| 
| (edited for formatting)
 
  | dehrmann wrote:
  | The thing people also overlook on point 2 is that if
  | cryptocurrencies and blockchain tech take over the traditional
  | financial system, that doesn't mean bitcoin, or even etherium,
  | did. In no way is bitcoin a bet on blockchain tech; people just
  | tell themselves that story because it feels better than
  | gambling on crypto trading cards. Nothing wrong with gambling
  | on them, either; just don't say you're "investing."
 
| fleddr wrote:
| I could waste a huge amount of time refuting the author's points,
| but will make it more of a meta comment.
| 
| Crypto is vast, complex, and inherently not suitable for binary
| thinking. I've studied the space for months and have come to the
| conclusion that crypto is two-sided in almost every aspect.
| 
| Many/most coins are speculative, which you can associate with
| words like "greed" and "casino". Yet also provide wealth
| savings/growth to people locked out of it in our traditional
| system.
| 
| NFTs are a cruel joke right now, yet ridiculous as they are, may
| be a precursor to various groundbreaking uses having real
| utility, in an exponential way.
| 
| Smart contracts are largely dysfunctional, yet there's early
| success in replacing financial products like staking, lending,
| leverage. When it works, it's permission-less, which has
| interesting social benefits (access not defined by your
| identity/social class).
| 
| And so on.
| 
| I'm not here to debate any of these points, my only point is to
| not dismiss crypto as a whole (binary thinking) and to not
| underestimate it. The topic is too complex for it.
 
  | cbzbc wrote:
  | > Crypto is vast, complex, and inherently not suitable for
  | binary thinking. I've studied the space for months and have
  | come to the conclusion that crypto is two-sided in almost every
  | aspect
  | 
  | Is this a bit?
 
  | lifty wrote:
  | This is the most reasonable comment in this whole thread. It's
  | good to acknowledge the current mania and the type of unethical
  | behavior it attracts, but it would be intellectually lazy to
  | dismiss the whole field.
 
  | Popegaf wrote:
  | The link is to a twitter (aka the cesspool of the internet). I
  | do not expect anything non-binary to come out of there.
  | 
  | The most sensationalist tweets get posted here all the time.
  | It's not worth anybody's time taking them seriously.
 
  | msoad wrote:
  | Crypto == Cryptography over here. Just FYI
 
    | ertian wrote:
    | Huh? Not in the original article, or in OPs reply, unless I'm
    | seriously misunderstanding him. He's talking about the
    | pros/cons of cryptocurrency.
 
      | shkkmo wrote:
      | The twitter thread mostly uses the full term
      | "cryptocurrency", which is not ambigous. Using the term
      | "crypto" to refer to cryptocurrency is amigous and
      | misleading.
 
        | itisit wrote:
        | > Using the term "crypto" to refer to cryptocurrency is
        | amigous and misleading.
        | 
        | To whom? "Crypto" is _the_ colloquial shorthand for
        | "cryptocurrency". And I believe those thinking otherwise
        | are reacting to the new usage encroaching on the old.
        | Petty hill to die on...
 
| davesque wrote:
| What an original and thoughtful take on a topic that really
| hasn't gotten enough attention on HN up until now.
 
  | friedman23 wrote:
  | Would love to get a real time look at the dopamine rush the
  | author got when writing this long winded diatribe. I can smell
  | the self righteousness through my speakers.
 
| blintz wrote:
| I think this actually overstates the value of cryptocurrencies.
| The value of say, Bitcoin, isn't even connected to its value as a
| method of money laundering or extortion through ransomware.
| However morally objectionable these are, they do have economic
| value - it's just that value is not connected to the price of any
| cryptocurrency.
| 
| Rather, the whole thing is an extended, worldwide pump-and-dump;
| speculation is driving all movement.
| 
| To me, it's really sad, because Bitcoin (and some of its
| descendants) are intellectually fascinating. With simple building
| blocks that had been around for decades (hashing + public keys)
| someone made something profoundly new. It's in some ways
| inspiring, since it makes me feel there must be so much more out
| there to discover and build. It's also sad, because it shows how
| things you build can 'grow up' and become a little
| unrecognizable.
 
