Hacking  the  citizenry? 

Personality  profiling,  ‘big  data’  and  the  election  of  Donald  Trump 


Roberto  J.  Gonzalez 

Roberto  J.  Gonzalez  is 
chair  of  the  anthropology 
department  at  San  Jose  State 
University.  He  specializes 
in  science,  technology,  and 
society;  environmental 
anthropology;  militarism  and 
culture;  and  anthropological 
ethics.  His  email  is  roberto. 
gonzalez@sjsu.  edu. 


Fig.  1.  Virtual  reality 
intetfaces  are  likely  to  make 
even  larger  amounts  of 
data  available  within  Homo 
sapiens  ’  virtual  lives. 


I  am  grateful  to  David 
Price,  Jay  Ou,  Jeffrey  Greger, 
Adam  Rodriguez  and  two 
anonymous  reviewers  for  their 
suggestions  and  comments  on 
earlier  draffs  of  this  article. 


1.  See  McLeod  (1999:  360). 

2.  See  Anderson  &  Horvath 
(2017);  Foster  (2016); 
Grassegger  &  Krogerus 
(2017). 

3  Despite  the  rhetoric  of 
many  US  politicians,  in  recent 
years  most  manufacturing 
jobs  that  have  disappeared 
were  eliminated  as  the 
result  of  automation,  not 
offshoring.  See  for  example 
Brynjolfsson  &  McAfee 
(2016)  and  The  Economist 
(2016).  Automation  was  also 
introduced  to  weaken  labour 
unions. 

4.  See  Vogel  &  Parti  (2015). 

5.  Cambridge  Analytica 
may  have  provided  support  to 
the  UK.  Brexit  campaign.  See 
Cadwalladr  (2017a);  Doward 
&  Gibbs  (2017). 

6.  See  Blakely  (2016). 

7.  Two  months  into  his 
presidency,  Trump  further 
repealed  US  privacy 
regulations,  allowing  Internet 
service  providers  such  as 
Comcast,  Verizon  and  AT&T 
to  also  sell  user  data. 

8.  ‘Five-factor’ traits 
were  first  proposed  in 
the  early  1960s  (Tupes  & 
Christal  1961),  but  weren’t 
popularized  in  social 
psychology  until  the  1980s 
(see  for  example  Goldberg 
1981;  McCrae  &  Costa  1983). 


After  Eisenhower,  you  couldn’t  win  an  election  without  radio. 
After  JFK,  you  couldn’t  win  an  election  without  television. 
After  Obama,  you  couldn’t  win  an  election  without  social  net¬ 
working.  I  predict  that  in  20 12,  you  won’t  be  able  to  win  an  elec¬ 
tion  without  big  data.  (Alistair  Croll,  founder  of  Bitcurrent). 

Thirty  years  ago,  anthropologist  David  Kertzer  (1987: 
108)  noted  that  ‘the  greatest  political  sociodrama  and  the 
most  elaborate  competitive  use  of  ritual  in  American  poli¬ 
tics  come  each  four  years  with  the  campaign  for  the  presi¬ 
dency’.  These  sociodramas  have  relied  upon  ‘symbolic 
manipulation  by  design,  playing  on  deeply  held  beliefs 
in  the  electorate’,1  and  the  methods  of  manipulation  have 
grown  increasingly  complex  (Hersh  2015). 

This  article  examines  claims  that  a  small  political  con¬ 
sulting  firm,  Cambridge  Analytica,  played  a  pivotal  role  in 
Donald  Trump’s  victory  by  formulating  new  algorithmic 
techniques  to  influence  the  electorate  during  the  final 
months  of  the  2016  US  presidential  campaign.  The  com¬ 
pany  reportedly  generated  personality  profiles  of  millions 
of  individual  voters  which  were  then  used  to  send  nar¬ 
rowly  targeted  political  advertisements.  Some  described 
Cambridge  Analytical  tools  as  ‘mind-reading  software’, 
a  ‘weaponized  AI  [artificial  intelligence]  propaganda 
machine’  that  ‘turned  the  world  upside  down’  by  saturating 
voters  with  carefully  crafted  messages.2 

These  accounts  implied  that  Cambridge  Analytica’s 
last-minute  efforts  resulted  in  Trump’s  narrowly  win¬ 
ning  six  crucial  states  won  by  Barack  Obama  in  2012: 
Michigan,  Wisconsin,  Iowa,  Pennsylvania,  Ohio  and 
Florida.  Because  of  the  US’s  idiosyncratic  electoral 
college  -  a  winner-take-all  system  that  awards  all  of 
a  state’s  designated  electors  to  the  presidential  candi¬ 
date  with  the  most  popular  votes  -  these  states  played  a 
decisive  role  in  Trump’s  victory.  Most  of  the  states  are 
located  in  the  rust  belt,  an  area  that  was  once  America’s 
industrial  heartland  but  which  has  lost  many  thousands 
of  factory  jobs  over  the  past  40  years  due  to  offshoring 
and  automation.3 

Cambridge  Analytica  first  received  significant  media 
attention  in  July  2015,  shortly  after  the  firm  was  hired  by 
Republican  presidential  nominee  Ted  Cruz’s  campaign.4 
Although  Cruz  ultimately  failed,  Cambridge  Analytica’s 
CEO,  Alexander  Nix,  claimed  that  Cruz’s  popularity  grew 
largely  due  to  the  company’s  skilful  use  of  aggregated 
voter  data,  personality  profiling  and  individually  focused 
messaging,  or  ‘microtargeting’.5 

