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Taiwan Voters Consider US-China Tensions

by Cindy Sui

   HONG KONG --

   When Taiwan's former and current presidents each embarked on overseas
   trips this month, their travels highlighted how rising tensions between
   the United States and China are seen by the islands' voters who will
   pick a new leader in January.

   President Tsai Ing-wen met with U.S. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy and
   other American legislators during stops in New York and California.
   Around the same time, Tsai's predecessor, former President Ma Ying-jeou
   became the first Taiwanese former or current president to visit China
   since the two sides were separated at the end of the Chinese civil war
   in 1949.

   Generally, Tsai's Democratic Progressive Party supports Taiwanese
   nationalism and has championed building diplomatic ties with the U.S.
   and other nations. Ma's Kuomintang party generally favors building ties
   with Beijing, as well as with the U.S. and other nations, and trying to
   find consensus.

   Opinion polls conducted after the trips among Taiwanese adults 20 years
   and older found some 61% reported approving of Tsai's meeting with
   McCarthy while 22% disapproved. Ma's trip found opinions more evenly
   split, with some 39% of respondents saying they approved, and 43%
   disapproving.

   Contrasting approaches to China

   Tsai, her ruling Democratic Progressive Party known as the DPP, and
   their supporters see the meeting with McCarthy as an example of
   Taiwan's right to conduct diplomacy and an important step for Taiwan's
   security.

   "In the face of pressure and intimidation, the people of Taiwan will
   only become more united," she said according to Taiwan's Central News
   Agency, adding that her meetings with the American legislators "will
   contribute to cross-Taiwan Strait stability and regional peace."

   Soong Hseik-wen, an international affairs professor at Taiwan's
   National Chung Cheng University, said Tsai's visit will help her party
   with voters.

   "It shows that globally, countries like the U.S. accept Taiwan's [de
   facto] independence," Soong said. "In the future, there will be many
   countries that support democracy, freedom and human rights, including
   the EU, the U.S., Canada, Japan, and even South Korea, Southeast Asian
   countries that will stand with Taiwan."

   Former President Ma Ying-jeou had a different goal for his lower-key
   journey to China, a "private" visit he made as a citizen, not as a
   former president, that saw him bring college students and academics for
   exchanges, to promote more interaction between the two sides as a way
   of reducing tensions.

   Ma remains influential after serving two terms in office from 2008 to
   2016 at a time when he improved relations with Beijing without losing
   Taiwan's self-rule, freedoms and democracy.

   On his "peace-building" mission this month, Ma told reporters, "the two
   sides must pursue peace, otherwise both sides will not have a future."

   Tso Chen-dong, a National Taiwan University political science professor
   said Ma's visit shows that when the two sides have regular contact,
   they can gain a better understanding about each other, which can help
   them out of the current "hostility spiral."

   "If the two sides continue to hold a negative view of each other, then
   they are moving towards a collision," Tso said. "However, if they can
   change their perception through mutual exchanges, little by little, the
   collision can be slowed down and even reversed."

   Public opinion

   While surveys indicated most Taiwanese support Tsai's U.S. visit, some
   voters worried that embracing Americans could further raise tensions
   with China.

   "Tsai keeps going overseas to win over the U.S. and promote her
   anti-China agenda and then China carries out these military activities.
   This is not what we want," said Yen Hsiao-lien, who told VOA by phone
   that she worries her two sons will be drafted into a combat situation.

   "The median line (in the Taiwan Strait) is gone" Yen said, referring to
   the more than 100 Chinese warplanes that crossed the invisible line
   between the two sides in response to Tsai and McCarthy's meeting.
   "Tsai's supporters think she's doing great and more countries are now
   paying attention to Taiwan, but practically the whole world recognizes
   (there's only) one China."

   She was referring to the fact that almost all countries except 13
   nations in the world recognize the mainland as China and do not treat
   Taiwan as a country or have formal diplomatic relations with the
   island, although many have close informal ties with Taipei.

   Washington adopted the "One China Policy" in 1979 when it switched
   diplomatic recognition from the Republic of China (Taiwan) to the
   mainland People's Republic of China. Under this policy, Washington
   acknowledges but does not accept Beijing's claim that Taiwan is a part
   of China to be reunified one day, preferring that the two sides reach a
   peaceful resolution, and urging both not to take unilateral actions
   that change the status quo.

   The One China Policy is not the same as the One China principle, under
   which Beijing asserts Taiwan and the mainland are part of one country
   to be reunited one day.

   Splits over what sort of status and relationship Taiwan should have
   with China continue to divide voters such as Helen Ko, a 30-year-old
   law student who said she will not vote for the Kuomintang because its
   concept of "country" encompassing the mainland and Taiwan, "is not my
   definition." She prefers the DPP's approach of seeking international
   support.