  | DSingularity wrote:
  | It's the combination of strong network effects and artificial
  | scarcity driving the price action. You buy Bitcoin cause
  | something about it really resonated with you. Price goes up and
  | you feel validated. You go and naturally -- out of benevolent
  | intentions -- tell your closes people so they don't miss out.
  | 
  | The mistake of cryptocurrency is discounting the potential for
  | price manipulation. Earl adopters understood cornered these
  | markets immediately. Now we are in never ending cycles of hype,
  | markup, dump, accumulate, hype, markup, distribute, and
  | accumulate over years. These cycles are continuously producing
  | winners and losers and the losers are generally those who have
  | more to lose and are thus enable to withstand the intense
  | pressure of bear markets.
  | 
  | I love Bitcoin and Ethereum and all the potential freedom that
  | they represent. At the same time - enough. These markets need
  | regulation. We need to know who owns these coins. We need to
  | see their selling patterns so we can see their manipulation.
  | 
  | Unfortunately, the cynic in me knows that too many people are
  | making too much money and are probably going to block
  | regulation for a very long time.
 
    | shkkmo wrote:
    | > These cycles are continuously producing winners and losers
    | and the losers are generally those who have more to lose and
    | are thus enable to withstand the intense pressure of bear
    | markets.
    | 
    | This is the opposite of what I think is true so I'd love to
    | see a citation for this claim.
 
  | xpe wrote:
  | > The value of say, Bitcoin, isn't even connected to its value
  | as a method of money laundering or extortion through
  | ransomware.
  | 
  | No. Money launderers and extorters drive demand for
  | cryptocurrencies. This affects its price.
  | 
  | See: https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/gadgets-and-
  | tech/ne...
 
| nathias wrote:
| I'm so happy we have these enlightened people that can intuit the
| truth we, the delusional can not.
 
| mapgrep wrote:
| It's "not decentralized" and also it's used to move "billions in
| crime money around."
| 
| Hmm.
| 
| It's a fraudulent "con" and also very dangerous because it
| subverts regulations.
| 
| Hmm.
| 
| Seems pretty contradictory, no?
| 
| You can either criticize bitcoin for not working or for working
| too well but Maciej seems to be trying to do both at once.
| 
| I'm not a Bitcoin user or particularly a fan but these self
| contradicting attack lines don't seem likely to be politically
| effective. Just choose one. I'd go with "mostly used for crime."
| And then add "environmentally ruinous" for good measure.
 
  | ketzo wrote:
  | What makes you think that criminals are not capable of
  | centralization?
 
| [deleted]
 
| [deleted]
 
| mike-the-mikado wrote:
| As a thought experiment, I imagined a Government/Central bank
| auctioning (for $) bitcoin denominated bonds. These bonds would
| be repayable (in bitcoin) on demand.
| 
| Presumably each bond would fetch a value (in $) corresponding
| approximately to the current exchange rate. While the bond holder
| could cash them in at any point, why would they? Wouldn't many
| investors consider a bond backed by a major government at least
| as secure as a crypto coin?
| 
| In this way, the government could effectively increase the supply
| of bitcoins (and presumably thereby reduce their cost/value).
| 
| Of course, the Government runs the risk of bitcoin appreciating
| and then having all the bond holders cashing in, but with
| exceptionally deep pockets the only real reason to cash in would
| be if they feared a Government default.
| 
| By selling enough bonds, presumably the price could be driven
| arbitrarily low, extinguishing the risk entirely.
 
| Geee wrote:
| The author clearly doesn't understand Bitcoin at all and Bitcoin
| has been already discussed for ten years by everyone in the tech
| world. His opinion is his own, not 'us in the tech world'.
 
  | xpe wrote:
  | > The author clearly doesn't understand Bitcoin at all
  | 
  | Putting aside softer claims, writing "at all" is an
  | exaggeration. Would you care to moderate your opinion or at
  | least elaborate? Please point out area(s) where you think the
  | author is mistaken?
 
    | Geee wrote:
    | His claims are false.
    | 
    | Bitcoin has more social benefit than any other technology.
    | Money is technology that runs our society by allowing us to
    | trade our time between each other. Sound money that can't be
    | diluted or stolen away by a few benefits everyone. It's not
    | only more fair money, but it also allows perfectly efficient
    | markets and saves the environment by not incentivizing
    | overconsuming.
    | 
    | Bitcoin is not used for money laundering, gambling, vaporware
    | etc. and is not particularly well suited for those. His
    | claims are not based on actual data.
    | 
    | Bitcoin is decentralized. Bitcoin nodes which protect the
    | monetary policy are run by users. It's not possible for
    | anyone to weaken the currency by forcing users to run a
    | weaker version of the software.
    | 
    | Bitcoin actually solves the problem of central bank
    | monopolies. It is money, it is a currency, it is a store of
    | value. His claims are simply false.
    | 
    | He just doesn't understand that it takes time for Bitcoin to
    | stabilize at a certain value. It takes time for people to
    | switch to a better money.
 