By  August  2016,  reports  had  emerged  that  the  Trump 
campaign  had  decided  to  employ  Cambridge  Analytica  as 
part  of  a  desperate  effort  to  challenge  Hillary  Clinton’s  for¬ 
midable  campaign  machine.  According  to  one  account,  the 
company  deployed  six  PhD  data  scientists  ‘to  pinpoint  20 
million  “persuadable”  voters  in  key  battleground  states’.6 

This  article  reviews  the  case  of  Cambridge  Analytica  in 
order  to  analyze  transformations  that  are  enveloping  poli¬ 
tics,  technology  and  social  science.  I  will  revisit  the  idea 
that  recent  US  presidential  campaigns  and  elections  might 
be  viewed  as  ‘rituals  of  rebellion’  -  culturally  produced 
ceremonies  that  function  as  a  means  of  publicly  expressing 
antagonism  towards  established  political  institutions 
(Gluckman  1954;  McLeod  1999).  Max  Gluckman’s  classic 
study  of  Zulu,  Swazi  and  Thonga  ceremonies  revealed  that 
such  rituals  promote  processes  of  social  catharsis  and  ulti¬ 
mately  lead  to  the  reinforcement  of  existing  political  struc¬ 
tures.  He  also  argued  that  rituals  of  rebellion  can  enable 
the  conciliation  of  political  world  views  or  ideologies  that 


contradict  participants’  perceptions  of  social  reality  -  an 
idea  which  might  help  explain  why  a  New  York  might  be 
so  appealing  in  US  regions  that  have  been  battered  by  cor¬ 
porate  capitalism. 

If  ‘rhetorical  skills,  sound  bites,  debates,  and  televised 
performances’  were  the  means  by  which  US  presiden¬ 
tial  candidates  and  voters  ritually  participated  in  ‘rebel¬ 
lion’  in  the  1990s  (McLeod  1999:  361),  then  social  media 
and  the  Internet  have  become  equally  important  for  both 
consuming  and  enacting  ritual  performances.  Within  this 
framework,  organizations  like  Cambridge  Analytica  might 
be  seen  as  mechanisms  for  delivering  individually  tailored 
messages  and  symbols  that  ‘present  a  picture  of  the  world 
which  is  so  emotionally  compelling  that  it  is  beyond 
debate’  (Kertzer  1987:  101). 

What  follows  is  a  preliminary  investigation  into  the 
ways  in  which  relatively  new  techniques  for  collecting 
and  analyzing  online  data  are  being  integrated  into  US 
political  processes.  It  is  part  of  a  broader  effort  to  critically 
examine  ‘big  data’  practices  and  projects  using  an  anthro¬ 
pological  lens.  The  term  big  data  is  so  widely  used  that 
it  has  become  difficult  to  define.  I  will  use  it  to  describe 
‘massive  amounts  of  electronic  data  that  are  indexable  and 
searchable  by  means  of  computational  systems  . . .  stored 
on  servers  and  analyzed  by  algorithms’  (Lane  2016:  75). 
As  noted  by  anthropologist  Justin  Lane,  big  data  is  also  an 
industry  in  which  companies  such  as  Facebook,  Twitter 
and  Google  are  able  to  buy  and  sell  data  harvested  from 
their  users. 7 

I  lived  and  worked  in  the  US  throughout  the  2016  presi¬ 
dential  campaign,  the  election  and  its  immediate  aftermath. 
During  that  time,  I  collected  data  from  archival  sources,  TV, 
radio  and  online  media  sources.  I  also  analyzed  speeches 
and  debates  broadcast  during  the  election  campaign.  In  the 
next  phase  of  my  research,  I  hope  to  delve  more  deeply  into 
the  world  of  the  data  scientists  who  create  the  algorithms 
used  by  political  consulting  firms,  Internet  companies  and 
military,  police  and  intelligence  agencies. 

In  this  article,  I  begin  by  reviewing  developments  in 
the  social  sciences  (particularly  psychology)  that  have 
enabled  researchers  to  harvest  vast  quantities  of  personal 
data  at  little  or  no  cost.  This  is  followed  by  an  assessment 
of  claims  that  Cambridge  Analytica’s  techniques  led  to 
Trump’s  victory.  I  then  conclude  with  a  broader  anthropo¬ 
logical  discussion  about  the  state  of  democracy  in  an  era 
of  digital  devices  and  diminishing  privacy. 


ANTHROPOLOGY  TODAY  VOL  33  NO  3,  JUNE  2017 


9.  Critics  within  psychology 
include  Samuel  Juni,  Jack 
Block  and  Paul  McAdams. 
(Paul  2005:  191-196). 
Anthropologists  have  scarcely 
shown  interest  in  the  topic, 
though  research  among  the 
Tsimane  of  Bolivia  indicates 
that  ‘Big  Five’  traits  are 

not  universal  (Gurven  et 
al.  2013).  Such  profiling 
is  ripe  for  anthropological 
critique  -  OCEAN  personality 
tests  are  big  business  and 
have  been  adopted  by  many 
organizations  for  hiring 
employees,  career  counselling 
and  marketing  purposes. 

10.  See  Grassegger  & 
Krogerus  (2017).  The  claims 
made  by  Kosinski  and  his 
colleagues  are  remarkable: 
on  the  basis  of  68  Facebook 
Tikes’,  they  claim  to  be 
able  to  predict  a  user’s  skin 
colour,  sexual  orientation 
and  political  party  affiliation. 
Cambridge  Analytica 
reportedly  developed 
similar  tools  after  SCL  hired 
psychologist  Aleksander 
Kogan  to  create  a  predictive 
personality  instrument  using 
Facebook  Tikes’  from  tens  of 
thousands  of  users  and  their 
‘friends’  (Davies  2015). 

