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US Forecasters Predict Above Normal Atlantic Hurricane Season
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http://enews.voanews.com/t?ctl=1253DE3:3919ACA NOAA
administrator, Conrad Lautenbacher, says main question US weather
officials try to answer every year is which of strong hurricanes is
actually going to make landfall The National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration says it expects a busy hurricane season in the United
States this year. The U.S. government agency's predictions were
released in its 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook.

The devastation wrought last year by Hurricanes Katrina and Rita gave
Americans a newfound appreciation for the powerful storms. This
sentiment is reflected in NOAA's $300 million request for its
so-called hurricane budget, for fiscal year 2007. The amount is a $109
million increase from the previous year's request.

NOAA administrator, Conrad Lautenbacher, said he expects the number of
tropical storms and hurricanes this year will not surpass last year's,
but will still be higher than the seasonal average.







Conrad Lautenbacher Jr. talks to reporters in Miami, Monday"NOAA is
predicting an above normal hurricane season, with 13 to 16 named
storms, of which eight to 10 are predicted to become hurricanes, and
four to six of those hurricanes are predicted to become major, at
category-three strength or higher," he explained.

He added that the main question U.S. weather officials try to answer
every year is which of the strong hurricanes is actually going to make
landfall.

"Unfortunately, the factors that determine how many of these storms
hit land are the smallest scale and variable day-to-day weather
patterns that cannot be predicted this far in advance," he said. "But
based on past years with similar conditions to those forecast this
year, it is statistically within reason to assume that two to four
hurricanes could affect the United States."

Access to information, before and during a storm, is a crucial issue
that NOAA is working to address. An enhanced NOAA website will help
inform the public.

Meanwhile, Deputy Commerce Secretary David Sampson says the government
is strengthening its ability to see storms earlier and in greater
detail.

"One is a new linkup with Europe's weather satellites to allow better
analysis of storms as they develop in the far eastern Atlantic,"
Sampson said. "The second is a brand new state-of-the-art facility
that will enhance our ability to capture and analyze the data that all
of the satellites are providing to us, and a new, soon to be launched,
geo-stationary satellite will provide a more accurate and reliable
measurements on the storms."

Despite all these improvements, though, National Hurricane Center
director Max Mayfield reminded journalists that there is no way the
U.S. government can completely protect Americans from natural
disasters.

"It is not all about the numbers. It just takes one hurricane over
your house to make for a bad year," he said.

The U.S. hurricane season begins June 1 and runs for six months until
November 30.