  | lreeves wrote:
  | One of the most tiring retorts is that if someone is negative
  | about cryptocurrency then that means they don't understand
  | cryptocurrency. I assure you many of us do understand it and
  | still think it's an absolute scam and pure wealth distribution
  | from the naive, to the slightly less naive, to the scammers.
 
| tzumby wrote:
| What is surprising is how large the number of techies who don't
| get this. It's not about crypto currencies as much as it is about
| the game theory that allows it to run a distributed self
| replicating state machine that is Byzantine tolerant - this is
| the true innovation
 
  | [deleted]
 
  | qualudeheart wrote:
  | Right. The hilarious volatility and scams are imo much less
  | interesting than this.
 
  | xpe wrote:
  | Your comment is unclear.
  | 
  | > What is surprising is how large the number of techies who
  | don't get this.
  | 
  | What do you mean by "this"? Do you mean all of the points made
  | by the author in the tweets?
  | 
  | Or do you mean "the following" instead of "this", referring to
  | what you think is most innovative about Bitcoin?
 
    | tzumby wrote:
    | this = blockchain + proof of work / proof of stake , in my
    | comment. The crypto currencies are a requirement to fulfill
    | the Byzantine tolerance. They need to have value in order for
    | the incentives to make sense
 
    | Graffur wrote:
    | I've been asking for similar clarification on other comments.
    | I think this whole thread has become useless.
 
    | tzumby wrote:
    | If you don't believe that there is value in a distributed
    | self replicating Byzantine tolerant state machine, that's
    | fair, everybody is entitled to their opinion.
 
      | yannoninator wrote:
      | what? english please?
      | 
      | edit: why the flagging? do I seriously need to go get a PhD
      | from MIT to understand this and why this is important?
 
        | dang wrote:
        | If you genuinely want to understand something, you need
        | to ask about it in a way that expresses that intent. A
        | snarky putdown in the form of a question does the
        | opposite.
        | 
        | https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=false
        | &so...
 
| beaner wrote:
| This doesn't read as a particularly intelligent thread. There are
| no interesting insights here, at least not anything that's new
| and hasn't already been debated/debunked/pushed back on, before.
| 
| Seems like one of those tweetstorms where people perceive it to
| be saying something worthwhile because it's long and is said with
| adamancy.
 
| amingilani wrote:
| > Cryptocurrency is sustained by a mix of money laundering,
| vaporware, fraud, ransomware, gambling, and delusion. It has no
| social benefit except helping end first dates fast
| 
| > What we especially need to stress to regulators is that there's
| no relationship between the technical claims of cryptocurrency
| and our now over 13 years of experience. It's not decentralized,
| it's not a currency, it's not a store of value, and it's not a
| promising technology
| 
| > Cryptocurrency solves no problems that it didn't first create,
| and most of those it doesn't solve. Smart contracts are neither
| of those things--at worst they're an API for fraud, or as @qrs
| put it, self-funding bug bounties at best
| 
| Those are a lot of hasty statements made without indisputable
| evidence.
| 
| Edit: I'll take any evidence if indisputable evidence is too high
| a bar.
 
  | icelancer wrote:
  | Ironically enough the Pinboard account is engaging in the same
  | nonsense and rhetoric it accuses cryptocurrency supporters of,
  | hoping no one will notice.
 
  | dev_tty01 wrote:
  | Where is the "indisputable evidence" to dispute the claims of
  | the article?
 
    | amingilani wrote:
    | You mean the thread? The onus is on them to prove their
    | claims. See burden of proof:
    | https://yourlogicalfallacyis.com/burden-of-proof
 
  | sedatk wrote:
  | > Those are a lot of hasty statements made without indisputable
  | evidence.
  | 
  | That reminds me of that guy who didn't receive his package and
  | filed a complaint to the store he bought it from. They asked
  | for a proof that the package didn't arrive, and he replied with
  | the photo of his empty hands.
 
| Bayart wrote:
| People keep being blindsided by the _financial_ aspects of the
| space, whether it is those who love it or those who hate it. It
| just rings off-beat and it 's frankly a bit vacuous.
 