11.  See  Bell  (2015:23-24). 

12.  Alexander  Nix,  ‘The 
power  of  big  data  and 
psychographics’,  posted  at 
https://www.youtube.com/ 
watch?v=n8Dd5aVXLCc. 

13.  See  ‘Cost  of  election’, 
Center  for  Responsive 
Politics.  https://www. 
opensecrets.org/overview/ 
cost.php. 

14.  See  Liu  et  al.  (2016)  and 
Levine  (2016). 

15.  A  Washington  Post 
journalist  candidly  admitted 
that  most  American  journalists 
‘couldn’t  believe  that  the 
Americans  they  knew  could 
embrace  someone  who 
mocked  a  disabled  man, 
bragged  about  sexually 
assaulting  women,  and 
spouted  misogyny,  racism  and 
anti-Semitism  . . .  although 
we  touched  down  in  the  big 
red  states  for  a  few  days,  or 
interviewed  some  coal  miners 
or  unemployed  auto  workers 
in  the  Rust  Belt,  we  didn’t 
take  them  seriously’  (Sullivan 
2016). 

16.  See  Condliffe  (2017) 
and  Confessore  &  Hakim 
(2017). 

17.  See  Gould  (1981: 
192-193).  Over  the  years, 
anthropologists  (Malinowski, 
Powdermaker,  Geertz, 
Berreman  and  others)  also 
expressed  concerns  about  the 
perils  of  assuming  that  science 
is  an  exclusively  quantitative 
endeavour  (Seaver  2015: 
34-35). 

18.  Recent  books  discussing 
these  phenomena  include 
Hochschild  (2016),  Judis 
(2016)  and  Walley  (2013). 
There  are  startling  signs  of 
desperation  in  the  US’s  rural 
and  deindustrialized  regions. 
The  suicide  rate  increased 

by  24  per  cent  between  1999 
and  2014,  while  fatal  drug 
overdoses  have  more  than 


Targeting  the  electorate 

To  get  a  better  understanding  of  how  social  science 
intersects  with  data  science,  let  us  take  a  closer  look  at 
Cambridge  Analytica.  The  company’s  signature  products 
are  based  upon  ‘psychographic’  techniques  which  incorpo¬ 
rate  the  so-called  ‘Big  Five’  personality  traits  well-known 
to  many  social  psychologists:  openness,  conscientious¬ 
ness,  extroversion,  agreeableness  and  neuroticism  (or 
OCEAN).8  These  traits  have  become  widely  adopted 
among  social  psychologists  over  the  past  35  years  as  a 
means  of  gauging  an  individual’s  personality.  The  ‘Big 
Five’  is  the  latest  in  a  long  line  of  psychometric  instru¬ 
ments  created  over  the  past  century.9 

Cambridge  Analytica  claims  to  have  collected  data  by 
surveying  hundreds  of  thousands  of  people  to  determine 
their  psychological  profiles.  It  apparently  gathered  infor¬ 
mation  by  planting  free  ‘personality  quizzes’  on  social 
media  platforms,  most  notably  Facebook.  Users  were 
lured  by  the  prospect  of  obtaining  free  OCEAN  scores, 
while  Cambridge  Analytica  gathered  the  data  -  and  access 
to  their  Facebook  profiles  and  names  (Davies  2015). 
Cambridge  Analytica ’s  parent  company,  British-based 
Strategic  Communication  Laboratories  (SCL),  specializes 
in  ‘psy-ops’,  and  has  a  history  of  developing  disinforma¬ 
tion  campaigns  and  psychometrics-based  propaganda 
techniques  for  influencing  elections  around  the  world 
(Cadwalladr  2017b;  Doward  &  Gibbs  2017;  Issenberg 
2015).  SCL’s  clients  have  included  the  British  Foreign 
Office  and  the  US  Department  of  Defense. 

According  to  some  reports,  Cambridge  Analytica’s 
methods  were  reverse-engineered  -  essentially  recon¬ 
structed  from  research  tools  developed  by  psychologist 
Michal  Kosinski.  As  early  as  2013,  Kosinski  and  his 
colleagues  had  argued  that  a  person’s  private  traits  can 
be  predicted  with  high  degrees  of  accuracy  by  combing 
digital  records  of  his  or  her  behaviour  (so-called  ‘digital 
footprints’):  Facebook  Tikes’,  Twitter  ‘retweets’  and  so  on 
(Kosinski  et  al.  2013;  Kosinski  et  al.  2016). 

Among  their  most  significant  innovations  was  a 
Facebook  app  that  allowed  users  to  view  their  own  per¬ 
sonality  profiles  based  upon  their  answers  to  a  question¬ 
naire.  In  so  doing,  they  could  share  their  profile  data  with 
Kosinski  and  the  other  researchers:  ‘before  long,  hundreds, 
thousands,  then  millions  of  people  had  revealed  their 
innermost  convictions.  Suddenly  the  two  doctoral  candi¬ 
dates  [Kosinski  and  David  Stillwell]  owned  the  largest 
dataset  combining  psychometric  scores  with  Facebook 
profiles  ever  to  be  collected’ . 10  Furthermore,  the  data  could 
be  reversed:  ‘not  only  can  psychological  profiles  be  cre¬ 
ated  from  your  data,  but  your  data  can  also  be  used  the 
other  way  round  to  search  for  specific  profiles:  all  anxious 
fathers,  all  angry  introverts  ...  all  undecided  Democrats 
. . .  what  Kosinski  had  invented  was  sort  of  a  people  search 
engine’  (Grassegger  &  Krogerus  2017). 

