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                       Sweden Confirms Submarine Presence

   by Matthew Hilburn

   Sweden says it can confirm a submarine violated its territorial waters
   near Stockholm in October.

   "There is no doubt, we have excluded all other explanations. Swedish
   territory has been seriously and unacceptably violated by a foreign
   power," said Supreme Commander Sverker Göranson in a [1]statement.

   The statement did not disclose the nationality of the submarine, but it
   is widely believed to have been Russian, a theory that was fueled by
   local news reports that Swedish military intelligence intercepted radio
   signals off the coast of Sweden to Kaliningrad, home to much of
   Russia's Baltic fleet, and that they were transmitted on a special
   emergency frequency.

   Russia denied one of its vessels was involved.

   The hunt for the submarine, which was first spotted on Oct. 17, was the
   biggest mobilization of Swedish military forces since the Cold War, and
   included 200 men, stealth ships, minesweepers and helicopters. The
   search lasted a week.

   Swedish military officials called the evidence they collected highly
   credible, and included a photo of an object taken by a "member of the
   public" that showed an object moving at a speed of 1 knot. The photo,
   they said, showed a spray of water characteristic of submarine
   movement.

   Another civilian observed "an underwater body with distinctive
   features," the statement said.

   Swedish armed forces also collected data that they said generated a
   pattern confirming "a foreign power has violated Swedish territorial
   integrity."

   "The gravity of this is obvious," said Göranson.

   Sweden's prime minister, Stefan Lofven, was quoted by The Associated
   Press calling the incursion "totally unacceptable."

   Richard Kauzlarich, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institute, said
   the revelation was not surprising given the pattern of "aggressive"
   Russian military actions, but he did say those actions could end up
   costing Moscow.

   "The risk to Moscow however is twofold: first, the unannounced
   incursions could result in an accident involving civilian aircraft or
   shipping," he said. "Second, rather than dividing the NATO allies and
   non-NATO states like Sweden, it actually brings them closer together."

   The disclosure by Sweden, which is not a NATO member, comes amid rising
   tensions in the Baltic region over Russian military incursions.

   Earlier this week, the European Leadership Network (ELN), a
   London-based think tank, [2]issued a report saying Russia's provocative
   actions in the Baltic region were at Cold War levels.

   NATO said they have tallied over 100 separate incidents this year in
   which NATO jets have been scrambled to intercept Russian planes, more
   than three times as many as last year.
     __________________________________________________________________

   [3]http://www.voanews.com/content/sweden-confirms-submarine-presence/25
   20413.html

References

   1. http://www.forsvarsmakten.se/en/news/2014/11/confirmed-submarine-in-the-stockholm-archipelago/
   2. http://www.voanews.com/content/russias-provocative-actions-at-cold-war-levels-report-says/2514915.html
   3. http://www.voanews.com/content/sweden-confirms-submarine-presence/2520413.html