| vimy wrote:
| Written from the perspective of someone in a first world country.
| Edit: https://www.statista.com/chart/18345/crypto-currency-
| adoptio...
 
  | hilbertseries wrote:
  | What's the advantage of cryptocurrency over mpesa?
 
    | kemonocode wrote:
    | I can use cryptocurrencies from anywhere in the world, I
    | can't use M-Pesa unless I'm in one of the few countries it
    | operates, and even then I'd be at Vodafone's whims. Truly it
    | may serve similar needs (money for the under/unbanked) but
    | the scope is not nearly the same.
 
      | idlewords wrote:
      | How do you move cryptocurrency back and forth to local
      | currency you can spend?
 
        | kemonocode wrote:
        | LocalBitcoins works just fine for me.
 
    | c01n wrote:
    | - Decentralized (Not controlled by a single company)
    | 
    | - Phone number not required
    | 
    | - Crypto-coins work in more countries countries then mpesa
 
    | dredmorbius wrote:
    | For the unclear: M-Pesa.
    | 
    | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/M-Pesa
 
    | vimy wrote:
    | It's worldwide.
 
      | dredmorbius wrote:
      | What fraction of all commerce is worldwide as opposed to
      | local?
      | 
      | What degree of that difference, if any, is a consequence of
      | payment frictions rather than other factors (say: most
      | activity and interactions are local).
      | 
      | What preferences are exhibited by major international
      | buyers and sellers for payment or credit systems?
 
        | friedman23 wrote:
        | Why don't you go answer these questions yourself? All you
        | are doing is stifling discussion.
 
        | dredmorbius wrote:
        | Asking questions is stifling conversation?
        | 
        | And making blind assertions and veiled insults is not?
        | 
        | The claim was made. Its relevance should be determinable.
        | 
        | That aside:
        | 
        | - Gravity model of trade.
        | 
        | - "Research: How Far Will Consumers Travel to Make
        | Routine Purchases?"
        | https://blog.accessdevelopment.com/research-how-far-will-
        | con...
 
        | yannoninator wrote:
        | These questions have no effect on crypto's adoption,
        | perhaps these questions are an exercise to the reader.
 
        | dredmorbius wrote:
        | If the questions have no effect on crypto's adoption, why
        | should the claim that "crypto is worldwide" have any
        | relevance?
        | 
        | If it _does_ have relevance, then the questions do in
        | fact matter.
 
    | crocodiletears wrote:
    | Not (necessarily) centrally managed by a large corporation.
 
  | yannoninator wrote:
  | this.
  | 
  | The tone deaf tech elite have done it again and thought that
  | the US is the entire world.
  | 
  | Please leave your americentrism at the door.
  | 
  | edit: flagged for the truth now? pathetic.
 
| synesso wrote:
| The Bitcoin whitepaper brought together a few existing
| technologies into something that had never before existed in the
| world - decentralised digital scarcity. This lead to a Cambrian
| explosion of new developments, most of which are pyramid schemes.
| But at its core, the invention is world-changing.
 
| cryptica wrote:
| I'm OK to ban crypto if we also ban all big tech corporations
| because they're all part of the same fiat pyramid scheme. Why
| don't we just end capitalism and switch to communism... Then at
| least we will be able to communicate honestly about what's going
| on in the economy.
| 
| To say that one scheme is a scam but the other is not is
| extremely subjective.
| 
| A corporation like Facebook probably does more harm to society
| than Bitcoin. Why ban Bitcoin but not ban Facebook? Why not ban
| Snapchat or Twitter? Ban Uber, they burn a lot of fossil fuels!
| This kind of thinking necessarily leads to communism. You can't
| ban crypto and keep capitalism... What's left of it.
 
| john_alan wrote:
| Hacker news is holistically anti cryptocurrency. Which
| disappoints me.
| 
| It has virtues.
| 
| As someone who works in applied Cryptography and has also worked
| for the European Central Bank, we need "crypto".
| 
| 1) seigniorage is an abused privilege. Source: US debt ceiling at
| 27TRN.
| 
| 2) permissionless money has value, I cannot send more than 5k a
| day using my bank. I can send any amount using crypto. I also
| don't need two utility bills and an address to open an "account"
| 
| 3) it's censorship resistant. Govt's can't just stop payments or
| shutdown the network.
| 
| Use Monero.
| 
| EDIT: downvoted again. I'm not contributing here anymore.
 
  | ahallock wrote:
  | You're not wrong, and you have some good points here,
  | especially about the banking limits. I'm not sure where the
  | cynicism comes from, but HN seems very hostile to this space.
 