Cambridge  Analytica’s  methods  combine  OCEAN  pro¬ 
files  with  information  about  personal  preferences,  con¬ 
sumption  patterns,  reading  and  viewing  habits  and  other 
data  mined  from  a  range  of  public  and  private  sources. 
The  finn’s  marketing  materials  claim  that  ‘we  collect  up 
to  5000  data  points  on  over  220  million  Americans  . . .  [to] 
predict  the  behavior  of  like-minded  people’  (quoted  in 
Rranish  2016).  What  is  curious  -  and  typical  of  comments 
made  by  big  data’s  boosters  -  is  the  notion  that  ‘bigger 
is  better’:  collecting  enough  ‘data  points’  will  magically 
reveal  the  truth.  Anthropologist  Genevieve  Bell  calls  this 
the  ‘new  empiricism’,  peddled  by  the  custodians  of  big 
data,  the  ‘new  priests  and  alchemists’  of  the  digital  era.11 

This  is  the  essence  of  ‘psychographics’  -  using  software 
algorithms  to  scour  individual  voters’  Facebook  Tikes’, 
retweets  and  other  bits  of  data  gleaned  from  social  media 


that  are  then  combined  with  commercially  available  per¬ 
sonal  information: 

land  registries,  automotive  data,  shopping  data,  bonus  cards, 
club  memberships,  what  magazines  you  read,  what  churches 
you  attend  . . .  [are  supplied  by]  active  data  brokers  like  Acxiom 
and  Experian  -  in  the  US,  almost  all  personal  data  is  for  sale. 
For  example,  if  you  want  to  know  where  Jewish  women  live, 
you  can  simply  buy  this  information,  phone  numbers  included. 
Now  Cambridge  Analytica  aggregates  this  data  with  the  elec¬ 
toral  rolls  of  the  Republican  party  and  online  data  and  calcu¬ 
lates  a  Big  Five  personality  profde.  Digital  footprints  suddenly 
become  real  people  with  fears,  needs,  interests,  and  residential 
addresses.  (Grassegger  &  Krogerus  2017) 

This  process  might  be  seen  as  a  high-tech  form  of 
animism,  to  the  extent  that  the  ‘new  priests  and  alche¬ 
mists’  attempt  to  breathe  life  into  arbitrary  fragments  of 
information.  One  might  also  interpret  these  activities  as 
pseudo-archaeological  efforts  to  reconstruct  the  lives  of 
real  people  using  residues  of  virtual  (not  material)  culture. 

In  a  2016  presentation,  Nix  described  how  such  infor¬ 
mation  might  be  used  to  influence  voter  opinions  on 
gun  ownership  and  gun  rights.  Individual  people  can  be 
addressed  differently  according  to  their  personality  pro¬ 
files:  ‘For  a  highly  neurotic  and  conscientious  audience, 
the  threat  of  a  burglary  -  and  the  insurance  policy  of  a 
gun  ...  Conversely,  for  a  closed  and  agreeable  audience: 
people  who  care  about  tradition,  and  habits,  and  family’.12 
Cambridge  Analytica  has  reportedly  sorted  US  voters  into 
32  different  personality  types  for  the  purpose  of  creating 
targeted  advertisements  tailored  to  each  of  these  types 
(Confessore  &  Hakim  2017).  From  an  anthropological 
perspective,  these  messages  might  be  interpreted  as  forms 
of  symbolic  manipulation  deployed  for  use  in  America’s 
greatest  political  sociodrama. 

Fact  or  fiction? 

Let  us  return  to  our  original  question:  did  big  data  in  the 
hands  of  a  small  company  make  the  difference  in  the  2016 
presidential  election? 

This  claim  should  be  viewed  sceptically  for  several 
reasons.  Cambridge  Analytica  is  well  known  within  the 
industry  for  its  aggressive  sales  and  marketing  efforts, 
including  a  sophisticated  public  relations  strategy  and 
relentless  self-promotion.  For  example,  the  company’s 
main  webpage  features  footage  of  a  triumphant  Donald 
Trump  interwoven  with  clips  of  CNN  and  Sky  News 
reporters  who  breathlessly  describe  Cambridge  Analytica’s 
decisive  role  in  his  victory.  Cambridge  Analytica  clearly 
benefits  from  such  media  attention. 

Critics  charge  that  the  company  and  its  CEO,  Alexander 
Nix,  have  exaggerated  Cambridge  Analytica’s  role  in  the 
election’s  outcome.  In  February  2017,  investigative  jour¬ 
nalist  Kendall  Taggart  wrote  an  expose  claiming  that  more 
than  a  dozen  fonner  employees  of  Cambridge  Analytica, 
Trump  campaign  staffers  and  executives  at  Republican 
consulting  firms  denied  that  psychographics  was  used  in 
the  Trump  campaign:  ‘Rather  than  a  sinister  breakthrough 
in  political  technology,  the  Cambridge  Analytica  story 
appears  to  be  part  of  the  traditional  contest  among  con¬ 
sultants  on  a  winning  political  campaign  to  get  their  share 
of  the  credit  -  and  win  future  clients’  (Taggart  2017).  Not 
a  single  critic  was  willing  to  be  identified  in  the  report, 
apparently  fearing  retaliation  from  the  company’s  leading 
investors,  Robert  and  Rebekah  Mercer,  and  Cambridge 
Analytica  board  member,  Steve  Bannon  (who  briefly 
served  as  Trump’s  chief  strategist). 

