Originally published by the Voice of America (www.voanews.com).
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June 23, 2007

US Could Begin Withdrawal if Iraqis Can Take Over From Surge, says
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Commander
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http://enews.voanews.com/t?ctl=17EB539:A6F02AD83191E1600D08FFF6491B1D4D9574F7DCC14957C0 US deputy Iraq
commander says additional US forces now resulting in major change in
fight against insurgents The second-ranking U.S. commander in Iraq
says the week-old offensive against insurgent groups in and around
Baghdad could create conditions for the start of a U.S. withdrawal
sometime between this fall and next spring.  Lieutenant General Ray
Odierno spoke from Iraq to reporters at the Pentagon, and VOA's Al
Pessin reports.







Lieutenant General Raymond Odierno, center, is briefed by a field
commander at a bombed-out hospital in Baqouba, Iraq, 21 June
2007General Odierno says the additional forces President Bush ordered
to Iraq in January are now resulting in a major change in the fight
against insurgents.

"We are beyond a surge of forces, and we are now into a surge of
operations," he said.

The general says the offensive called "Phantom Thunder" involves
several large simultaneous operations in and around Baghdad, as well
as smaller moves by special operations forces targeting al-Qaida's
supply lines for weapons and explosives.

"We have already begun attacking the enemy from multiple directions in
ways that I believe he will not be able to resist," he added.  "Our
pursuit will be agile and relentless.  Our goal is to force the enemy
to fight from positions of disadvantage, while we maintain the
initiative."

General Odierno says there have been some encouraging results from the
first week of the operation, including the killing of more than 150
insurgent fighters, the arrest of more than 700 insurgents, including
50 leaders, and the discovery of more than 300 bombs and 128 weapons
caches.  But he says there is still much work to do, and the operation
will continue through the summer. 

That would take it to about the time he and other senior U.S. officers
and diplomats are to issue a report assessing the impact of the troop
surge.  The general says the key element will be the ability of the
Iraqi army and police to maintain security, once areas are cleared of
insurgents, something that has not been done after previous
offensives.

"With the amount of forces that we now have, we will be able to stay
in these areas where, in fact, we've had either no or very little
capability to do this previously," he explained.  "So the Iraqi
security forces will be able to sustain and continue to improve their
ability to maintain security."

Senior U.S. officials have said they hope the offensive will create
the conditions for the start of a withdrawal of 155,000 U.S. troops in
Iraq by the fall.  General Odierno said that might be possible, but he
might need the higher troops level somewhat longer than that.

"When are they going to have enough forces, enough leaders, to sustain
this over time?" he asked.  "It could be this fall because we continue
to build and they continue to improve.  It might take a little bit
longer than that.  It might be until the spring.  I don't know.  But
that's what we have to continue to work with them."

General Odierno also discussed the controversial move by some of his
forces to forge alliances with insurgent groups, militias and tribes
that want to switch to the coalition side of the conflict.

"We have not given weapons to any insurgent groups," he noted.  "They
have plenty of weapons.  The point about reconciliation is I want
those weapons to be used against al-Qaida, and not against coalition
forces or Iraqi security forces.  These groups are reaching out to us
and we are reaching back.  They want to fight al-Qaida and we think
they can help us."

The general says the insurgent groups that want to cooperate with U.S.
and Iraq forces must demonstrate their commitment by providing
information or taking on other tasks.  He says one such group led U.S.
forces to 16 large buried bombs, while information from another group
doubled the number of bombs found in its area.

General Odierno also provided an update on Iran's role in the Iraq
violence. 

"I think they are trying to surge their support to Shia' extremists,"
he said.  "We've seen an increased flow of training to mortar teams
and rocket teams.  We've seen an increase in some flow of weapons and
munitions into Iraq."

General Odierno says Iran surged its support for Iraqi Shi'ite groups
at the same time that the United States was surging its additional
troops to Iraq.  He says Iran's elite Quds Force is using a supply
network that dates back to the Saddam Hussein era, and that one goal
of the current operation north of Baghdad is to disrupt that network. 
He says Iran is also helping some small Sunni groups in order to
further destabilize Iraq, but he says that effort does not seem to
have increased since he first reported it in April.