  | xpe wrote:
  | > Hacker news is holistically anti cryptocurrency.
  | 
  | First, your use of "holistically" doesn't make sense to me.
  | 
  | > ho*lis*ti*cal*ly | ,ho'listik(@)le/ | > adverb
  | 
  | > mainly Philosophy in a way that is characterized by
  | comprehension of the parts of something as intimately
  | interconnected and explicable only by reference to the whole:
  | the damage caused by unethical behavior needs to be examined
  | holistically.
  | 
  | > * Medicine in a way that treats the whole person, taking into
  | account mental and social factors, rather than just the
  | symptoms of a disease: he has been treated holistically for a
  | heart murmur.
  | 
  | Second, are you characterizing the people on HN as being mostly
  | or completely against cryptocurrency? This sounds like
  | anecdotage. Remember, not everyone with an opinion broadcasts
  | it.
 
    | pwillia7 wrote:
    | Thanks -- I have used that word wrong too. I guess 'entirely'
    | or 'completely' would be better
 
  | Geee wrote:
  | Yeah. I think these HN threads are either manipulated, or HN is
  | full of idiots. Not sure which is more likely.
  | 
  | Cryptocurrency is maybe the most important innovation is human
  | history.
 
    | xpe wrote:
    | > Yeah. I think these HN threads are either manipulated, or
    | HN is full of idiots. Not sure which is more likely.
    | 
    | Or perhaps neither.
    | 
    | Some other simple explanations include:
    | 
    | 1. People see it differently than you do.
    | 
    | 2. People are not engaging in conversation as a way to learn
    | from each other; rather they are talking past each other.
    | 
    | I'm inclined to think it is a mix of both.
    | 
    | Like I mentioned in a comment nearby, people on HN seem to
    | vote based on different criteria. The lack of clarity can
    | make it hard to extract clear meaning from votes.
 
    | EliRivers wrote:
    | _Cryptocurrency is maybe the most important innovation is
    | human history_
    | 
    | Electricity? The wheel? Money? Sulfa drugs? Spoken language?
    | Counting? Agriculture? Written language? There's a long, long
    | list and to put cryptocurrency on it seems awfully hubristic.
 
      | Geee wrote:
      | Money that can't be monopolized is more important than
      | those. The whole human history is about money and how
      | someone monopolized it and started extracting value from
      | it, to get more powerful, to fund wars and destruction.
      | Bitcoin can't be monopolized and enables humanity to rise
      | on a completely new level.
 
  | cinntaile wrote:
  | Crypto is a touchy subject, right up there with religion and
  | politics. I wouldn't worry too much about the downvotes.
 
  | xpe wrote:
  | > EDIT: downvoted again. I'm not contributing here anymore.
  | 
  | Have you reviewed the HN Guidelines at
  | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html ?
  | 
  | > Please don't comment about the voting on comments. It never
  | does any good, and it makes boring reading.
  | 
  | I'll offer my two cents in case it gives another perspective
  | you haven't considered. The meaning of voting on HN is far from
  | obvious. Various people downvote for different reasons.
  | 
  | Maybe they are unimpressed by your comment, maybe they disagree
  | with it, maybe they think it is inappropriate somehow, maybe
  | they don't like that you plugged a particular cryptocurrency,
  | or something else.
  | 
  | In any case, I recommend not worry about the votes, up or down.
  | At times, it can be helpful to see if what you are writing is
  | perceived as useful, if you can take the feedback in that
  | manner without taking it personally.
 
    | neonological wrote:
    | I hate this voting thing. People are quick to judge and It
    | leaves no room for respectful disagreement and drives people
    | away.
    | 
    | How do I tell someone that I value his input even though I
    | respectfully disagree? It's pretty much impossible on HN
    | without writing a post.
 
    | Graffur wrote:
    | xpe, have _you_ reviewed the HN Guidelines at
    | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html?
    | 
    | > Please don't comment about the voting on comments. It never
    | does any good, and it makes boring reading.
 
      | xpe wrote:
      | Graffur, yes, I've read them. But I'd bet you know that; I
      | think probably you are making another point. I'll write it
      | out, and you can tell me if you agree. You are pointing out
      | an inconsistency in what I wrote: you think it is unfair of
      | me to suggest that someone else read the guidelines while
      | at the same time not following them.
      | 
      | Am I accurately stating your concern?
 