The  anonymity  of  Cambridge  Analytica’s  critics  might 
lead  some  to  wonder  whether  Taggart’s  unnamed  sources 
might  be  public  relations  operatives  employed  by  the  com¬ 
pany’s  competitors  for  the  purpose  of  discrediting  it.  With 
nearly  $2.7  billion  spent  on  the  2016  US  presidential  cam- 


10 


ANTHROPOLOGY  TODAY  VOL  33  NO  3,  JUNE  2017 


doubled  since  2000,  largely 
due  to  opioid  addiction  (Beck 
2016).  Some  are  connecting 
rising  death  rates  among 
middle-aged  white  Americans 
to  ‘despair  deaths’  (Khazan 
2015). 

19.  Economist  Richard 
Wolff  recently  noted  that  in 
2008,  economic  elites  ‘found 
an  attractive,  handsome, 
young  well-spoken  man  of 
African-American  heritage 
to  become  the  president 

of  the  United  States  in  the 
hope  that  this  would  quiet 
the  left,  which  it  did  ...  it 
was  nowhere  near  enough 
to  deal  with  the  underlying 
mechanism  of  this  system’s 
inability  to  function,  which  is 
in  large  part  why  eight  years 
later,  the  logical  successor 
to  Obama,  Ms.  Clinton,  was 
defeated’  (Wolff  20 17). 

20.  See  Forte  (2016). 
Trump’s  xenophobic 
rhetoric  was  particularly 
effective  in  mobilizing  white 
nationalists  (Osnos  2015; 
Posner  &  Neiwert  2016).  By 
aggressively  scapegoating 
Latin  American  immigrants 
and  Muslims,  Trump  was 
able  to  get  support  from 
working-class  voters  open  to 
ideologies  of  patriarchal  white 
supremacy. 

21.  Quoted  in  Ariens  (2017). 

22.  Neil  Postman’s  book 
Amusing  ourselves  to  death 
(1985)  was  published  at  a 
time  when  Ronald  Reagan  -  a 
former  Hollywood  actor  -  was 
US  president. 

23.  Tim  Crook,  quoted  on 
the  radio  programme  Letters 
&  politics,  KPFA  (Berkeley, 
California),  https ://player. 
fm/series/kpfa-letters-and- 
politics/george-orwells-1984. 

24.  Adolescent  victims 
of  cyberbullying  might  be 
canaries  in  the  digital  coal 
mine  (Kowalski  et  al.  2012). 

25.  See  Alter  (2017)  and 
Bosker  (2016).  Stanford 
University’s  Persuasive 
Technology  Laboratory, 
directed  by  psychologist  B.J. 
Fogg,  is  an  alarming  example 
of  how  this  influential 

new  area  of  applied  social 
science  has  quickly  become 
normalized. 


Alter,  A.  2017.  Irresistible: 
The  rise  of  addictive 
technology  and  the  business 
of  keeping  us  hooked.  New 
York:  Penguin. 

Anderson,  B.  &  B.  Horvath 
2017.  The  rise  of  the 
weaponized  AI  propaganda 
machine.  Scout,  9  February. 

Ariens,  C.  2017.  Pres.  Trump 
was  right  when  he  said  he 
gets  good  ratings.  AdWeek, 
17  February. 

Beck,  J.  2016.  America’s 
mysterious  rising  death  rate. 
The  Atlantic,  3  June. 

Bell,  G.  2015.  The  secret  life 
of  big  data.  In  T.  Boellstorff 
&  B.  Maurer  (eds)  Data, 
now  bigger  and  better!, 
7-26.  Chicago:  Prickly 
Paradigm  Press. 


paign  (and  another  $4.3  billion  on  congressional  contests) 
the  stakes  are  higher  than  ever.13  It  would  seem  likely  that 
public  relations  offensives  and  counter-offensives  are  in 
high  gear,  making  it  difficult  to  discern  fact  from  fiction. 
Perhaps  this  is  a  reflection  of  the  current  state  of  public 
discourse  in  the  US  in  which  top  officials  label  inconven¬ 
ient  truths  as  ‘fake  news’  and,  without  a  trace  of  irony,  call 
blatant  lies  ‘alternative  facts’. 

Some  critics  questioned  Cambridge  Analytica’s 
methods.  For  example,  political  scientist  Eitan  Hersh  has 
stated  that  the  company’s  claims  about  predicting  person¬ 
ality  traits  is  ‘basically  impossible  . . .  you  can  do  better 
randomly  guessing’  (quoted  in  Kranish  2016).  Engineering 
scientist  Jamie  Condliffe  (2017)  is  sceptical  that  there  is 
anything  new  about  the  company’s  approach:  ‘Cambridge 
Analytica’s  targeting  may  not  be  doing  a  great  deal  more 
than  other  approaches  that  are  widely  used  around  the 
Internet’. 

According  to  psychologist  Michal  Kosinski  (personal 
communication),  both  sides  in  the  2016  US  presidential 
election  used  personality  profiling  software,  and  similar 
tools  were  also  used  in  Barack  Obama’s  successful  2012 
campaign.  Furthermore,  ‘off-the-shelf’  products  and  apps 
such  as  IBM  Watson,  Crystal  and  Apply  Magic  Sauce  can 
hypothetically  be  used  to  create  personality  profiles  based 
upon  social  media  information  and  ‘digital  footprints’. 
What  is  more,  computer  scientists  and  psychologists  are 
devising  other  ways  to  analyze  personalities,  including 
social  media  profile  photos  and  ‘emotional  analytics’ 
software  that  interprets  facial  expressions  with  the  use  of 
webcams.14 

By  late  January  2017,  Cambridge  Analytica  appeared  to 
be  backpedalling  on  some  of  its  grander  claims.  Eventually, 
the  company’s  head  of  product,  Matt  Oczkowski,  admitted 
that  ‘we  actually  didn’t  do  any  psychographics  with  the 
Trump  campaign’  (quoted  in  Confessore  &  Hakim  2017). 
Such  statements  contradict  articles  and  footage  still  posted 
on  the  company’s  website  which  make  a  direct  connec¬ 
tion  between  Trump’s  victory  and  Cambridge  Analytica’s 
psychographic  tools. 

