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Black Voters Power Joe Biden's Super Tuesday Success

Associated Press

   DETROIT - Joe Biden's presidential campaign spent the past month on the
   verge of collapse after disappointing finishes in the overwhelmingly
   white states that launched the Democratic primary. As he watched the
   turmoil unfold from Gadsden, Alabama, Robert Avery thought the race
   would change dramatically when it moved into the South.
   "He knows us, he cares about us," the 71-year-old community organizer
   said. "People have given us no credit as to knowing what's going on or
   being involved, and that's the furthest thing from the truth."
   It turns out Avery's instinct was right.
   After a brutal February for Biden, black voters throughout the South
   transformed Biden's White House bid over the course of three days. A
   back-of-the-pack operation surged to front-runner status powered by
   support from black voters, starting with Biden's commanding win
   Saturday in South Carolina and coming into full focus on Super Tuesday
   as he racked up wins in Virginia, North Carolina, Alabama and
   Tennessee.
   Biden is now in a tight race with progressive rival Bernie Sanders, who
   emerged as the initial Democratic leader after strong performances in
   Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada last month. Activists said Biden's
   success is a reminder that the path to victory in the Democratic
   contest runs straight through their communities.
   "You can't win the Democratic presidential nomination without winning
   the South, and you can't win the South without the black vote, and you
   can't win the black vote without winning the black women's vote," said
   Melanie Campbell, president and CEO of the National Coalition on Black
   Civic Participation. "We believe all roads to the White House must come
   through the South."
   Black voters strongly aligned behind Biden over other candidates,
   according to AP VoteCast surveys across eight Super Tuesday states. In
   Alabama, where African American voters made up a majority of the
   Democratic primary electorate, roughly 7 in 10 supported the former
   vice president. That support held across ages and gender.
   In other states, like Texas, Virginia and North Carolina, black voters
   made up a smaller but sizable share of Democratic primary voters. While
   a majority of both black men and women supported Biden, Sanders did
   pull about even with Biden among black voters under 45.
   Biden will be looking to carry that momentum into next week's six
   primaries that will include states like Michigan and Mississippi, which
   are also home to significant populations of black voters. More than 78%
   of residents in Detroit, Michigan's largest city, are African American.
   The former vice president's success also poses warning signs for
   Sanders. The Vermont senator's 2016 presidential campaign was
   unsuccessful in part because he couldn't line up enough support from
   black voters in the South to win the Democratic nomination.
   Since 2016, Sanders has focused on building relationships with black
   leaders and voters. He frequently speaks of a multiracial coalition
   that will help him win the nomination and the White House. But
   Tuesday's results, combined with his distant second-place finish in
   South Carolina, suggest he could face similar challenges in 2020.
   Sanders has warned in recent days that the party's elite establishment
   is aligning to thwart his campaign. But Biden allies pointed to their
   success with a diverse set of voters on Tuesday to rebut that.
   "I just did not know that African Americans in the South were
   considered part of the establishment," said Louisiana Democratic Rep.
   Cedric Richmond, Biden's campaign co-chairman.
   "African Americans voters have made a conscious decision that we fought
   and earned through civil rights," Richmond said, because they
   understand the importance of ``nominating a person that they know,
   nominating a person that can win.''
   Niambi Carter, a political science professor at Howard University, said
   the race shifted in Biden's favor after he nabbed an endorsement from
   South Carolina Rep. Jim Clyburn, the highest-ranking black member of
   Congress. Carter said Clyburn is a beloved and trusted figure in the
   black community, and she believes it potentially gave black voters in
   states like Alabama and Virginia the necessary push to support Biden.
   "Older black voters are an important constituency for Democrats,"
   Carter said. "I think people underestimate the importance of having a
   steadfast core group of supporters, and Joe Biden had that. I think
   this sort of narrative that it's just about black people voting their
   fears is perhaps not necessarily the case. Black people are not just
   pragmatic, they're strategic."
   Trudy Lucas, the religious affairs and external relations manager at
   National Action Network South Carolina, agreed.
   "We listen to Jim Clyburn, and we've been doing that for years now,"
   Lucas said.
   That rings true for Sheryl Threadgill-Matthews, a member of the Alabama
   New South Coalition Inc. who voted for Biden. Threadgill-Matthews said
   it initially wasn't an easy choice, but as candidates began to drop out
   of the race, her choice became clear.
   "I really think across the nation that people will start to galvanize,"
   Threadgill-Matthews said. "I grappled with it initially, but when I
   thought about his record and the integrity that he's always shown
   through his vice presidency, I decided to vote for him. I think Biden
   would be a candidate that a diverse electorate could support."