  | sp332 wrote:
  | That limit sounds low, e.g. Chase Bank allows wire transfers
  | out of $100,000 per day for individuals.
 
    | MrMan wrote:
    | I have sent large amounts all over the place. As for
    | pretending to be anonymous and outside of society, I have no
    | use for that. The issue of crypto currency, besides the
    | resource impact, is the evil that comes from trying to
    | destroy democratic government.
 
  | hilbertseries wrote:
  | > it's censorship resistant. Govt's can't just stop payments or
  | shutdown the network.
  | 
  | If they have a firewall, they could block the majority of
  | exchanges, wallet apps, and even ips of some of the largest
  | mining groups.
 
| aex wrote:
| The tweet storm doesn't even have arguments to refute.
 
| achenatx wrote:
| people are using crypto to bypass country based currency
| controls. The original big bump I think was related to chinese
| getting their money out of china.
 
| coliveira wrote:
| This is not even touching the fact that bitcoin and similar
| currencies are a danger for the environment. They spend huge
| amounts of energy that are helping destroy the planet. The longer
| this scam goes on, the more damage will happen to the world.
 
  | yannoninator wrote:
  | so what are going to do about this?
 
| ceilingcorner wrote:
| I don't understand the constant criticism crypto gets. It isn't
| the sort of thing that can be stopped at this point.
| 
| If you don't like it, support better alternatives or create your
| own. That's really the only solution here.
| 
| I don't say this to be sarcastic. The train has already left the
| station.
 
  | dang wrote:
  | Please make your substantive points without name-calling.
  | 
  | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
 
    | ceilingcorner wrote:
    | Edited
 
  | sp332 wrote:
  | Just because something is growing doesn't mean it's above
  | criticism, or regulation.
 
    | ceilingcorner wrote:
    | But this link isn't criticism. It's a quasi-religious two
    | minutes hate, as every single topic on crypto inevitably
    | turns into.
    | 
    | I guess it's just a reaction to the constant hype being
    | pushed by the crypto world. As a mostly neutral observer, I
    | really don't get it.
    | 
    | Regardless, this isn't the point I was making. Crypto cannot
    | be stopped. At best, you'll have regulations against PoW
    | mining.
 
| paulgdp wrote:
| Does someone knows why this tweet was previously flagged on HN?
| 
| see: https://twitter.com/Pinboard/status/1399094306221166592
 
  | greyface- wrote:
  | The screenshot is of
  | , which is a
  | duplicate of this thread.
  | 
  | This thread was previously [flagged] [dead], but is now back to
  | normal. I assume via moderator action?
 
    | dang wrote:
    | Yes, but I missed that it was being flagged because it was a
    | dupe. Merging the threads now. Thanks!
 
      | idlewords wrote:
      | Appreciate the unflagging. Sending 0.2 BTC now as agreed
 
  | beaner wrote:
  | Probably because it mostly contains rehashed opinion and
  | conjecture and almost nothing of substance.
  | 
  | I don't know why people would bother flagging something like
  | this though, threads as content-less generally die on their own
  | without much fanfare. OP and his friends get an ego boost from
  | making front page and then it fades. NBD, no need to be
  | contentious about it.
 
| mudlus wrote:
| Here's how you defeat Bitcoin: code a client that a majority of
| the network uses that changes the consensus protocol to what you
| think is a good idea.
| 
| If you don't want to do that, and you want to wax poetic about
| shitcoins being evil, ffs, please keep in in the drafts, salty
| nocoiner. Especially during a bull cycle where people who already
| don't trust "tech nerds" are going to read this and want to buy
| the shittiest of shitcoins.
 
| dadoge wrote:
| Bitcoin is giving people in hyperinflation environments like
| Nigeria, Argentina, Turkey an out to their oppressive and corrupt
| govt banking system.
| 
| If one looks at gold and asks themselves "why is gold worth 11
| trillion dollars today?" How did it, over centuries and centuries
| obtain such a status?
| 
| Bitcoin has better properties than gold does. It's more scarce,
| scarcity means predictability, and predictability gives rise to
| trust.
| 
| You don't have to be a hardcore libertarian- I'm sure not- to
| appreciate a better version of gold, and what benefits that can
| have.
| 
| Also - the USD is used more for malicious purposes, paper money
| is actually harder to track than Bitcoin transactions.
 
  | chx wrote:
  | > predictability
  | 
  | have you reviewed what you are writing or is it just a Markov
  | chain generating text?
 