Making  sense  of  the  election 

It  is  tempting  to  explain  Trump’s  victory  as  the  net  result 
of  artificial  intelligence,  complex  predictive  algorithms 
and  psychological  profiling.  Some  will  see  this  as  a  com¬ 
pelling  narrative:  it  appears  to  place  responsibility  for  the 
election’s  outcome  primarily  upon  crafty  right-wing  elites 
who  manipulated  the  masses  with  the  help  of  PhD  data 
scientists  at  Cambridge  Analytica  and  its  parent  company, 
SCL.  For  some  journalists,  it  may  have  also  served  to 
divert  attention  from  the  media’s  poor  prognostication  of 
the  final  result  in  the  days  following  the  election.15 

The  problem  with  such  a  narrative  is  that  there  is  no  con¬ 
crete  evidence  to  support  it,  nor  is  there  sufficient  data  to 
suggest  that  ‘psychographics’  can  be  used  to  significantly 
influence  people’s  political  behaviour.16  Stephen  Jay 
Gould’s  scathing  critique  of  early  psychometrics  -which 
took  the  form  of  IQ  testing  a  century  ago  -  can  be  similarly 
applied  to  psychographics  today.  Its  proponents  sought 
to  transform  psychology  into  ‘as  rigorous  a  science  as 
physics  . . .  [they]  equated  rigor  and  science  with  numbers 
and  quantification’,  a  flawed  assumption.17 

Just  as  importantly,  such  narratives  tend  to  minimize 
the  significance  of  deepening  economic,  regional  and 
ethnic  divisions  and  disparities  in  the  US,  divisions  that 
have  been  amplified  and  sometimes  created  by  the  polit¬ 
ical  class  and  commercial  media.18  Millions  of  Americans 
voted  for  Barack  Obama  with  the  hope  that  he  might  bring 
substantive  and  systemic  change  in  the  wake  of  the  2008 
financial  crisis,  but  in  the  end  many  Americans  perceived 
little  improvement  in  their  daily  lives.16  Despite  official 


government  statistics  signalling  economic  growth  and  a 
booming  stock  market,  tens  of  millions  of  Americans  con¬ 
tinue  to  struggle  even  as  there  is  broad  public  support  for 
universal  health  care,  minimum  wage  increases,  tuition- 
free  college  and  paid  family  leave  for  new  parents. 

Sometimes,  foreign  anthropologists  have  a  clearer  pic¬ 
ture  of  American  society  than  their  counterparts  in  the  US. 
Their  insights  can  be  prescient:  Canadian  anthropologist 
Maximilian  Forte  predicted  that  tempestuous  economic 
forces  would  catapult  Trump  to  the  presidency.  Writing 
nearly  six  months  before  the  November  2016  election, 
Forte  argued  that  ‘anyone  understanding  the  contest 
in  terns  of  Republican  vs.  Democrat,  men  vs.  women, 
or  whites  vs.  minorities,  is  already  far  off.  The  primary 
dividing  line  of  this  election  is  globalization,  specifically 
neoliberal  globalization,  and  more  specifically:  the  plight 
of  the  working  class  in  the  wake  of  free  trade’(Forte  2016; 
emphasis  in  original).  Forte  correctly  observed  that  ‘neo¬ 
liberal  Democrats’,  including  the  Clintons,  had  betrayed 
working-class  voters  and  that  for  some,  Trump  represented 
an  attractive  opportunity  to  demolish  the  entire  system.20 
It  is  striking  that  so  few  anthropologists  have  taken  a 
scholarly  interest  in  their  own  compatriots.  Why  is  it  that 
those  ‘Others  [who  are]  disturbingly  close  to  home’  -  for 
example,  those  who  would  become  supporters  of  Trump, 
Brexit,  Wilders,  Le  Pen,  etc.  -  are  rarely  the  subjects  of 
anthropological  study  (Martin  &  Krause-Jensen,  this 
issue)? 

There  is  another  dimension  to  Trump’s  electoral  suc¬ 
cess.  He  had  an  uncanny  ability  to  co-opt  the  political 
rhetoric  of  both  the  left  and  the  right  during  his  campaign. 
On  the  one  hand,  Trump  adopted  the  language  of  con¬ 
servatives  by  demonizing  ‘big  government’  regulation  and 
excessive  taxes.  On  the  other  hand,  he  embraced  the  lan¬ 
guage  of  liberals  and  progressives  by  complaining  about 
Wall  Street  bankers,  ‘free  trade’  regimes,  and  the  US-led 
wars  in  Iraq  and  Afghanistan.  This  campaign  tactic  was 
effective  enough,  but  Trump  took  things  a  step  further  by 
calling  into  question  the  very  integrity  of  the  electoral  pro¬ 
cess  -  with  vituperative  attacks  on  the  media  and  ominous 
references  to  a  ‘rigged’  election  system. 

We  should  not  forget  that  before  he  entered  the  world 
of  politics,  Trump  was  best  known  to  most  Americans  as 
a  showman,  the  celebrity  host  of  the  reality  TV  show  The 
apprentice,  which  at  it  its  peak  had  more  than  20  million 
viewers.  Many  people  undoubtedly  felt  a  connection  to 
Trump,  since  for  14  seasons  they  had  viewed  him  week 
after  week  in  their  living  rooms  and  bedrooms. 