    | ChrisClark wrote:
    | Just because you don't understand the sentence, doesn't mean
    | you have to insult the guy. Other replies have explained it
    | for you.
 
    | greyface- wrote:
    | I took this to mean that bitcoin's issuance rate is more
    | predictable than the rate that physical gold is discovered
    | and mined at. There are unknown unmined gold deposits out
    | there, both on-planet and off-planet. There are no unknown
    | unmined bitcoin deposits.
    | 
    | Also,
    | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html#comments
 
    | dadoge wrote:
    | Generation of new coins is transparent, the total number of
    | coins capped.
    | 
    | That's predictability. Name one other asset on earth that is
    | easily transferable and more predictable in that sense?
 
  | tinyhouse wrote:
  | Yeah sure, every time there's a crisis bitcoin loses 50% of its
  | value. That's indeed such a great protection from inflation...
 
    | dadoge wrote:
    | 50% dip is a hell of a lot better than 40% inflation each
    | year in Argentina year over year.
    | 
    | In Venezuela is disgusting, over 1,000% inflation each year.
 
  | ArkanExplorer wrote:
  | Bitcoin is giving people in Turkey an opportunity to be scammed
  | $2billion: https://www.afr.com/markets/currencies/trader-flees-
  | turkey-w...
  | 
  | From my experience living in a 2nd world country, the people
  | involved with buying Cryptocurrencies are typically young males
  | working in IT, who proceed to waste their time, money and
  | energy.
 
  | dadoge wrote:
  | Haters in this thread, do you think you know more about
  | monetary assets than Ray Dalio:
  | https://www.google.com/amp/s/fortune.com/2021/05/24/bitcoin-...
  | 
  | And Carl Icahn:
  | https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2021...
 
  | dadoge wrote:
  | Or the CSO of the Human Rights Org?
  | https://www.google.com/amp/s/bitcoinmagazine.com/.amp/cultur...
 
| timdaub wrote:
| flagged
 
| ChrisClark wrote:
| I don't understand how tech people can't be excited about
| decentralized programmable money. Bitcoin, maybe, it's so
| limited, but the sky's the limit on programmable money on
| Ethereum and chains like it.
 
| zx2391 wrote:
| I read a Blockchain book from O'Reilly in 2015, when it came out
| and it left me with the distinct impression that this
| "technology" is vaporous. It could do anything, yet, almost no
| examples to try out, let alone real-world successes.
| 
| Over time I witnessed many "new" things, and the ones which stick
| typically have a specific aura to them, like a 10x
| simplification, or speedup or reduction in "noise". These things
| are really rare; most things are incremental and that's good,
| too.
| 
| Blockchain did not seemed to have any of that.
| 
| PS. Merkle trees are super interesting and I use them daily (in
| git) - so all the tech ideas are certainly worth considering,
| it's just that they are not fit for the advertised purpose plus
| it has gotten an enormous drag on resources, for nothing.
| 
| PPS. I typically have an "tech instinct" to see new things, but I
| currently cannot really see anything that looks like a major tech
| shifts from the past. ML is incremental and despite its grande
| successes is mostly applied by the surveillance industry, which
| makes it much less attractive. Cloud seems much more profound and
| the whole apification of the world transformation - although I do
| not like the centralization, even if it is more economical. In
| general, the real revolutionary tool or technology does not need
| to sell itself, it is picked up by the weird and intelligent
| first, then trickles down to the masses (also: tech can be great
| w/o mainstream adoption, too - it just not a revolution then).
| 
| PPPS: Wild speculation: With 5G, everyone with a phone could host
| their business directly on their device, instead on other peoples
| servers. When phones hit a TB in storage, you can run your socnet
| with your friends - and you probably will, because mainstream
| money will have moved to something much more immersive,
| addictive, profitable like glasses, vr, ar.
 
  | dadoge wrote:
  | Tell that to people in Nigeria, Venezuela and Argentina that
  | have no control over their money.
  | 
  | In Venezuela there is absolutely absurd inflation number there:
  | like over 1,000%.
  | 
  | Argentina it's over 30% each year for several years.
  | 
  | Bitcoin is a tool against oppressive governments
 
    | zx2391 wrote:
    | True, and people can use it today, that's for sure.
 
    | rossjudson wrote:
    | Sure, fantastic. Why should it be legal to exchange bitcoin
    | for US$? Or euros?
 
      | qualudeheart wrote:
      | That sounds like a burden of proof shift. Why should that
      | be illegal in the first place?
 