Throughout  the  campaign,  the  US  commercial  media 
followed  Trump’s  every  move  -  and  every  tweet  -  with 
lurid  fascination,  which  is  hardly  surprising  given  the 
fierce  competition  for  ratings  among  news  organizations 
geared  to  a  relentless  24-hour  news  cycle.  During  Trump’s 
first  press  conference  on  16  February,  he  lashed  out  at 
journalists,  while  reminding  them:  ‘I  do  get  good  ratings, 
you  have  to  admit  that ...  I  know  how  good  everyone’s  rat¬ 
ings  are’. 21  Indeed,  more  than  5.6  million  viewers  watched 
the  midday  press  conference  on  the  three  major  cable  news 
networks  (CNN,  Fox  News,  and  MSNBC)  while  millions 
more  watched  on  other  networks  or  online.  Writing  more 
than  30  years  ago,  Neil  Postman  observed  the  rise  of  poli¬ 
tics  as  entertainment  -  perhaps  it  was  only  a  matter  of  time 
before  the  rise  of  entertainment  as  politics.22 

Discussion 

Despite  Cambridge  Analytica’s  exaggerated  claims,  we 
should  not  discount  the  company’s  importance  and  what  it 
represents.  Cambridge  Analytica,  SCL  and  similar  organi¬ 
zations,  serve  as  a  stark  reminder  that  data  scientists, 
working  side  by  side  with  psychologists  and  other  social 
scientists,  are  vigorously  pursuing  more  effective  and  effi- 


ANTHROPOLOGY  TODAY  VOL  33  NO  3,  JUNE  2017 


11 


Blakely,  R.  2016.  Data 
scientists  target  20  million 
new  voters  for  Trump.  The 
Times ,  22  September. 

Bosker,  B.  2016.  The  binge 
breaker.  The  Atlantic, 
November. 

Brynjolfsson,  E.  &  A. 

McAfee  20 1 6.  The  second 
machine  age.  New  York: 
W.W.  Norton. 

Cadwalladr,  C.  2017a. 
Revealed:  How  US 
billionaire  helped  to  back 
Brexit.  The  Guardian,  25 
February. 

—  2017b.  Robert  Mercer: 

The  big  data  billionaire 
waging  war  on  mainstream 
media.  The  Guardian,  26 
February. 

Condliffe,  J.  2017.  The  right- 
wing  propaganda  machine 
may  not  be  as  smart  as  you 
think.  MIT  Technology 
Review,  27  February. 

Confessore,  N.  &  D.  Hakim 
2017.  Data  firm  says  ‘secret 
sauce’  aided  Trump;  many 
scoff.  The  New  York  Times , 
6  March. 

Davies,  H.  2015.  Ted  Cruz 
using  firm  that  harvested 
data  on  millions  of 
unwitting  Facebook 
users.  The  Guardian,  1 1 
December. 

Doward,  J.  &  A.  Gibbs  2017. 
Did  Cambridge  Analytica 
influence  the  Brexit  vote 
and  the  US  election?  The 
Guardian,  4  March. 

Forte,  M.  2016.  Why  Donald 
J.  Trump  will  be  the  next 
president  of  the  United 
States.  Zero  Anthropology, 

4  May. 

Foster,  R  2016.  The  mind¬ 
reading  software  that  could 
provide  the  ‘secret  sauce’ 
for  Trump  to  win  the  White 
House.  The  Telegraph,  4 
November. 

Gluckman,  M.  1954.  Rituals 
of  rebellion  in  south¬ 
east  Africa.  Manchester: 
Manchester  UP. 

Goldberg,  L.  1981.  Language 
and  individual  differences. 
In  L.  Wheeler  (ed.)  Review 
of  personality  and  social 
psychology,  vol.  2,  141-165. 
Beverly  Hills,  CA:  Sage. 

Gould,  S.J.  1981.  The 
mismeasure  of  man.  New 
York:  WW  Norton. 

Grassegger,  H.  &  M. 

Krogerus  2017.  The  data 
that  turned  the  world  upside 
down.  Motherboard,  28 
January. 

Gurven,  M.  et  al.  2013.  How 
universal  is  the  Big  Five? 
Journal  of  Personality  and 
Social  Psychology  104(2): 
354-370. 

Hersh,  E.  2015.  Hacking  the 
electorate.  Cambridge: 
Cambridge  UP. 

Hochschild,  A.R.  2016. 
Strangers  in  their  own  land. 
New  York:  New  Press. 

Issenberg,  S.  2015.  Cruz- 
connected  data  miner 
aims  to  get  inside  US 
voters’  heads.  Bloomberg 
Businessweek,  12 
November. 

Judis,  J.B.  2016.  The  populist 
explosion.  New  York: 
Columbia  Global  Reports. 


cient  ways  of  influencing  human  behaviour  in  both  the 
virtual  and  real  worlds.  It  is  worth  pondering  what  might 
have  happened  if  Cambridge  Analytica  had  had  more  time, 
more  detailed  data  and  a  more  ethnographic  (rather  than 
‘psychographic’)  approach.  It  is  also  worth  asking:  will  we 
soon  face  a  future  in  which  anthropologists  are  complicit 
in  helping  companies  like  Cambridge  Analytica  design 
more  potent  methods  of  mass  manipulation? 

Let  us  return  momentarily  to  Gluckman’s  ‘rituals  of 
rebellion’.  It  is  certainly  the  case  that  pre-existing  political 
and  economic  structures  remained  intact  during  Trump’s 
presidency:  America’s  power  elite  certainly  has  not  lost 
influence,  nor  have  its  two  major  political  parties.  However, 
last  year’s  political  sociodrama  and  its  aftermath  have 
resulted  in  little  social  catharsis  or  reintegration  between 
those  who  supported  Trump’s  political  agenda  and  those 
who  opposed  it  -  quite  the  contrary.  Mass  bloodshed  has 
not  occurred  on  the  streets  of  America,  but  within  the  first 
100  days  of  the  Trump  presidency,  there  have  been  mass 
public  protests  (including  a  women’s  march,  a  ‘march 
for  science’,  a  ‘people’s  climate  march’  and  spontaneous 
mobilizations  at  dozens  of  US  airports  in  opposition  to 
Trump’s  travel  ban),  a  rash  of  anti-Semitic,  anti-Muslim, 
and  anti-immigrant  incidents,  and  violent  clashes  between 
groups  of  protesters  in  several  US  cities  -  most  recently 
Berkeley,  California. 

But  beyond  questions  of  ritualized  rebellion,  the 
Cambridge  Analytica  case  is  significant  because  it  illu¬ 
minates  new  technological  controlling  processes  (Nader 
1997)  under  construction.  We  should  heed  Gillian  Tett’s 
warning:  ‘data  science  is  changing  digital  privacy  and 
democracy  in  ways  most  people  do  not  understand’  -  and 
we  ignore  these  changes  at  our  own  peril  (Tett  2017). 

Consider  the  use  of  automated  ‘bots’  -  artificially 
created  social  media  accounts  that  can  be  deployed  at  a 
moment’s  notice.  These  programs  have  become  poten¬ 
tially  powerful  propaganda  tools:  bots  are  programmed 
to  act  like  people  posting  information  online  and  can 
be  mass-produced  in  order  to  change  online  conversa¬ 
tions  and  create  topical  trends.  Communications  studies 
researchers  Sam  Wooley  and  Philip  Howard  discovered 
that  just  before  the  US  election,  hundreds  of  websites 
were  created  to  disseminate  pro-Trump  links  and  arti¬ 
cles  in  order  to  amplify  Trump’s  message  (Kollanyi  et  al. 
2016).  They  also  discovered  the  presence  of  hundreds  of 
thousands  of  ‘sleeper  bots’:  ‘Twitter  accounts  that  have 
tweeted  only  once  or  twice  and  are  now  sitting  quietly 
waiting  for  a  trigger  -  some  sort  of  crisis  where  they  will 


rise  up  and  come  together  to  drown  out  all  other  sources 
of  information’  (Cadwalladr  2017a). 

Though  Orwell’s  1984  topped  the  bestseller  list  in 
the  weeks  following  Trump’s  election,  his  brilliant  essay 
‘Politics  and  the  English  language’  is  perhaps  more  useful 
for  understanding  the  current  state  of  political  rhetoric  in  the 
US.  ‘If  thought  corrupts  language,  language  can  also  corrupt 
thought’,  wrote  Orwell.  In  a  supercharged  media  environ¬ 
ment  in  which  Facebook  and  Twitter  have  become  the  pri¬ 
mary  means  by  which  millions  of  citizens  consume  news, 
perhaps  we  should  not  be  too  surprised  that  many  people 
‘are  experiencing  anxiety  about  the  verification  of  reality, 
and  the  corruption  of  language,  and  the  deployment  of  the 
big  lie’  in  recent  times.23  Designing  and  mass  producing 
systems  of  symbolic  manipulation  has  never  been  so  easy. 

Finally,  the  controversy  surrounding  Cambridge 
Analytica  speaks  to  the  deep  anxieties  many  people  feel 
about  the  obliteration  of  privacy  in  the  digital  era.  People 
around  the  world  are  communicating  in  radically  different 
ways  now  compared  to  a  decade  ago,  as  Internet  tech¬ 
nology  advances  apace.  With  so  many  people  posting  so 
much  information  about  the  intimate  details  of  their  lives 
for  the  world  to  see  on  the  Web,  coordinated  attempts  at 
mass  persuasion  will  almost  certainly  become  more  wide¬ 
spread  in  the  future. 

In  a  world  of  diminishing  privacy,  our  vulnerabilities 
and  frailties  are  easily  magnified.24  There  is  also  mounting 
evidence  that  digital  compulsions  -  some  call  them  addic¬ 
tions  -  are  negatively  affecting  human  health,  social  rela¬ 
tionships  and  cognitive  capabilities,  thanks  in  part  to  the 
efforts  of  social  scientists  who  dedicate  themselves  to 
maximizing  the  amount  of  time  we  spend  on  our  smart 
phones  and  tablets.  Experimental  psychologists  special¬ 
izing  in  what  they  euphemistically  call  ‘behaviour  design’ 
have  largely  ignored  the  ethical  problems  inherent  in  such 
work  to  help  companies  create  digital  devices,  apps,  media 
platforms  and  other  technologies  that  are  literally  irresist¬ 
ible  to  their  users.25 

If  nondescript  pocket-sized  devices  made  of  plastic  and 
glass  have  abruptly  altered  patterns  of  human  behaviour, 
communication  and  cognition  in  less  than  a  decade,  what 
will  happen  once  ‘wearable’  virtual  reality  interfaces  like 
VR  headsets,  eyeglasses  and  corneal  implants  are  widely 
available?  The  case  of  Cambridge  Analytica  deserves  our 
attention  because  it  points  to  the  possibility  of  a  future 
in  which  totalitarian  institutions  have  the  tremendous 
capacity  to  mould  the  ideas,  attitudes  and  behaviours  of  an 
audience  captured  by  its  own  compulsions.  • 


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ANTHROPOLOGY  TODAY  VOL  33  NO  3,  JUNE  2017