    | hervature wrote:
    | You should actually talk to people from those countries. The
    | minority of them are doing anything substantial in crypto.
    | Only those fortunate enough to transact with a foreign
    | entity. The others use the much more robust system of
    | bartering.
 
      | jedberg wrote:
      | Or just using black market USD or EUR.
 
  | qualudeheart wrote:
  | Do you happen to have a source on the ML claim? I`d be
  | interested in reading more about that issue.
 
| sombremesa wrote:
| I don't really give a crap about any crypto, and I agree that
| much of it is a pyramid scheme.
| 
| However, I think people don't understand that Bitcoin is first
| and foremost a brand. A brand doesn't have to be "useful" to have
| value, it just has to be recognizable to enough people. A lot of
| altcoins have appeared, but not a single one of them has the
| brand strength of Bitcoin - not even the "tech fave" ethereum.
| 
| On the flip side, one doesn't have to participate in any kind of
| crypto, including Bitcoin, to leverage the brand - since the
| brand doesn't rest on the value of the currency itself.
 
| [deleted]
 
| kgraves wrote:
| Absolutely, I have seriously thought long and hard about
| cryptocurrencies and have also come to the conclusion that it is
| a definitive scam.
| 
| Now is the time we must shut it down. Bitcoin, Ethereum, all of
| it.
| 
| Even ponzi schemes have it's limits and this one has been reached
| and been illegally allowed to run rampant.
| 
| It was nice when it started, not while it lasted. It didn't work
| and now it's time for it to go.
 
  | loveistheanswer wrote:
  | In what ways is the technology itself, rather than how it may
  | often be used, a scam?
 
  | qualudeheart wrote:
  | What are your arguments for this proposition?
  | 
  | How are Bitcoin and Ethereum ponzi schemes?
 
| brianolson wrote:
| Bitcoin is terrible technology and stupidly wasteful, but there
| are new blockchain networks coming along that are about a million
| times more efficient, so use those instead.
 
  | yaa_minu wrote:
  | How's bitcoin stupidly wasteful?
 
    | kzrdude wrote:
    | It's a race towards spending ever greater amounts of energy
    | to mine blocks.
 
  | crummy wrote:
  | How does that affect the whole ransomware, regulation etc side
  | of things?
 
| DennisP wrote:
| I don't see any _technical_ criticisms in the thread, which means
| "us in the tech world" is just an appeal to meaningless
| authority.
| 
| It's also a bogus attempt to imply a broad consensus where there
| is none. As someone in tech myself, my personal opinion is that
| most of the twitter thread is nonsense.
 
| bo1024 wrote:
| I don't agree with this. It's fine to have an opinion, but I
| don't think it should be represented as a consensus when it's
| not.
| 
| (edited to add) There is an important difference between having
| downsides and being a scam. Downsides of the U.S. dollar or
| "petrodollar" system include global warming, international wars,
| and regulatory capture. The U.S. financial system has all the
| kinds of fraud, blackmail, and crime mentioned here and more.
| Doesn't mean the dollar is a scam.
 
| lefrenchy wrote:
| One thing that I find so confusing in the crypto maximalist
| sphere is the obsession with decentralization of everything but
| also with mainstream adoption.
| 
| Coinbase is centralization, bank adoption is centralization,
| etc...
| 
| Also if "fear of regulation" causes massive sell-offs, doesn't it
| totally fail at being the "anti-government" centralized currency?
| 
| I'm also just not convinced total decentralization is good? I
| mean sure markets are a decentralized way of pricing things and
| allow distributed decision making blah blah blah, but they have
| limits. I feel like far too many people are drawn in by the
| answer to the wrong question "what does crypto solve?" Instead of
| the more interesting one "what problems does it create"
 
  | sneak wrote:
  | Cryptocurrencies love discussing their decentralization plans
  | in their Telegram and Discord chats, deploying on AWS/GCE.
 
  | seibelj wrote:
  | Decentralization is a spectrum. Bitcoin cannot be shutdown
  | because it is decentralized. There can be centralized actors
  | within a decentralized system. The major benefit is you can
  | choose between various service providers and switch when you
  | please. With government monopolies you use their service at
  | gunpoint.
 
| jdally987 wrote:
| Wow. Seriously?
| 
| There are some good arguments against it but this is still
| elementary-level crypto-bashing. I'll just leave this here
| 
| https://twitter.com/PeterDiamandis/status/139837433261162906...
 
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